Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Stock Price, News, Analysis | DailyIQ

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NewEarnings release, scored · filed Aug 27, 2026Guidance raised · tone -1.8 vs prior release · 75 lines scoredSee the breakdown

Technical Score (1D)

28

BEARISH

News Sentiment

72

BULLISH

On the 1D view, BURL is trending bearish with a score of 28 and declining momentum. The SELL signal is technically clear, and price is compressed. The nuance is sentiment: at 72, it's diverging from the price action, suggesting news flow hasn't caught up to the selling yet. That gap between technicals and sentiment doesn't invalidate the chart-based read, but it does add a wildcard. If sentiment eventually turns to confirm the weakness, the move likely has further to run. If sentiment holds and draws in buyers near $247.51, a base could form before a recovery toward $273.84. Position sizing should reflect the unresolved nature of this split. One tell worth tracking here is whether volume expands on tests of $247.51 or dries up instead - expansion suggests the technical read is starting to attract confirming sellers, while a fade suggests sentiment's steadier tone is the more accurate signal. Until that resolves, $273.84 remains the level that would invalidate the bearish case outright.

BURL|Analyst Targets

LOW TARGET

$300 +13.9%

2 analysts

MEAN TARGET

$365 +38.8%

13 analysts

HIGH TARGET

$440 +67.1%

13 analysts

PRICE RANGE

$300.00 - $440.00

SB / B / H / S / SS

7/12/7/1/1

DAILYIQ EST.

$377.64 (+43.4%)

BURL|Company Info

Sector

Consumer Cyclical

Industry

Apparel Retail

Exchange

NYQ

Country

United States

Website

Symbol

BURL

Description

Burlington Stores, Inc. is a value-oriented retailer specializing in branded merchandise across a diverse range of categories. The company's core offering centers on fashion-forward apparel for women, men, and youth, complemented by footwear, accessories, and home goods. Burlington also provides a selection of toys, gifts, beauty products, and baby merchandise, enhancing its appeal to a broad customer base. Operating primarily in the United States and Puerto Rico under the Burlington Stores and Cohoes Fashions banners, the company has established a significant retail presence. Burlington Stores, Inc., founded in 1924 and based in Burlington, New Jersey, focuses on providing customers with attractive merchandise at competitive prices.

BURL|Insider Trading

Bought (1Y)

0 shares

$0

Sold (1Y)

42,164 shares

$14.0M

Vecchio JenniferGroup President and CMO

Sell344 shares2026-10-01

Vecchio JenniferGroup President and CMO

Sell380 shares2026-10-01

Vecchio JenniferGroup President and CMO

Sell591 shares2026-10-01

Vecchio JenniferGroup President and CMO

Sell262 shares2026-10-01

Vecchio JenniferGroup President and CMO

Sell101 shares2026-10-01

BURL|Fundamentals

Bullish

Overall: Bullish

✓Revenue growing year over year

✓Positive net margin

✓Positive operating cash flow

Gross Margin

43.8%

Net Margin

5.3%

Revenue CAGR

8.1%

Current Ratio

1.23x

Debt / Equity

1.15x

Return on Equity

33.8%

BURL|Earnings Snapshot

Earnings Summary

Burlington Stores, Inc. operates as a value‑oriented apparel retailer, offering branded merchandise across apparel, footwear, accessories, and home goods, primarily in the United States and Puerto Rico. The company’s strategy centers on off‑price retailing, positioning it within the broader consumer cyclical apparel sector. In Q4 2024, Burlington reported adjusted earnings per share of $4.07 versus an estimate of $3.77, a 7.6% beat, while revenue reached $3.277 billion, a 38% jump from the prior year’s comparable period, reflecting strong margin expansion and a one‑time $55 million tariff refund. The company’s free‑cash‑flow margin rose 6.1 percentage points, underscoring improved profitability. In Q2 2027, the firm delivered EPS of $2.96 against an estimate of $2.21, a 34% beat, but revenue fell to $2.998 billion from an estimate of $3.094 billion, indicating a slight revenue decline while maintaining earnings strength. Compared to Q1 2027, where EPS guidance was $4.74 and revenue guidance $3.580 billion, the Q2 results show a deceleration in top‑line growth but continued earnings resilience. Historically, Burlington has posted double‑digit revenue growth over the past few years, with same‑store sales rising 3.1% over two years, and has consistently beat earnings estimates in the majority of recent quarters, though revenue growth has occasionally lagged behind EPS gains. Recent news highlights the company’s “Burlington 2.0” merchandising upgrades and a planned expansion to 2,000 stores, signaling confidence in the off‑price model; however, analysts have trimmed price targets amid concerns about margin pressure and the one‑time nature of the tariff refund.

