DailyIQ
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IOT·Samsara Inc. Class A

$41.73
-0.66 (-1.56%)
Overnight$41.90+0.17 (+0.41%)
High
$43.00
Open
$42.70
Market Cap
24.82B
52W High
$47.47
Low
$41.44
P. Close
$41.73
P/E
274.13
52W Low
$23.38
Fwd P/E
44.03
DailyIQ Est.
$53.93
Inst. Ownership
0.2%
Short Interest
4.99%
Days to Cover
2.8
Technical Score (1D)
91
BULLISH
News Sentiment
55
BULLISH
On Oct 5, Jefferies issued a buy rating for Samsara (IOT) and set a $50 price target, citing the company’s strong growth prospects and expanding IoT platform. The brokerage highlighted Samsara’s recent product launches and market expansion as key drivers behind the recommendation. Jefferies noted confidence that the company could capture additional IoT market share. The rating upgrade was reported as a positive signal for investor sentiment. No other developments were reported for the date.
LOW TARGET
$39 -6.9%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$52 +24.3%
17 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$60 +43.2%
11 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$39.00 - $60.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
6/15/7/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$53.93 (+28.7%)
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
5,770,055 shares
$204.7M
Phillips DominicSEE REMARKS
Sell418 shares2026-10-01
Phillips DominicSEE REMARKS
Sell17,490 shares2026-10-01
Phillips DominicSEE REMARKS
Sell282 shares2026-10-01
Phillips DominicSEE REMARKS
Sell11,782 shares2026-10-01
Bicket JohnSEE REMARKS
Sell7,504 shares2026-10-01
76/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✕Negative net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
76.7%
Net Margin
-0.6%
Revenue CAGR
45.3%
Current Ratio
1.64x
Return on Equity
-0.6%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.05$0.09$0.14$0.18$0.22Q2'25Q2'27Q3'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'27$0.19 - -
Q2'27$0.16$0.20+23.9%
Q2'25$0.07$0.12+65.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$373M$413M$453M$494M$534MQ2'25Q2'27Q3'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'27$515M - -
Q2'27$488M$508M+4.2%
Q2'25 - $391M -

Market Data

IOT Stock Snapshot

BULLISH91/100
$41.90+$0.17 (0.4%)
Market cap
24.82B
P/E ratio
274.1
Day range
$41.44 – $43.00
News sentiment
55/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$52.07 (+24.3%)
Consensus
Buy · 30 analysts
52-week range+79.2% off low · -11.7% from high
$23.38$47.47
Price $41.90 DailyIQ Est. $53.93

Momentum is working in IOT's favour - the indicator set leans bullish rather than mixed. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Behaviour On Record

What IOT's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
64.5% 59th pct
Below its peak
-30.4%
vs 200-day average
+25.8%
Up days (1y)
49%

Samsara Inc. Class A is currently running 64.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against IOT's own 5 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 59th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 58.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

IOT is trading -30.4% below its running peak. Across 4 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -40.5%, and the deepest was -67.8% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +25.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 73rd percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year IOT closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 4 sessions into a rising streak.

Overnight risk is measurable too: IOT has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 188 of 1,204 sessions (15.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.5% and -8.3%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 1,205 daily closes between 2021-12-15 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against IOT's own 5-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of IOT's sector?

Samsara Inc. Class A sits in the Software sector, currently ranked 2nd of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#2 of 12
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
100

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on IOT?

Jefferies most recently initiated coverage on Samsara Inc. Class A to Buy on Oct 5, 2026 with a price target of $50. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
Jefferies — Buy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
1
Net rating momentum
-1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 5, 2026JefferiesInitiatedBuy$50
Sep 15, 2026Cantor FitzgeraldInitiatedOverweight$45
Sep 4, 2026BNP ParibasMaintainedOutperform$40 → $55
Sep 4, 2026Piper SandlerReiteratedNeutral$40 → $46
Sep 4, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedHold$38 → $48
Sep 4, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$43 → $49
Sep 4, 2026JP MorganMaintainedNeutral$48 → $52
Sep 4, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$47 → $55
Sep 4, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedOutperform$44 → $54
Sep 4, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$50 → $58
Sep 4, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$50 → $55
Sep 4, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$48 → $53

