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CAG·Conagra Brands, Inc.

$15.24
-0.27 (-1.74%)
After Hours
High
$15.43
Open
$14.88
Market Cap
7.21B
52W High
$20.32
Low
$14.77
P. Close
$15.24
P/E
-
52W Low
$12.53
Fwd P/E
10.36
DailyIQ Est.
$12.98
Inst. Own.
75.5%
Short Interest
8.64%
Days to Cover
2.8
Div. Yield
6.95%
Next Ex-Div
~Feb 5
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Sep 30, 2026Guidance reaffirmed · tone +0.3 vs prior release · 82 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
19
BEARISH
News Sentiment
50
MIXED
On Nov 5, Conagra Brands Inc. announced a dividend of $0.18 per share, payable on Dec. 3, 2026, with an ex‑dividend date of Nov. 5, 2026, a move that aligns with the company’s historical dividend policy and provides investors with a clear timeline for eligibility and payment. The dividend declaration did not accompany any material operational or financial updates, nor did it signal a change to guidance or strategic direction. The following day, on Nov 4, Conagra’s shares rose 5% after Kraft Heinz’s announcement that price increases are likely in 2027, which lifted the entire packaged‑food sector. Investors interpreted the sector‑wide price‑pressure signal as a positive tailwind for Conagra, expecting the company to pass higher costs onto consumers. No new corporate guidance from Conagra was issued on either date.
LOW TARGET
$11 -27.8%
6 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$14 -9.8%
18 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$16 +5.0%
2 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$11.00 - $16.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
1/1/14/8/2
DAILYIQ EST.
$12.98 (-14.8%)
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Packaged Foods
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Symbol
CAG
Description
Conagra Brands is a leading consumer packaged goods company, primarily serving the U.S. market with a diverse portfolio of food products. The company's core business revolves around providing shelf-stable, refrigerated, and frozen food items to consumers through various retail channels, alongside international sales and foodservice offerings. Conagra's value proposition lies in its broad brand recognition, encompassing well-known names like Birds Eye, Marie Callender's, and Slim Jim, allowing it to capture significant market share. Its competitive advantage stems from its multi-segment approach, catering to diverse consumer preferences and distribution channels, from grocery stores to restaurants. Established in 1919 and headquartered in Chicago, Conagra Brands has a long-standing history in the food industry.
Bought (1Y)
35,000 shares
$511K
Sold (1Y)
142,995 shares
$2.1M
Held Amy CEVP & Chief Admin. Officer
Award/Grant27,776 shares2026-10-01
MARSHALL RUTH ANN-
Award/Grant1,629.42 shares2026-09-01
Bartell CareyEVP, GC and Corp. Secretary
Option Exercise5,481 shares2026-07-24
Bartell CareyEVP, GC and Corp. Secretary
Tax Withholding2,429 shares2026-07-24
Bartell CareyEVP, GC and Corp. Secretary
Option Exercise5,481 shares2026-07-24
40/ 100
Bearish
Overall: Bearish
✕Revenue declining year over year
✕Negative net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
23.9%
Net Margin
-17.0%
Revenue CAGR
0.0%
Current Ratio
0.90x
Debt / Equity
1.14x
Return on Equity
-30.1%
Earnings Summary
In the last two quarters (Q3 2025 and Q4 2025) the company posted EPS of $0.39 and $0.45, respectively, both slightly below analyst expectations of $0.332 and $0.436, while revenue rose to $2.63 billion and $2.98 billion, reflecting a modest 12.4% YoY increase in Q4 after a 1.4% decline in Q3; the company beat estimates in Q3 but missed in Q4, indicating a mixed pattern. Historically, Conagra has shown a steady YoY revenue growth trajectory, with EPS generally trailing estimates in recent quarters, yet the company has maintained a consistent ability to generate revenue above expectations, suggesting resilience in sales even when earnings miss. Recent news highlights a dividend cut announced on Oct 29 to reallocate capital toward a turnaround plan, coupled with a modest earnings beat in Q1 2027 where adjusted EPS of $0.41 exceeded the $0.28291 estimate; however, net sales fell 1.4% to $2.5959 billion, underscoring margin pressure and a cautious outlook.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.25$0.32$0.38$0.44$0.50Q3'25Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26Q1'27Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$0.35 - -
Q1'27$0.28$0.41+44.9%
Q3'26$0.47$0.39-17.3%
Q2'26$0.40$0.45+12.7%
Q4'25$0.44$0.45+3.2%
Q3'25$0.33$0.39+17.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.5B$2.7B$2.8B$2.9B$3.0BQ3'25Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26Q1'27Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$3.0B - -
Q1'27$2.6B$2.6B-0.7%
Q3'26$2.9B$2.8B-2.8%
Q2'26$2.8B$3.0B+7.9%
Q4'25 - $3.0B -
Q3'25 - $2.6B -

Market Data

CAG Stock Snapshot

BEARISH19/100
$15.10−$0.14 (0.9%)
Market cap
7.21B
Day range
$14.77 – $15.43
News sentiment
50/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$13.74 (-9.0%)
Consensus
Hold · 26 analysts
52-week range+20.5% off low · -25.7% from high
$12.53$20.32
Price $15.10 DailyIQ Est. $12.98

CAG is on the weaker side of its setup, with little confirmation for a reversal yet. At this size, a single catalyst moves the stock further than it would a larger peer.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into CAG?

CHEAP

At today's price, Conagra Brands, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about -9.7% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 6.07% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at -1.0% a year, so the market is asking for 8.7 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis CAG looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
-9.7%
Growth trend
-1.0%
Growth gap
-8.7 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
6.07%
Beta
0.35

Behaviour On Record

What CAG's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
40.4% 96th pct
Below its peak
-63.5%
vs 200-day average
-0.7%
Up days (1y)
47%

Conagra Brands, Inc. is currently running 40.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against CAG's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 96th percentile — an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 21.2%.