Read full report

EPS

EstBeatMiss

Qtr	Est	Actual	+/−
Q1'27	$4.74	-	-
Q2'27	$2.21	$2.96	+34.0%
Q4'24	$3.77	$4.07	+8.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss

Qtr	Est	Actual	+/−
Q1'27	$3.6B	-	-
Q2'27	$3.1B	$3.0B	-3.1%
Q4'24	-	$3.3B	-

Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context

BURL|Monthly Returns

Market Data

BURL Stock Snapshot

BEARISH28/100

$263.31−$0.03 (0.0%)

Market cap: 17.40B
P/E ratio: 24.4
Day range: $258.10 – $272.93
News sentiment: 72/100 · Bullish
Analyst target: $365.38 (+38.8%)
Consensus: Buy · 28 analysts

52-week range+16.1% off low · -30.4% from high

$226.85$378.33

Price $263.31 DailyIQ Est. $377.64

The trend on BURL is bearish, and its momentum ranks in the lower part of DailyIQ's universe. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into BURL?

RICH

At today's price, Burlington Stores, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 51.8% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 9.11% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 6.1% a year, so the market is asking for 45.6 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis BURL looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth: 51.8%
Historical FCF CAGR: 6.1%
Growth gap: +45.6 pts
Verdict: RICH
Discount rate (WACC): 9.11%
Beta: 0.93

Behaviour On Record

What BURL's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d): 33.6% 57th pct
Below its peak: -25.9%
vs 200-day average: -11.3%
Up days (1y): 52%

Burlington Stores, Inc. is currently running 33.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against BURL's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 57th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 31.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

BURL is trading -25.9% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -25.6%, and the deepest was -62.0% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -11.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 14th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year BURL closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, BURL finished the month higher 4 of 13 times, with a median return of -3.0% and an average of +0.3%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +12.0% on average, its weakest September at -3.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: BURL has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 186 of 3,267 sessions (5.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.0% and -14.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-14 and 2026-10-12, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against BURL's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of BURL's sector?

Burlington Stores, Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 7th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving). Within its narrower Retail industry group, BURL ranks 5th of 15 tracked industries, improving.

Sector rank: #7 of 12
Sector state: Improving
Sector rotation score: 36
Industry rank: #5 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for BURL?

CallsPuts

For Burlington Stores, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 2 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 0.89), with at-the-money implied volatility around 52.3%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±3.8% move by that expiry — a range of about $257.30–$277.70.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16): 0.89
ATM implied volatility: 52.3%
Total open interest: 10,250
Expected move by 2026-10-16: ±3.8% ($257.30–$277.70)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on BURL?

Goldman Sachs most recently reiterated its rating on Burlington Stores, Inc. to Buy on Aug 31, 2026 with a price target of $382 (from $394). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.

Latest action: Goldman Sachs — Buy
90-day upgrades: 0
90-day downgrades: 1
Net rating momentum: -1

Date	Firm	Action	Rating	Price target
Aug 31, 2026	Goldman Sachs	Maintained	Buy	$394 → $382
Aug 31, 2026	Deutsche Bank	Maintained	Hold	$367 → $323
Aug 28, 2026	Citigroup	Maintained	Neutral	$380 → $318
Aug 28, 2026	Bernstein	Maintained	Outperform	$365 → $355
Aug 28, 2026	Morgan Stanley	Maintained	Overweight	$438 → $432
Aug 17, 2026	Evercore ISI Group	Maintained	Outperform	$375 → $400
Aug 17, 2026	UBS	Maintained	Buy	$435 → $440
Aug 14, 2026	Jefferies	Maintained	Buy	$365 → $410
Aug 5, 2026	Citigroup	Downgrade	Buy → Neutral	$380
May 29, 2026	B of A Securities	Maintained	Buy	$367 → $375
May 29, 2026	Truist Securities	Maintained	Hold	$305 → $310
May 29, 2026	JP Morgan	Maintained	Overweight	$374 → $351

Earnings Release, Scored

What did Burlington Stores, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?