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

55/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MODERATELY BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
On October 1, 2026, Samsara Chief Financial Officer Dominic Phillips sold 29,972 shares of the company, totaling $1,168,030. The transaction reduced his direct holdings to 742,052 shares while maintaining indirect control over 1,036,149 shares. The sale was disclosed via a Form 4 filing with the SEC, indicating a significant divestiture by a senior executive.
What did this article say?
The article evaluates two stocks priced under $50, highlighting their potential upside while cautioning against one due to declining revenue and postponed customer purchases. It notes that the company with a 4.3% annual revenue decline is best avoided. The piece emphasizes the importance of distinguishing solid fundamentals from shaky business models in the $10-50 price range.
What did this article say?
Samsara announced a major partnership with Asplundh, deploying its safety and efficiency technologies across thousands of North American vehicles, and launched its MCP platform to integrate customer data with third‑party AI assistants. The company also secured a hockey sponsorship featuring Samsara‑equipped equipment. These developments are expected to broaden Samsara’s platform reach and enhance its value proposition.
What did this article say?
Jefferies announced a buy rating for Samsara (IOT) on October 5, setting a $50 price target. The brokerage cited the company’s strong growth prospects and expanding IoT platform as key drivers. Analysts noted that the new rating aligns with Samsara’s recent product launches and market expansion. The recommendation reflects confidence in the company’s ability to capture additional IoT market share. The rating upgrade is expected to influence investor sentiment and potentially lift the stock price.
What did this article say?
Jefferies analyst Samad Samana announced a new coverage of Samsara (IOT) on October 5, assigning a Buy rating and setting a price target of $50. The firm cited Samsara’s strong growth trajectory in connected industrial solutions and its expanding customer base as key drivers. The rating upgrade signals confidence in the company’s ability to capitalize on the growing demand for IoT-enabled fleet and asset management. The announcement is expected to influence investor sentiment and may support the stock’s upward momentum.
What did this article say?
On September 29, 2026, John Bicket, a 10% owner and executive at Samsara (IOT), sold 263,900 shares for $10,036,613, as disclosed in a Form 4 filing. The sale reduced his direct holdings to 450,907 shares while maintaining indirect control over 1,254,798 shares. The transaction lowered his total stake to 1,705,705 Class A shares. The move may signal a shift in confidence or a need for liquidity among senior management.
What did this article say?
Samsara Inc. announced a season‑long partnership with the Laval Rocket, the American Hockey League affiliate of the Montreal Canadiens, marking the company’s first professional hockey sponsorship. The deal equips Place Bell’s Zamboni® ice resurfacers with Samsara 360 Camera and Vehicle Gateway devices, allowing real‑time monitoring of ice maintenance. The collaboration demonstrates Samsara’s ability to extend its Connected Operations® Platform into new verticals, potentially opening further opportunities in sports and entertainment venues.
What did this article say?
Samsara (IOT) secured a partnership with Asplundh to install its AI dash cams, vehicle gateways, powered asset gateways and asset tags across the company’s North American operations. The agreement covers tens of thousands of vehicles and specialty equipment used in vegetation control, power line construction, and utility maintenance. While financial terms were not disclosed, the deal expands IOT’s presence in the infrastructure and utility sector, reinforcing its market position.
What did this article say?
Samsara Inc. (IOT) announced that Asplundh, a global leader in vegetation management, has chosen its Connected Operations® Platform to enhance safety and efficiency across tens of thousands of vehicles and specialty equipment in North America. The partnership incorporates Samsara AI Dash Cams, Vehicle Gateways, Powered Asset Gateways, and Asset Tags, providing comprehensive telematics and asset tracking. The deal is expected to expand Samsara’s market presence in the infrastructure services sector and reinforce its position as a leader in fleet management solutions.
What did this article say?
Samsara (IOT) unveiled its Model Context Protocol (MCP) at the Beyond 2026 conference, allowing real‑time operational data to feed directly into AI assistants and third‑party business systems. The protocol eliminates the need for custom integrations, enabling seamless connections to HR, finance, and procurement platforms. MCP debuted alongside Agent Studio, a tool that lets enterprises build customized AI workflows on Samsara’s data layer. The move signals a strategic push toward AI‑centric operations and positions Samsara as a key enabler for enterprise AI adoption.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

91
BULLISH
Technical indicators reflect the latest computed signal mix for this timeframe.
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
1 tracked managers · $38.50M combined position · 0 adding, 0 trimming, 1 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Citadel Advisors LLC• Hold1,187,2000.20%$38.50M2026-09-02
Q2 2026 flow:1.19M sh bought ($38.50M)0 sh sold ($0)net +1.19M sh (+$38.50M)