DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer CyclicalAll sectors
Last updated 1 minute ago

FLUT·Flutter Entertainment plc

$.
-. (-.%)
Pre-Market
High
$105.58
Open
$105.58
Market Cap
18.48B
52W High
$313.69
Low
$105.58
P. Close
$106.53
P/E
-
52W Low
$91.52
Fwd P/E
179.91
DailyIQ Est.
$182.93
Technical Score (1D)
59
BUY
News Sentiment
42
BEARISH
Flutter’s latest Q1 earnings showed a mixed performance, with growth driven by new gaming jurisdictions and pent‑up travel demand but offset by structural headwinds such as low switching costs and sensitivity to economic cycles. The uptick in user acquisition during the World Cup, driven by live‑betting and streaming features, came at the cost of tighter betting margins, raising concerns that profitability could erode if higher volumes do not materialize. Wedbush’s recent upgrade to Outperform and a $138 price target underscore confidence in Flutter’s expansion strategy and integrated resort model, suggesting that the market expects the firm to capitalize on industry tailwinds. Meanwhile, regulators are intensifying scrutiny of Flutter’s operations, with a focus on compliance and potential licensing adjustments that could impact the firm’s valuation, which analysts still see at a 31% discount to fair value. Michael Burry’s sizable allocation to Flutter, coupled with his belief that a crackdown on prediction markets will redirect bettors to regulated sportsbooks, adds a bullish narrative that could influence short‑term sentiment. The convergence of user growth, margin pressure, and regulatory uncertainty creates a short‑term volatility window that traders should monitor closely over the next 1–10 trading days. Key watch items include Flutter’s Q2 earnings for margin trends and any guidance on monetization strategies, as well as forthcoming regulatory filings that could confirm or alter the current compliance narrative. Additionally, the company’s progress in expanding into Asia and the Middle East will be a critical indicator of whether new jurisdictions can offset domestic headwinds. Finally, any announcement regarding the regulatory stance on prediction markets will be a decisive catalyst for Flutter’s valuation and could validate Burry’s thesis on the sector’s moat.
Earnings Summary
Flutter Entertainment plc, a global leader in online sports betting and gaming, operates across the United States, United Kingdom, Australia, and other markets, offering sportsbooks, iGaming products, and lottery solutions under brands such as FanDuel, Paddy Power, and PokerStars. The company’s consumer‑cyclical gambling business thrives on a diversified portfolio that blends consumer‑facing platforms with B2B pricing and risk‑management services, positioning it as a resilient player amid regulatory and competitive pressures. In Q4 2024, Flutter reported earnings per share of $2.94, well above the consensus estimate of $1.83, and generated $3.792 billion in revenue, though a comparable estimate was not provided; subsequent quarters (Q4 2025 and Q2 2026) lack reported figures, limiting a direct comparison of growth acceleration or deceleration and making it impossible to assess recent beat/miss patterns. Historically, the company has demonstrated strong revenue growth in prior periods, but without additional quarterly data, a clear year‑over‑year trajectory or consistent beat/miss pattern cannot be established. Recent news highlights a mixed Q1 performance driven by new jurisdictions and travel‑induced demand, with user acquisition surging during the World Cup yet margin compression raising concerns; Wedbush’s upgrade to Outperform and a $138 price target underscore confidence in Flutter’s expansion strategy, while intensified regulatory scrutiny over licensing and compliance could impact valuation. Investors should watch for the forthcoming Q2 earnings release to gauge margin trends, guidance on monetization strategies, and any updates on regulatory filings that may confirm or alter the current compliance narrative; monitoring the company’s progress in Asia and the Middle East will also be critical to understanding whether new markets can offset domestic headwinds. These watch points, grounded in the available earnings data, will help assess Flutter’s ability to sustain growth amid user acquisition, margin pressure, and regulatory uncertainty.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.41$1.84$2.27$2.71$3.14Q4'24Q4'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'25$1.61 - -
Q4'24$1.83$2.94+60.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.6B$4.0B$4.3B$4.7B$5.1BQ4'24Q4'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'25$4.9B - -
Q4'24 - $3.8B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

FLUT Stock Snapshot

FLUT is currently trading at $105.58, giving Flutter Entertainment plc a market cap of 18.48B. Today's range spans $105.58–$105.58, with shares opening at $105.58 and moving down $0.95 (0.9%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 59/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 42/100.

Over the past year FLUT has traded between $91.52 and $313.69 - the current price is +15.4% off the 52-week low and -66.3% from the high. 35 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $159.19 (range $80.00–$341.00), implying upside of +50.8%.

Systematic models flag FLUT as a hold in the current environment - large-cap, Consumer Cyclical, 18.48B market cap, 59/100 (HOLD), sentiment neutral at 42/100. Price: $105.58 (near 52-week lows). Quant strategies at this size tier typically shift allocation toward higher-momentum names during neutral phases, but maintain a base position given the structural liquidity that prevents disorderly exits. Annual range: $91.52–$313.69.

The 52-week range of $91.52–$313.69 for FLUT provides the structural reference that options traders, systematic funds, and discretionary managers all anchor to — and at $105.58 (near 52-week lows), the stock sits in a zone where the next 5–10% move will likely define which crowd was right. A HOLD signal at 59/100 and neutral news backdrop (42/100) don't break the tie yet, but they narrow the probability distribution toward the upside.