DailyIQ
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FISV·Fiserv, Inc.

$47.19
-2.11 (-4.28%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$47.31+0.12 (+0.25%)
High
$49.54
Open
$49.23
Market Cap
25.09B
52W High
$132.40
Low
$47.14
P. Close
$47.19
P/E
8.96
52W Low
$47.01
Fwd P/E
5.84
DailyIQ Est.
$60.32
Inst. Ownership
43.1%
Short Interest
6.27%
Days to Cover
6.3
Technical Score (1D)
18
SELL
News Sentiment
58
BULLISH
FISV has just secured a suite of core banking contracts, including five newly chartered banks and a $100 billion‑asset institution, marking a significant expansion of its footprint in the banking sector. The core banking mandate is designed to deliver AI‑enabled modern capabilities while preserving the stability of legacy systems, allowing the company to embed advanced analytics and automation into its clients’ operations. By deepening relationships with banks that are actively modernizing technology, FISV positions itself to capture incremental revenue from these new engagements. The contracts also open doors to cross‑sell opportunities across FISV’s broader product suite, encompassing digital banking, payments, lending, and data services. This broadened exposure is expected to lift earnings over the next 1–10 trading days as the new banks begin to deploy and expand the platform. The renewed de‑novo activity in the banking sector signals a shift toward digital transformation, underscoring the importance of FISV’s technology stack in meeting evolving client demands. Watch for the pace of implementation and integration of AI features in these new banks, as delays or early successes could materially affect short‑term performance. Additionally, keep an eye on any regulatory developments that could impact core banking deployments or cross‑sell strategies, as changes in compliance requirements may alter the trajectory of these contracts.
Earnings Summary
FISV's earnings data indicates fluctuating EPS performance. The company demonstrated EPS growth in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, followed by a slight deceleration in Q2 2025. However, Q3 2025 saw a significant EPS miss. Revenue figures show a generally increasing trend, with YoY gains expected in Q4 2025 and beyond. The company's ability to meet future earnings targets will be crucial for investors.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.45$1.79$2.12$2.46$2.80Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.72 - -
Q2'26$1.95$1.84-5.6%
Q1'26$1.60$1.79+11.7%
Q4'25$1.72$1.99+15.7%
Q3'25$2.65$2.04-22.9%
Q2'25$2.43$2.47+1.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$4.6B$4.8B$4.9B$5.1B$5.3BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$5.0B - -
Q2'26$5.1B$5.0B-3.4%
Q1'26$4.8B$4.7B-3.1%
Q4'25$4.8B$4.9B+2.5%
Q3'25 - $4.9B -
Q2'25 - $5.2B -

Market Data

FISV Stock Snapshot

SELL18/100
$47.31+$0.12 (0.3%)
Market cap
25.09B
P/E ratio
9.0
Day range
$47.14 – $49.54
News sentiment
58/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$60.44 (+27.8%)
Consensus
Hold · 44 analysts
52-week range+0.6% off low · -64.3% from high
$47.01$132.40
Price $47.31 DailyIQ Est. $60.32

Fiserv, Inc. is trading near its 52-week low with momentum still pointing lower. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into FISV?

CHEAP

At today's price, Fiserv, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about -13.5% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.44% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 14.3% a year, so the market is asking for 27.8 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis FISV looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
-13.5%
Historical FCF CAGR
14.3%
Growth gap
-27.8 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
6.44%
Beta
0.78

Behaviour On Record

What FISV's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
32.8% 83rd pct
Below its peak
-80.2%
vs 200-day average
-18.5%
Up days (1y)
51%

Fiserv, Inc. is currently running 32.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FISV's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 83rd percentile elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 20.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

FISV is trading -80.2% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -14.2%, and the deepest was -74.9% in 2025. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -18.5% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 9th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year FISV closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 5 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, FISV finished the month higher 5 of 13 times, with a median return of -2.1% and an average of -2.2%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.9% on average, its weakest October at -2.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: FISV has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 92 of 3,266 sessions (2.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.1% and -7.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, FISV moved an average of 1.8% in the session after earnings, closing higher 0 of those 3 times, with a median move of -2.0% and a largest of -2.3%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FISV's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of FISV's sector?

Fiserv, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 11th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#11 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
30

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for FISV?

CallsPuts

For Fiserv, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-25, 5 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.20), with at-the-money implied volatility around 46.2%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±5.6% move by that expiry — a range of about $46.77–$52.27.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-25)
1.20
ATM implied volatility
46.2%
Total open interest
3,722
Expected move by 2026-09-25
±5.6% ($46.77–$52.27)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on FISV?

TD Cowen most recently reiterated its rating on Fiserv, Inc. to Hold on Sep 3, 2026 with a price target of $55. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
TD CowenHold
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 3, 2026TD CowenReiteratedHold$55
Aug 31, 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratedNeutral$53
Aug 20, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedHold$52 → $53
Aug 7, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$65 → $60
Aug 7, 2026TD CowenMaintainedHold$63 → $55
Aug 7, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$75 → $65
Aug 7, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$58 → $52
Aug 7, 2026JP MorganMaintainedNeutral$62 → $60
Aug 7, 2026SusquehannaMaintainedPositive$91 → $85
Aug 7, 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainedOutperform$70 → $65
Jul 24, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedHold$58 → $52
Jul 22, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedMarket Perform$60 → $55