F·Ford Motor Company

Realized volatility (21d)

21.7% 29th pct

Below its peak

-52.2%

vs 200-day average

-10.0%

Up days (1y)

45%

Ford Motor Company is currently running 21.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against F's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 29th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 26.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

F is trading -52.2% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -23.4%, and the deepest was -56.8% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -10.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 21st percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year F closed higher on 45% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, F finished the month higher 8 of 14 times, with a median return of +1.3% and an average of +2.4%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +5.8% on average, its weakest September at -3.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: F has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 54 of 3,268 sessions (1.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +5.3% and -14.3%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, F moved an average of 1.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.2% and a largest of -3.2%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against F's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.