HUBS·HubSpot Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

65.8% 85th pct

Below its peak

-74.3%

vs 200-day average

-10.3%

Up days (1y)

49%

HubSpot Inc. is currently running 65.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against HUBS's own 12 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 85th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 41.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

HUBS is trading -74.3% below its running peak. Across 11 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -31.1%, and the deepest was -57.9% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -10.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 26th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year HUBS closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 12 years of records, HUBS finished the month higher 8 of 12 times, with a median return of +3.8% and an average of +3.4%. Its strongest month historically has been February at +7.6% on average, its weakest March at -6.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: HUBS has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 255 of 3,013 sessions (8.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +11.7% and -13.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,014 daily closes between 2014-10-09 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against HUBS's own 12-year history, not a peer group or index.