DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer CyclicalAll sectors
Last updated 8 hours ago

BURL·Burlington Stores, Inc.

$.
+. (+.%)
High
$345.26
Open
$342.13
Market Cap
21.21B
52W High
$351.85
Low
$340.91
P. Close
$336.95
P/E
33.98
52W Low
$218.52
Fwd P/E
155.69
DailyIQ Est.
$407.57
Technical Score (1D)
91
BUY
News Sentiment
51
MIXED
Insider Jennifer Vecchio’s sale of 20,920 shares worth $7.1 million on June 12 signals a possible reassessment of BURL’s valuation, prompting analysts to revisit earnings forecasts and margin expectations. The company’s Q1 earnings beat and raised guidance—driven by double‑digit same‑store sales growth and tighter operating leverage—reinforced its off‑price moat and set a bullish tone for the next few trading days. UBS’s outlook that BURL will continue to gain market share, supported by a 12 % YoY revenue lift and a private‑label strategy, underscores the retailer’s momentum ahead of the holiday season. Analysts note that the Q1 results keep the fair‑value estimate at $367.07 while flagging ongoing cost pressures, suggesting that margin expansion will hinge on further cost‑control initiatives. BURL’s recent breakout above its 50‑day moving average signals short‑term bullish momentum, but the stock remains in a consolidation range, so traders should watch for sustained volume to confirm the trend. The firm’s new ocean freight contracts aim to stabilize shipping cost volatility, which could cushion operating margins if freight rates remain high; monitoring the impact on logistics expense trends will be key. Argus Research’s upgrade of BURL’s target price to $341 reflects confidence in growth prospects, but the valuation upgrade may influence entry decisions. Traders should keep an eye on the upcoming earnings call for guidance on inventory turns, cost‑control progress, and any adjustments to the 2.0 plan. Finally, watch for volume spikes that validate the 50‑day MA breakout and any changes in freight cost impact on margins in the next earnings release.
Earnings Summary
Company Context: Burlington Stores, Inc. is a value‑oriented apparel retailer operating under the Burlington and Cohoes Fashions banners, offering fashion apparel, footwear, accessories, home goods, and more across the United States and Puerto Rico. The company competes in the consumer‑cyclical apparel retail sector, positioning itself as an off‑price retailer that targets cost‑conscious shoppers. Recent Quarterly Performance: In Q4 2024, Burlington reported earnings per share of $4.07 versus an estimate of $3.77, delivering a modest beat of analyst expectations; revenue reached $3.28 billion, though no estimate was provided for comparison. The company’s same‑store sales rose 3.5 % and conversion rates improved, supporting the revenue figure and indicating stronger foot traffic. Historical Streak Analysis: Not enough information is available to assess a multi‑quarter trend or year‑over‑year growth trajectory, as earnings data for Q1 2027 and Q2 2027 are incomplete and prior quarter figures are not supplied. Recent News Context: The latest quarterly report highlighted a Q1 earnings beat and an upward revision of guidance, reinforcing investor confidence; robust category growth amid high consumer prices underscores the resilience of Burlington’s pricing strategy and inventory management. The company’s healthy inventory turnover of 5.2× supports margin expansion and reduces markdown risk, while the dividend policy remains unchanged. Forward‑Looking Watch Points: Investors should watch the upcoming earnings call for details on planned store openings, inventory replenishment plans, and any adjustments to the pricing strategy, as these factors will signal how Burlington intends to sustain its short‑term growth. Monitoring inventory levels, supply‑chain execution, and broader retail‑wholesale sector trends will also be key, as any deviation from raised guidance could quickly alter market sentiment. Finally, macroeconomic data on consumer spending and inflation will provide context for how the off‑price model may perform in the near term.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$3.62$3.94$4.25$4.57$4.88Q4'24Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$4.74 - -
Q4'24$3.77$4.07+8.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.2B$3.3B$3.4B$3.5B$3.6BQ4'24Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$3.6B - -
Q4'24 - $3.3B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

BURL Stock Snapshot

BURL is currently trading at $343.83, giving Burlington Stores, Inc. a market cap of 21.21B and a P/E ratio of 34.0. Today's range spans $340.91–$345.26, with shares opening at $342.13 and moving up $6.88 (2.0%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 91/100 (BUY) with a news sentiment reading of 51/100.

Over the past year BURL has traded between $218.52 and $351.85 - the current price is +57.3% off the 52-week low and -2.3% from the high. 27 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $367.07 (range $300.00–$435.00), implying upside of +6.8%.

The combination of bullish technicals and neutral sentiment for Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) is the kind of setup that shows up in systematic screens before the more discretionary investors arrive. Score 91/100 (BUY), price $343.83 (near 52-week highs), sentiment 51/100. The current P/E ratio stands at 34.0. At 21.21B in Consumer Cyclical market cap, this large-cap name has the right size to matter to a wide range of buyers. Annual range: $218.52–$351.85.

Earnings revision cycles in large-cap Consumer Cyclical names tend to compound: when technicals confirm a BUY thesis (91/100) and news sentiment (51/100, neutral) supports the narrative, analyst upgrades follow price rather than lead it. At $343.83 (near 52-week highs), BURL's position within the $218.52–$351.85 annual range suggests there's room for multiple expansion before the stock encounters meaningful technical resistance.