CAG·Conagra Brands, Inc.
CAG|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'27 | $0.28 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $0.47 | $0.39 | -17.3% |
| Q2'26 | $0.40 | $0.45 | +12.7% |
| Q4'25 | $0.44 | $0.45 | +3.2% |
| Q3'25 | $0.33 | $0.39 | +17.4% |
| Q2'25 | $0.58 | $0.56 | -3.6% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'27 | $2.6B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $2.9B | $2.8B | -2.8% |
| Q2'26 | $2.8B | $3.0B | +7.9% |
| Q4'25 | - | $3.0B | - |
| Q3'25 | - | $2.6B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $2.8B | - |
CAG|Monthly Returns
Market Data
CAG Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 7.19B
- Day range
- $14.96 – $15.26
- News sentiment
- 53/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $14.35 (-5.2%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 26 analysts
CAG is in a holding pattern - neither trend nor momentum has taken control. At this size, a single catalyst moves the stock further than it would a larger peer.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into CAG?
At today's price, Conagra Brands, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about -11.2% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.25% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 1.3% a year, so the market is asking for 12.5 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis CAG looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- -11.2%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 1.3%
- Growth gap
- -12.5 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 6.25%
- Beta
- 0.37
Behaviour On Record
What CAG's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 22.8% 58th pct
- Below its peak
- -63.5%
- vs 200-day average
- -4.2%
- Up days (1y)
- 45%
Conagra Brands, Inc. is currently running 22.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against CAG's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 58th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 21.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
CAG is trading -63.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -20.8%, and the deepest was -46.2% in 2018. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -4.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 33rd percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year CAG closed higher on 45% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 13 years of records, CAG finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -0.9% and an average of -1.0%. Its strongest month historically has been March at +3.2% on average, its weakest June at -1.9%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: CAG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 63 of 3,268 sessions (1.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +21.0% and -7.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-19 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against CAG's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of CAG's sector?
Conagra Brands, Inc. sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 6th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).
- Sector rank
- #6 of 11
- Sector state
- Improving
- Sector rotation score
- 60
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on CAG?
Deutsche Bank most recently reiterated its rating on Conagra Brands, Inc. to Hold on Sep 18, 2026 with a price target of $13 (from $12). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Deutsche Bank — Hold
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0