RXRX·Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

106.7% 77th pct

Below its peak

-90.6%

vs 200-day average

+9.4%

Up days (1y)

42%

Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc. is currently running 106.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against RXRX's own 5 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 77th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 83.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

RXRX is trading -90.6% below its running peak. Across 4 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -63.3%, and the deepest was -71.8% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +9.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 86th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year RXRX closed higher on 42% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 6 years of records, RXRX finished the month higher 2 of 6 times, with a median return of -4.8% and an average of -5.9%. Its strongest month historically has been June at +8.9% on average, its weakest March at -22.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: RXRX has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 262 of 1,361 sessions (19.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.6% and -18.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, RXRX moved an average of 1.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -1.3% and a largest of -3.0%.

All figures computed from 1,363 daily closes between 2021-04-16 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against RXRX's own 6-year history, not a peer group or index.