EXPE·Expedia Group, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

35.4% 57th pct

Below its peak

-19.1%

vs 200-day average

+6.0%

Up days (1y)

50%

Expedia Group, Inc. is currently running 35.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against EXPE's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 57th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 31.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

EXPE is trading -19.1% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -26.5%, and the deepest was -61.8% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +6.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 51st percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year EXPE closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, EXPE finished the month higher 8 of 14 times, with a median return of +1.7% and an average of +2.6%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +6.8% on average, its weakest March at -2.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: EXPE has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 157 of 3,268 sessions (4.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.1% and -10.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, EXPE moved an average of 1.9% in the session after earnings, closing higher 0 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.6% and a largest of -5.1%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against EXPE's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.