BWA|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $1.26 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $1.29 | $1.42 | +10.3% |
| Q1'26 | $1.29 | $1.24 | -3.8% |
| Q4'25 | $1.21 | $1.35 | +11.9% |
| Q3'25 | $1.18 | $1.24 | +5.1% |
| Q2'25 | $1.08 | $1.21 | +11.6% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $3.6B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $3.6B | $3.6B | +1.0% |
| Q1'26 | $3.6B | $3.5B | -1.6% |
| Q4'25 | $3.6B | $3.6B | +0.4% |
| Q3'25 | - | $3.6B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $3.6B | - |
BWA|Monthly Returns
Market Data
BWA Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 12.98B
- P/E ratio
- 31.3
- Day range
- $62.18 – $64.43
- News sentiment
- 62/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $80.12 (+28.8%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 23 analysts
Price is in the middle of its 52-week range, and the momentum read backs that positioning up. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Consumer Cyclical tend to move together on rotation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into BWA?
At today's price, BorgWarner Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about -7.4% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.79% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 11.4% a year, so the market is asking for 18.8 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis BWA looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- -7.4%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 11.4%
- Growth gap
- -18.8 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 7.79%
- Beta
- 0.91
Behaviour On Record
What BWA's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 36.5% 73rd pct
- Below its peak
- -18.4%
- vs 200-day average
- +8.2%
- Up days (1y)
- 52%
BorgWarner Inc. is currently running 36.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against BWA's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 73rd percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 30.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
BWA is trading -18.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -31.0%, and the deepest was -55.1% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits +8.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 67th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year BWA closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 14 years of records, BWA finished the month higher 7 of 14 times, with a median return of +0.2% and an average of -0.4%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +4.7% on average, its weakest June at -3.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: BWA has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 224 of 3,268 sessions (6.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.0% and -13.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, BWA moved an average of 1.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -1.5% and a largest of -2.5%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against BWA's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of BWA's sector?
BorgWarner Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 9th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).
- Sector rank
- #9 of 11
- Sector state
- Lagging
- Sector rotation score
- 20
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on BWA?
RBC Capital most recently initiated coverage on BorgWarner Inc. to Outperform on Sep 1, 2026 with a price target of $87. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- RBC Capital — Outperform
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
BWA Competitive Positioning
- BWAyou're hereBorgWarner Inc.$13.0B-2.72%
- GPCGenuine Parts Company$18.4B-2.41%
- APTVAptiv PLC$9.3B-2.30%
- LKQLKQ Corporation$6.1B-1.05%
