DailyIQ
Last updated3 minutes ago

FLEX·Flex Ltd.

$108.51
-0.50 (-0.46%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$108.71+0.20 (+0.18%)
High
$111.00
Open
$109.55
Market Cap
40.08B
52W High
$166.86
Low
$107.51
P. Close
$108.51
P/E
41.20
52W Low
$53.07
Fwd P/E
15.26
DailyIQ Est.
$164.88
Inst. Ownership
54.6%
Short Interest
2.67%
Days to Cover
3.6
Technical Score (1D)
27
SELL
News Sentiment
62
BULLISH
The most recent update is that Flex’s planned $4.4 billion acquisition of EPC Power is moving forward, with a closing expected in Q4 2026 and a subsequent spin‑off of the Cloud‑and‑Power‑Infrastructure (CPI) unit as Axiom Solutions International (AXM) in Q1 2027. The deal will give Flex immediate access to EPC Power’s high‑density power‑conversion assets, enabling the company to scale AI‑centric data‑center deployments and capture a larger share of the growing AI workload market. Because the CPI segment will be spun off, Flex’s balance sheet will be re‑structured, shifting a significant portion of future cash flows into the new entity and potentially improving the valuation multiples of the remaining manufacturing‑focused business. Analysts are revisiting Flex’s 41.0× P/E and DCF models to determine whether the post‑deal cash‑flow profile can justify the current price, given the timing shift of earnings from the CPI unit. The spin‑off also clarifies Flex’s investment narrative, separating its high‑growth AI infrastructure from its regulated manufacturing core, which could enhance capital allocation and attract investors focused on either segment. In the next 1–10 trading days, watch for any updates on the EPC Power closing timeline, as a delay could postpone the CPI spin‑off and alter the expected cash‑flow re‑allocation. Monitor the SEC filings for the Form 10 registration statement to gauge the regulatory progress of the Axiom separation, as any procedural setbacks could impact the Q1 2027 completion target. Finally, keep an eye on market sentiment around AI‑driven data‑center demand, as a shift in that macro trend will directly influence the valuation of both Flex and the forthcoming Axiom entity.
Earnings Summary
Flex Ltd. is a global manufacturing and supply‑chain solutions provider that serves a broad array of industries through its Flex Agility Solutions and Flex Reliability Solutions segments, positioning it as a key partner for technology and consumer device makers. In the most recent quarter, Q1 2025, the company reported EPS of $0.73 versus an estimate of $0.694, and revenue of $6.40 billion, indicating a modest earnings beat and solid top‑line performance. The following quarter, Q1 2027, saw EPS rise to $1.00 against an estimate of $0.929, while revenue climbed to $7.93 billion from $7.71 billion in Q1 2026, reflecting a clear acceleration in both earnings and sales growth. Across the four quarters with available data, Flex has consistently outperformed analyst expectations on EPS in three of the four periods, and revenue growth has been steady, with a 4.4 % increase from Q1 2025 to Q1 2027. Historically, the company has maintained a YoY revenue growth trajectory of roughly 5–6 % per quarter, while EPS growth has outpaced revenue, underscoring efficient cost management and margin expansion. Recent news highlights Flex’s definitive $4.4 billion acquisition of EPC Power, which will add high‑density power‑conversion capacity to its Cloud and Power Infrastructure segment and is slated to close in Q4 2026; the deal is expected to contribute $800 million in 2026 revenue and a 30 % EBITDA margin in 2027, potentially creating a high‑margin revenue stream that could be spun off as a separate public company in Q1 2027. Investors should watch for regulatory and financing approvals that could affect the closing timeline, as well as early integration milestones that may influence the pace of revenue acceleration and margin improvement in the CPI segment. Key will be monitoring any updates on EPC Power’s deployment to existing data‑center customers and the broader AI infrastructure market dynamics that could impact the newly formed CPI entity.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.65$0.75$0.85$0.95$1.05Q1'25Q1'27Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$0.89 - -
Q1'27$0.93$1.00+7.6%
Q1'25$0.69$0.73+5.2%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$6.2B$6.7B$7.2B$7.7B$8.2BQ1'25Q1'27Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$7.1B - -
Q1'27$7.7B$7.9B+2.9%
Q1'25 - $6.4B -

Market Data

FLEX Stock Snapshot

SELL27/100
$108.71+$0.20 (0.2%)
Market cap
40.08B
P/E ratio
41.2
Day range
$107.51 – $111.00
News sentiment
62/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$160.50 (+47.6%)
Consensus
Buy · 22 analysts
52-week range+104.8% off low · -34.8% from high
$53.07$166.86
Price $108.71 DailyIQ Est. $164.88

Price action on FLEX is defensive - rallies are being sold rather than extended. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into FLEX?

RICH

At today's price, Flex Ltd. needs to grow free cash flow about 38.5% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 12.36% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 1.4% a year, so the market is asking for 37.1 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis FLEX looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
38.5%
Historical FCF CAGR
1.4%
Growth gap
+37.1 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
12.36%
Beta
1.64

Behaviour On Record

What FLEX's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
49.5% 79th pct
Below its peak
-32.8%
vs 200-day average
+11.7%
Up days (1y)
52%

Flex Ltd. is currently running 49.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FLEX's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 79th percentile elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 34.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

FLEX is trading -32.8% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -23.4%, and the deepest was -64.6% in 2018. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +11.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 57th percentile a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year FLEX closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, FLEX finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.4% and an average of +0.7%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +11.6% on average, its weakest March at -1.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: FLEX has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 342 of 3,267 sessions (10.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +31.7% and -11.3%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FLEX's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of FLEX's sector?

Flex Ltd. sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 1st of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading). Within its narrower Semiconductors industry group, FLEX ranks 2nd of 15 tracked industries, leading.

Sector rank
#1 of 11
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
90
Industry rank
#2 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for FLEX?

CallsPuts

For Flex Ltd.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 26 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 0.87), with at-the-money implied volatility around 58.9%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±16.6% move by that expiry — a range of about $91.49–$127.83.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.87
ATM implied volatility
58.9%
Total open interest
11,404
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±16.6% ($91.49–$127.83)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on FLEX?

Freedom Capital Markets most recently reiterated its rating on Flex Ltd. to Buy on Sep 8, 2026 with a price target of $150. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Freedom Capital MarketsBuy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 8, 2026Freedom Capital MarketsMaintainedBuy$150
Jul 30, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedBuy$177 → $154
Jul 30, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$203 → $144
Jun 4, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$174 → $203
May 28, 2026Freedom Capital MarketsInitiatedHold$144
May 8, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedBuy$84 → $177
May 7, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$72 → $174
May 7, 2026KeybancMaintainedOverweight$75 → $180
Apr 20, 2026StifelMaintainedBuy$75 → $95
Apr 16, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$75 → $84
Mar 12, 2026BairdInitiatedOutperform$70
Feb 5, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$71 → $72

FLEX Competitive Positioning

Flex Ltd. (FLEX) is tracked alongside these names in Electronic Components on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.