CAG is trading -63.5% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -21.8%, and the deepest was -46.2% in 2018. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -0.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 45th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year CAG closed higher on 47% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On November specifically: over 13 years of records, CAG finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +3.4% and an average of +1.2%. Its strongest month historically has been March at +3.2% on average, its weakest June at -1.9%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: CAG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 64 of 3,268 sessions (2.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +21.0% and -7.4%.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, CAG moved an average of 1.9% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.7% and a largest of -4.2%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against CAG's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of CAG's sector?

Conagra Brands, Inc. sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 2nd of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#2 of 12
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
73

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for CAG?

CallsPuts

For Conagra Brands, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-11-06, 0 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 4.16), with at-the-money implied volatility around 47.7%.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-06)
4.16
ATM implied volatility
47.7%
Total open interest
4,944

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect CAG to earn?

Analysts expect Conagra Brands, Inc. to earn $1.46 per share in the fiscal year ending May 2027 and $1.55 in the fiscal year ending May 2029, from 3 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Nov 2026$0.34$0.30 to $0.3914$2.92B12
Feb 2027$0.34$0.30 to $0.3614$2.71B12
Aug 2027$0.38$0.36 to $0.434~$2.79B-
Nov 2027$0.35$0.34 to $0.364~$2.57B-
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
May 2027$1.46$1.42 to $1.5016$10.83B15
May 2028$1.50$1.43 to $1.5816$10.79B15
May 2029$1.55$1.53 to $1.583~$11.38B-

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on CAG?

Barclays most recently reiterated its rating on Conagra Brands, Inc. to Overweight on Oct 2, 2026 with a price target of $16 (from $17). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Barclays: Overweight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 2, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$17 → $16
Oct 1, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$13 → $14
Oct 1, 2026RBC CapitalReiteratedSector Perform$14
Sep 29, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$13 → $13
Sep 18, 2026Deutsche BankMaintainedHold$12 → $13
Sep 14, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$13 → $13
Jul 17, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$16 → $17
Jul 16, 2026JP MorganMaintainedNeutral$14 → $15
Jul 16, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$13 → $14
Jul 16, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedSector Perform$16 → $14
Jul 8, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$18 → $16
Jun 25, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedSector Perform$17 → $16

Earnings Release, Scored

What did Conagra Brands, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?

Filed Sep 30, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Guidance reaffirmed
Tone54.7/ 100+0.3 vs prior release
Hedging words1.01per 100 words+0.40 vs prior release
Tone, last 2 releasesScale 49–69

Most important lines

  1. 1

    Reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) was $0.36, a 5.9% increase.

    New this quarter
  2. 2

    Adjusted net income increased 4.3% to $197 million, or $0.41 per diluted share, compared to $189 million, or $0.39 per diluted share in the prior year period primarily as a result of lower adjusted SG&A expense and higher equity earnings, partially offset by lower gross profit.

    New this quarter
  3. 3

    These items resulted in free cash flow of ($128) million, a decrease of $102 million compared to the prior year.

    New this quarterNegative tone

Peers & ETF holders

CAG peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about CAG?

CAG rose 13.1% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 20 and 92 from Oct 6 to Nov 5, then dropped to 0 on Nov 6.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 6 to Nov 6
$14$15Oct 6: tone 62Oct 7Oct 8Oct 9: tone 20Oct 12: tone 92Oct 13Oct 14: tone 43Oct 15Oct 16Oct 19: tone 27Oct 20: tone 49Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 26Oct 27Oct 28: tone 34Oct 29: tone 24Oct 30: tone 70Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4: tone 75Nov 5: tone 54Nov 6: tone 0Oct 6News toneNov 6123
  1. Oct 22 +7.0%
  2. Oct 30 +3.0%same day: Why Is Conagra Brands (CAG) Up 6.7% Since Last Earnings Report?
  3. Nov 4 +6.0%

Technical analysis

How strong is CAG's momentum right now?

On the daily chart CAG ranks at the 19th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling CAG?

66 of the 164 tracked managers added to CAG in their latest 13F and 96 trimmed. Together they own 75.5% of the company, worth $4.8B. BlackRock and Vanguard Portfolio Management alone hold 22.8%.

66adding96trimming2unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of CAG
  1. $1.1B positionAdded 58.7% last quarter
  2. $393.1M positionAdded 22.8% last quarter
  3. $290.3M positionTrimmed 30.5% last quarter
  4. $284.1M positionAdded 38.4% last quarter
  5. $275.9M positionAdded 180.0% last quarter
  6. $222.6M positionTrimmed 33.9% last quarter
  7. $177.5M positionTrimmed 29.5% last quarter
  8. $167.6M positionAdded 84.3% last quarter
  9. $148.7M positionTrimmed 21.7% last quarter
  10. $116.5M positionTrimmed 32.4% last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading CAG?

7 members of Congress disclosed 23 CAG trades between Mar 6, 2017 and Jun 16, 2026: 9 buys and 14 sells, about $208.5K in estimated value.

BuysSells20182020202220242026
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

What stands out

Click one to highlight its trades in the chart

Discover more

How has CAG done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 6, CAG returned +7.2%. Of the 15 related stocks, 3 did better, led by SJM at +35.1%.

Change since May 6, through Nov 6
−50%−25%0%+25%+50%May 6JunJulAugSepOctNov 6SJM +35.1%CAG +7.2%CAVA −33.9%