Filed Aug 27, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Guidance raised

Tone70.6/ 100-1.8 vs prior release

Hedging words1.13per 100 words+0.11 vs prior release

Tone, last 2 releases

Scale 50–78

Most important lines

1
Increasing full year Adjusted EPS guidance to $11.77 to $11.97
Guidance raised
2
That said, we are raising guidance for the full year, passing through our underlying performance beat from Q2.
Guidance raisedNew this quarter
3
Net income increased 53% compared to the same period in Fiscal 2025 to $299 million, or $4.67 per share vs. $3.05 per share in the prior period.
New this quarter

Peers & ETF holders

BURL peers & ETF holders

Apparel RetailMarket cap · today

Top ETF holdersWeight

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

72/100

Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive

BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles

What did this article say?

Goldman Sachs included Burlington Stores (BURL) in its October U.S. Conviction List, citing expectations of revenue growth above 10% through 2028 driven by new store openings and same‑store sales growth exceeding 3%. The analyst highlighted improving margins toward the retailer’s long‑term target of roughly 10%. The inclusion signals confidence in Burlington’s expansion strategy and operational performance.

What did this article say?

Burlington Stores (BURL) traded at $254.83, roughly 30% below its calculated fair value, prompting investors to reassess the retailer’s valuation. The share price had a modest 7‑day gain of 6.38% but fell 19.17% and 20.56% over the preceding 30‑ and 90‑day periods, indicating a recent loss of momentum. Analysts noted that Burlington’s double‑digit revenue and net income growth remain solid, yet the broader retail sector is under pressure, which may weigh on the stock’s prospects. The market’s focus on fair‑value metrics suggests a cautious stance toward the premium P/E multiple. Overall, the article signals a negative outlook for BURL’s short‑term performance.

What did this article say?

Analysts highlighted Burlington (BURL) as a top Wall Street pick, citing a consensus price target of $364.75 and a 40.7% implied return. The retailer’s same‑store sales grew 3.1% over the past two years, indicating successful customer acquisition and retention. Free cash flow margin increased by 6.1 percentage points, providing capital for expansion or shareholder returns. The article frames BURL as a promising off‑price retailer with expanding product lines and market opportunities.

What did this article say?

Burlington Stores (BURL) has outlined a 2026 plan to grow its retail footprint to 2,000 stores, signaling a continued push into the off‑price apparel and home goods market. The expansion is aimed at capturing value‑seeking shoppers amid a competitive retail landscape, with the company leveraging its strong supply chain and discount model. While the company’s stock has slipped 15% over the past year, the strategic growth plan is viewed as a positive catalyst that could drive future revenue and margin expansion.

What did this article say?

Burlington Stores (BURL) has experienced a flurry of analyst rating and price target revisions in late August 2026. Several major banks, including Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, and Morgan Stanley, lowered their price targets, signaling concerns about the retailer’s near‑term earnings outlook. Conversely, Wells Fargo, Sanford C. Bernstein, and Weiss Ratings issued upgrades or maintained positive stances, reflecting some confidence in the company’s long‑term positioning. The net effect is a modest negative bias, as the downward revisions outweigh the upward ones, but the magnitude remains moderate and largely confined to analyst sentiment rather than a fundamental shift in the business model.

What did this article say?

Burlington Stores’ share price has risen 70% over three years, yet recent weakness and a low value score suggest the stock may be overvalued for new investors. Management’s earnings‑growth and pricing plans are driving optimism, but rising cost pressures threaten margins and future cash flow. The company’s 1‑out‑of‑6 valuation rating indicates that the current price may already reflect much of its upside, leaving limited room for further gains.

What did this article say?

Burlington Stores reported second‑quarter sales of $2.998 billion, up 11% YoY, and net income of $184 million, more than double the prior year. Earnings per share rose to $2.88 from $1.47, reflecting improved margin and cost control. The company lifted its 2026 earnings guidance while issuing a more cautious near‑term outlook, signaling confidence in long‑term growth but prudence amid retail headwinds.

What did this article say?

