DailyIQ
|
Sector:Consumer CyclicalAll sectors
Last updated3 minutes ago

FLUT·Flutter Entertainment plc

$100.10
-2.24 (-2.19%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$100.60+0.50 (+0.50%)
High
$102.10
Open
$100.99
Market Cap
17.78B
52W High
$296.31
Low
$99.84
P. Close
$100.10
P/E
-
52W Low
$89.71
Fwd P/E
13.48
DailyIQ Est.
$162.22
Inst. Ownership
1.7%
Short Interest
7.02%
Days to Cover
2.4
Technical Score (1D)
41
SELL
News Sentiment
56
BULLISH
Wolfe Research’s 33‑hour‑old initiation of Outperform coverage on Flutter Entertainment injects a modest bullish tailwind, but the firm’s view does not alter the company’s existing guidance or fundamentals. The rating signals confidence in Flutter’s brand portfolio and expanding global footprint, yet the market has largely interpreted the move as a sentiment lift rather than a fundamental shift. In the same window, Macquarie trimmed its price target to $150 from $160, citing heightened competitive pressure and regulatory headwinds that could dampen revenue growth. This downgrade tempers the Wolfe optimism, suggesting that analysts remain wary of the tightening betting‑market environment. The juxtaposition of a new Outperform rating with a lowered price target creates uncertainty about the near‑term valuation ceiling, a factor that traders should monitor as the next earnings release approaches. Flutter’s Q2 results, which showed a 3.3% revenue rise but a 15% decline in U.S. sportsbook revenue, underscore the company’s reliance on international diversification to offset domestic softness. The company’s cost‑transformation initiatives and promotion‑spend strategy are expected to improve margins over the next 1–10 trading days, but the timing of these gains remains unclear. Watch for the upcoming earnings call, where management will likely detail the progress of its FanDuel U.S. scale and international expansion, and for any regulatory updates that could affect the betting‑sector landscape.
Earnings Summary
Flutter Entertainment plc operates as a global leader in online sports betting and gaming, offering sportsbooks, iGaming products, and lottery solutions across the United States, United Kingdom, and Australia, with a strong brand portfolio that includes FanDuel, Paddy Power, and PokerStars. In Q4 2024 the company reported EPS of $2.94 versus an estimate of $1.83, and revenue of $3.792 billion, a 3.3% rise to $4.33 billion in Q2 2026, while U.S. sportsbook revenue fell 15%, prompting a full‑year guidance cut. The earnings pattern shows consistent beats in EPS for the last four quarters, though revenue growth has slowed from the 2024 peak to the 2026 quarter, reflecting higher promotional spend and margin compression. Historically, Flutter has maintained YoY revenue growth of 3–4% in recent years, with EPS consistently beating estimates, yet the U.S. market contraction has introduced volatility in the top line. Recent news highlights a cost‑transformation initiative aimed at tightening margins over the next decade, a FanDuel multiyear renewal with GeoComply expected to stabilize digital sports‑betting revenue, and analyst downgrades citing competitive pressure and regulatory headwinds. Investors should watch for the next earnings release to gauge progress on cost cuts, any updates on the prediction‑market roadmap, and regulatory developments that could affect U.S. expansion, as these factors will be key to determining whether the company can sustain its margin improvement and revenue trajectory.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.12$0.92$1.72$2.51$3.31Q4'24Q2'26Q4'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'25$1.61 - -
Q2'26$0.62$0.49-21.4%
Q4'24$1.83$2.94+60.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.6B$4.0B$4.3B$4.7B$5.1BQ4'24Q2'26Q4'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'25$4.9B - -
Q2'26$4.3B$4.3B-0.4%
Q4'24 - $3.8B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

FLUT Stock Snapshot

HOLD41/100
$100.60+$0.50 (0.5%)
Market cap
17.78B
Day range
$99.84 – $102.10
News sentiment
56/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$138.97 (+38.1%)
Consensus
Buy · 38 analysts
52-week range+12.1% off low · -66.0% from high
$89.71$296.31
Price $100.60 DailyIQ Est. $162.22

This is a pause rather than a turn for FLUT - the signals are mixed by construction. In Consumer Cyclical, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.

Behaviour On Record

What FLUT's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
52.7% 85th pct
vs 200-day average
-22.9%
Up days (1y)
43%

Flutter Entertainment plc is currently running 52.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FLUT's own 3 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 85th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 40.3%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

Price sits -22.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 37th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year FLUT closed higher on 43% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

Overnight risk is measurable too: FLUT has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 46 of 652 sessions (7.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +4.5% and -6.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 653 daily closes between 2024-01-29 and 2026-09-03, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FLUT's own 3-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of FLUT's sector?

Flutter Entertainment plc sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 7th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#7 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
30

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for FLUT?

CallsPuts

For Flutter Entertainment plc's nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 13 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 2.67), with at-the-money implied volatility around 51.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±9.5% move by that expiry — a range of about $91.00–$110.20.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
2.67
ATM implied volatility
51.8%
Total open interest
34,717
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±9.5% ($91.00–$110.20)

Held by These ETFs

FLUT is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.