DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer CyclicalAll sectors
Last updated2 minutes ago

FLUT·Flutter Entertainment plc

$89.56
-2.94 (-3.18%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$90.01+0.45 (+0.50%)
High
$94.48
Open
$92.00
Market Cap
16.93B
52W High
$287.44
Low
$89.34
P. Close
$89.56
P/E
-
52W Low
$89.71
Fwd P/E
12.15
DailyIQ Est.
$162.38
Inst. Ownership
1.6%
Short Interest
5.57%
Days to Cover
4.6
Technical Score (1D)
0
SELL
News Sentiment
46
MIXED
The Ninth Circuit’s ruling that sports‑related contracts offered by prediction‑market platforms are sports bets, not federal swaps, removes FLUT from federal oversight and places the company under state gaming rules. This regulatory clarity eliminates a key source of uncertainty that had weighed on the stock, potentially easing investor concerns about future compliance costs. In the short term, the decision could prompt a reassessment of FLUT’s risk profile, leading to a more favorable valuation for the next 1–10 trading days. Traders should watch for any state‑level regulatory actions that may follow the ruling, as they could accelerate FLUT’s expansion into new markets. The same day, Michael Burry liquidated his entire FLUT stake, citing relative valuation concerns, which signals a downgrade relative to peers. Burry’s exit may dampen short‑term momentum and could influence other institutional holders to reconsider their positions. Investors should monitor subsequent institutional reallocations and any commentary from Burry or other large shareholders for further signals. A routine CEO share sale triggered by tax withholding on vested RSUs had no discernible impact on the stock, but it underscores the importance of watching for future non‑discretionary transactions that could affect ownership concentration. Finally, the combination of regulatory clarity, institutional sell‑off, and routine executive activity creates a complex backdrop; traders should keep an eye on upcoming court decisions, state‑level approvals, and earnings guidance to gauge the sustainability of any short‑term rally.
Earnings Summary
Flutter Entertainment plc is a global leader in online sports betting and gaming, operating through brands such as FanDuel, Paddy Power, and PokerStars across the United States, United Kingdom, and Australia. In Q4 2024, the company posted EPS of $2.94 against an estimate of $1.83, and revenue of $3.79 billion, delivering a strong earnings beat and robust top‑line growth. The subsequent quarter, Q4 2025, has no reported EPS or revenue figures yet, but the company’s Q2 2026 results showed EPS of $0.49 versus an estimate of $0.624, and revenue of $4.33 billion versus an estimate of $4.34 billion, indicating a slight earnings miss and a near‑flat revenue performance. Across the available quarters, Flutter has demonstrated a pattern of beating EPS estimates in the first two quarters but missing in the most recent quarter, while revenue growth has been modest, hovering around 2–3 % YoY. Historically, the company has maintained a consistent earnings beat in the first half of the year, but the Q2 2026 miss suggests potential volatility in profitability. Recent regulatory news, specifically the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals ruling that sports‑related contracts on prediction‑market platforms are sports bets rather than federal swaps, removes a significant regulatory uncertainty and could strengthen Flutter’s competitive position by allowing it to operate under state gaming rules. Investors should watch for any subsequent state‑level regulatory actions that could either reinforce or challenge this advantage, as well as any federal legislative attempts to reclassify these contracts, which could impact Flutter’s growth trajectory and market perception in the coming quarter.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.12$0.92$1.72$2.51$3.31Q4'24Q2'26Q4'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'25$1.61 - -
Q2'26$0.62$0.49-21.4%
Q4'24$1.83$2.94+60.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.6B$4.0B$4.3B$4.7B$5.1BQ4'24Q2'26Q4'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'25$4.9B - -
Q2'26$4.3B$4.3B-0.4%
Q4'24 - $3.8B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

FLUT Stock Snapshot

SELL0/100
$90.01+$0.45 (0.5%)
Market cap
16.93B
Day range
$89.34 – $94.48
News sentiment
46/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$139.13 (+54.6%)
Consensus
Buy · 38 analysts
52-week range+0.3% off low · -68.7% from high
$89.71$287.44
Price $90.01 DailyIQ Est. $162.38

The chart on FLUT has not stabilised: price is near its 52-week low and the trend is still down. In Consumer Cyclical, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.

Behaviour On Record

What FLUT's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
40.1% 49th pct
vs 200-day average
-30.0%
Up days (1y)
42%

Flutter Entertainment plc is currently running 40.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FLUT's own 3 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 49th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 40.9%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

Price sits -30.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 29th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year FLUT closed higher on 42% of sessions, and it is currently 4 sessions into a falling streak.

Overnight risk is measurable too: FLUT has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 46 of 662 sessions (6.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +4.5% and -6.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 663 daily closes between 2024-01-29 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FLUT's own 3-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of FLUT's sector?

Flutter Entertainment plc sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 6th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#6 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
60

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for FLUT?

CallsPuts

For Flutter Entertainment plc's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 27 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 1.00), with at-the-money implied volatility around 55.9%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±15.2% move by that expiry — a range of about $85.28–$115.92.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
1.00
ATM implied volatility
55.9%
Total open interest
3,035
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±15.2% ($85.28–$115.92)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on FLUT?

Wolfe Research most recently initiated coverage on Flutter Entertainment plc to Outperform on Sep 2, 2026 with a price target of $150. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Wolfe Research — Outperform
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 2, 2026Wolfe ResearchInitiatedOutperform$150
Aug 12, 2026JP MorganInitiatedNeutral$114
Aug 7, 2026CitigroupUpgradeSell → Neutral$93 → $93
Aug 6, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$160 → $140
Aug 6, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$137 → $112
Aug 6, 2026WedbushMaintainedOutperform$138 → $126
Aug 6, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$130 → $120
Aug 6, 2026BenchmarkMaintainedBuy$132 → $113
Aug 6, 2026MacquarieMaintainedOutperform$190 → $160
Aug 6, 2026StifelMaintainedBuy$161 → $133
Aug 6, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$151 → $133
Aug 6, 2026NeedhamMaintainedBuy$135 → $110

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FLUT is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.