Burlington Stores shares have slipped more than 30% from their July peak following a cautious quarterly outlook, driving the RSI into deeply oversold territory. Despite the sell‑off, the company has lifted its full‑year revenue forecast, suggesting management remains optimistic about long‑term growth. The market reaction reflects a short‑term concern over the guidance, while the upward revision indicates potential upside if the company can execute its plans.

What did this article say?

Burlington Stores (BURL) posted a robust second‑quarter earnings report on August 27, with adjusted EPS rising 38% to $2.37 after a $55 million tariff refund was reinvested into pricing. Total sales increased, reinforcing the retailer’s off‑price growth engine amid favorable weather forecasts. The company’s strategy of passing savings to customers rather than retaining the refund signals confidence in continued demand and pricing power.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

28

BEARISH

Momentum rank against about 1,000 stocks and ETFs for this timeframe.

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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership

25 tracked managers · $9.85B combined position · 15 adding, 10 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)

Manager	Trend	Shares Held	% of Co.	Position Value	Filed
BlackRock, Inc.	▲ Buy	6,810,348	10.31%	$2.16B	2026-08-07
JPMorgan Chase & Co	▼ Sell	6,284,294	9.51%	$1.98B	2026-08-12
Vanguard Group Inc	▼ Sell	6,409,797	9.70%	$1.85B	2026-01-29
Morgan Stanley	▼ Sell	2,110,639	3.19%	$668.65M	2026-08-13
AQR Capital Management LLC	▲ Buy	1,450,868	2.20%	$450.19M	2026-08-14
Geode Capital Management, LLC	▲ Buy	1,277,055	1.93%	$403.52M	2026-08-12
FMR LLC (Fidelity)	▲ Buy	1,203,303	1.82%	$381.21M	2026-08-13
Janus Henderson Group plc	▲ Buy	880,017	1.33%	$286.34M	2026-05-18
Goldman Sachs Group Inc	▲ Buy	878,425	1.33%	$278.29M	2026-08-14
Norges Bank	▲ Buy	819,920	1.24%	$259.75M	2026-08-12
Wellington Management Group LLP	▲ Buy	650,492	0.98%	$206.08M	2026-08-14
Northern Trust Corp	▼ Sell	562,340	0.85%	$178.15M	2026-08-13
Bank of America Corp	▼ Sell	407,119	0.62%	$128.98M	2026-08-14
AllianceBernstein L.P.	▼ Sell	271,203	0.41%	$88.24M	2026-08-14
Marshall Wace, LLP	▲ Buy	227,440	0.34%	$72.05M	2026-08-13
Citigroup Inc	▲ Buy	214,991	0.33%	$68.11M	2026-08-03
Millennium Management LLC	▼ Sell	189,514	0.29%	$60.04M	2026-08-14
Sculptor Capital LP	▲ Buy	178,500	0.27%	$56.55M	2026-08-14
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.	▼ Sell	172,448	0.26%	$54.63M	2026-08-14
Balyasny Asset Management L.P.	▼ Sell	153,388	0.23%	$48.59M	2026-08-14
Neuberger Berman Group LLC	▲ Buy	144,106	0.22%	$45.65M	2026-08-13
Invesco Ltd.	▼ Sell	131,455	0.20%	$41.64M	2026-08-14
Squarepoint Ops LLC	▲ Buy	116,548	0.18%	$36.92M	2026-08-14
Two Sigma Investments, LP	▲ Buy	81,500	0.12%	$25.82M	2026-08-14
Wells Fargo & Company	▲ Buy	78,057	0.12%	$24.73M	2026-08-14

Q2 2026 flow:1.49M sh bought ($470.75M)658.9K sh sold ($208.31M)net +829.3K sh (+$262.43M)

Congressional Trading Activity

4 disclosed trades · ~$32.0K est. traded value · 2 buys, 2 sells

Member	Chamber	State	Type	Amount	Traded	Filed
Lisa McClain	House	MI09	▼ Sell	$1K - $15K	2025-09-11	2025-10-22
Lisa McClain	House	MI09	▲ Buy	$1K - $15K	2025-08-13	2025-09-12
Lisa McClain	House	MI09	▼ Sell	$1K - $15K	2025-06-17	2025-08-13
Lisa McClain	House	MI09	▲ Buy	$1K - $15K	2025-06-11	2025-08-13