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DKS·Dick's Sporting Goods Inc

$123.31
-7.46 (-5.70%)
High
$131.38
Open
$130.00
Market Cap
12.01B
52W High
$244.38
Low
$122.94
P. Close
$123.31
P/E
14.31
52W Low
$120.40
Fwd P/E
9.81
DailyIQ Est.
$172.22
Inst. Ownership
44.2%
Short Interest
8.38%
Days to Cover
1.1
Technical Score (1D)
9
SELL
News Sentiment
53
MIXED
Baird has just downgraded Dick’s Sporting Goods from Outperform to Neutral, citing margin pressure and a recent earnings miss that underscored weaker same‑store sales. The move signals a shift in the brokerage’s view that the retailer’s current growth trajectory is less sustainable amid intensifying competition from both e‑commerce and big‑box rivals. The downgrade is likely to weigh on investor sentiment for the next 1–10 trading days as traders reassess the company’s profitability outlook. The key driver is the narrowing gross margin, which could limit the firm’s ability to invest in inventory and marketing without eroding earnings. In addition, slower revenue growth suggests that the company may struggle to maintain its current sales momentum in a market where consumers are increasingly price‑sensitive. Watch for the next earnings report to see whether DKS can demonstrate a turnaround in same‑store sales and margin improvement. Pay close attention to any guidance on cost‑control initiatives or strategic shifts toward online channels, as these will be critical to restoring confidence. Finally, monitor competitive pricing moves from major rivals, which could further compress DKS’s margins if the retailer cannot differentiate its product mix.
Earnings Summary
Dick’s Sporting Goods Inc. is a leading omnichannel specialty retailer offering sporting goods, apparel, and footwear across the United States, with a strategy that blends physical stores, online platforms, and specialty concept stores such as Golf Galaxy and Public Lands. Operating within the Consumer Cyclical sector, Dick’s competes on product breadth and customer experience, while navigating margin pressures from e‑commerce and big‑box rivals. Recent quarterly performance shows a mixed pattern: Q4 2024 EPS of $3.62 beat the $3.51 estimate, and revenue reached $3.89 bn, indicating a healthy quarter. However, Q4 2025 EPS data is missing, and revenue estimates of $6.06 bn are unconfirmed, leaving a gap in the trend. In 2027, projected EPS for Q2 and Q3 are $3.80 and $1.38 respectively, with revenue estimates of $5.71 bn and $5.13 bn, suggesting a potential decline in EPS and a modest revenue contraction. Historically, Dick’s has delivered EPS beats in the most recent quarter but has faced margin compression, as highlighted by a Baird downgrade citing weaker same‑store sales and narrowing gross margin. Recent news reports a downgrade to Strong Sell by Zacks after a 20% EPS decline, driven by the Foot Locker acquisition’s impact on comparable sales, and a dividend announcement reflecting confidence in cash flow despite a trimmed profit outlook. Forward‑looking watch points include observing the Foot Locker integration progress, any guidance on same‑store sales recovery, and the impact of the securities‑fraud lawsuit on investor sentiment, as these elements will influence the next earnings cycle.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$2.88$3.09$3.30$3.51$3.72Q4'24Q4'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'25$2.97 - -
Q4'24$3.51$3.62+3.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.6B$4.3B$5.0B$5.7B$6.4BQ4'24Q4'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'25$6.1B - -
Q4'24 - $3.9B -

Market Data

DKS Stock Snapshot

SELL9/100
$123.31$7.46 (5.7%)
Market cap
12.01B
P/E ratio
14.3
Day range
$122.94 – $131.38
News sentiment
53/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$163.22 (+32.4%)
Consensus
Buy · 32 analysts
52-week range+2.4% off low · -49.5% from high
$120.40$244.38
Price $123.31 DailyIQ Est. $172.22

DKS's technical picture is under pressure, with momentum working against price. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Behaviour On Record

What DKS's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
130.0% 99th pct
Below its peak
-49.7%
vs 200-day average
-38.8%
Up days (1y)
46%

Dick's Sporting Goods Inc is currently running 130.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against DKS's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 99th percentile an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 34.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

DKS is trading -49.7% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -32.0%, and the deepest was -65.8% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -38.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 2nd percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year DKS closed higher on 46% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 14 years of records, DKS finished the month higher 6 of 14 times, with a median return of -3.5% and an average of -1.7%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +6.2% on average, its weakest October at -2.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: DKS has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 204 of 3,268 sessions (6.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.3% and -12.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against DKS's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of DKS's sector?

Dick's Sporting Goods Inc sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 9th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging). Within its narrower Retail industry group, DKS ranks 8th of 15 tracked industries, lagging.

Sector rank
#9 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
20
Industry rank
#8 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for DKS?

CallsPuts

For Dick's Sporting Goods Inc's nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 3 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.68), with at-the-money implied volatility around 55.9%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.7% move by that expiry — a range of about $117.44–$129.06.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.68
ATM implied volatility
55.9%
Total open interest
50,945
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±4.7% ($117.44–$129.06)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on DKS?

Baird most recently downgraded Dick's Sporting Goods Inc to Neutral on Sep 14, 2026 with a price target of $150. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 4 downgrades, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
BairdNeutral
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
4
Net rating momentum
-3
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 14, 2026BairdDowngradeOutperform → Neutral$150
Sep 9, 2026BMO CapitalInitiatedUnderperform$110
Aug 27, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$280 → $190
Aug 27, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$275 → $178
Aug 26, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$245 → $200
Aug 26, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$264 → $150
Aug 26, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedBuy$271 → $170
Aug 26, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$270 → $150
Aug 26, 2026Telsey Advisory GroupDowngradeOutperform → Market Perform$255 → $145
Aug 26, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$270 → $180
Aug 26, 2026KGI SecuritiesDowngradeOutperform → Neutral-
Aug 26, 2026Truist SecuritiesDowngradeBuy → Hold$270 → $135

DKS Competitive Positioning

Dick's Sporting Goods Inc (DKS) is tracked alongside these names in Specialty Retail on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.