HUBS·HubSpot Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

48.7% 64th pct

Below its peak

-74.2%

vs 200-day average

-8.2%

Up days (1y)

48%

HubSpot Inc. is currently running 48.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against HUBS's own 12 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 64th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 41.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

HUBS is trading -74.2% below its running peak. Across 11 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -31.1%, and the deepest was -57.9% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -8.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 28th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year HUBS closed higher on 48% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 12 years of records, HUBS finished the month higher 8 of 12 times, with a median return of +3.8% and an average of +3.4%. Its strongest month historically has been February at +7.6% on average, its weakest March at -6.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: HUBS has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 254 of 3,019 sessions (8.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +11.7% and -13.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,020 daily closes between 2014-10-09 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against HUBS's own 12-year history, not a peer group or index.