DailyIQ
Last updated 4 minutes ago

KTOS·Kratos Defense and Security Solutions

$.
+. (+.%)
After Hours
High
$50.97
Open
$48.95
Market Cap
9.06B
52W High
$134.00
Low
$47.00
P. Close
$50.36
P/E
308.00
52W Low
$44.85
Fwd P/E
43.04
DailyIQ Est.
$119.19
Technical Score (1D)
27
SELL
News Sentiment
89
BULLISH
U.S. military use of sea drones in recent night‑time strikes has sparked a surge in demand for autonomous warfare platforms, and investors are interpreting this as a potential uptick in loitering‑munition and counter‑drone orders for Kratos. The heightened conflict is viewed as a real‑world test case for autonomous defense systems, which has lifted the company’s stock in the last few hours. Earlier this week, Kratos beat Q1 earnings estimates by 23 % and raised its FY26 revenue guidance to $1.7 billion, reinforcing confidence in its contract pipeline despite a 93‑times forward P/E that remains a valuation concern. The earnings beat also signals strong execution and a growing backlog that could translate into near‑term revenue growth. In addition, the company secured a $100 million sole‑source prime contract to build a ground‑based modular space‑domain awareness system, expanding its footprint in national‑security technology and adding a new revenue stream. The contract’s production ramp‑up timeline and any subsequent follow‑on orders will be critical to turning the award into earnings. Over the next 1–10 trading days, traders should watch for announcements of new NATO defense deals and monitor how quickly Kratos converts its backlog into actual revenue.
Earnings Summary
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, headquartered in San Diego, delivers advanced technologies for defense, national security, and commercial customers through its Government Solutions and Unmanned Systems segments, positioning it firmly within the aerospace and defense industry. In the most recent four quarters, Kratos has consistently outperformed analyst expectations, with Q3 2025 earnings per share of $0.28 versus an estimate of $0.12462 and Q4 2025 EPS of $0.18 against a $0.15496 forecast; revenue rose from $302.6 million in Q1 2025 to $347.6 million in Q3 2025 and reached $345.1 million in Q4 2025, reflecting a steady upward trajectory despite a slight dip in Q4 relative to Q2. Historically, the company has maintained a streak of earnings beats, recording six consecutive quarters of EPS above estimates and a revenue growth path that has moved from $283.1 million in Q4 2024 to $371 million in Q1 2026, underscoring disciplined execution and a robust backlog. Recent developments include a $100 million sole‑source prime contract for a ground‑based modular space‑domain awareness system, a 106,000‑square‑foot expansion of its Oklahoma City manufacturing campus to boost jet‑powered system capacity, and a 23 % earnings beat in Q1 2025 that prompted a $1.7 billion FY26 revenue guidance revision; these events signal heightened demand for autonomous warfare platforms amid rising geopolitical tensions. Going forward, investors should watch for the timing of contract milestones and the pace at which the expanded facility reaches full utilization, as well as any new NATO defense deals that could accelerate backlog conversion into revenue, all of which will be critical to sustaining the company’s earnings momentum.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.08$0.11$0.14$0.16$0.19Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$0.15 - -
Q1'26$0.14$0.16+17.3%
Q4'25$0.15$0.18+16.2%
Q3'25$0.12$0.14+12.3%
Q2'25$0.09$0.11+17.7%
Q1'25$0.09$0.12+32.8%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$285M$323M$361M$398M$436MQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$419M - -
Q1'26$346M$371M+7.1%
Q4'25$347M$345M-0.6%
Q3'25 - $348M -
Q2'25 - $352M -
Q1'25 - $303M -

Market Data

KTOS Stock Snapshot

KTOS is currently trading at $50.97, giving Kratos Defense and Security Solutions a market cap of 9.06B and a P/E ratio of 308.0. Today's range spans $47.00–$50.97, with shares opening at $48.95 and moving up $0.61 (1.2%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 27/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 89/100.

Over the past year KTOS has traded between $44.85 and $134.00 - the current price is +13.6% off the 52-week low and -62.0% from the high. 31 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $109.33 (range $60.00–$150.00), implying upside of +114.5%.

KTOS is at $50.97 (near 52-week lows within $44.85–$134.00), carrying a SELL technical signal (27/100) and bullish sentiment (89/100). (P/E: 308.0) At 9.06B in Industrials market cap, a non-bullish setup doesn't necessarily mean fundamental deterioration - sometimes it means the stock is in a dead money phase where patience is the only viable strategy. Tracking volume alongside price action is especially important at this tier.

The absence of strong institutional sponsorship makes KTOS's SELL signal (27/100) more consequential than the same signal in a larger name — at 9.06B in Industrials market cap, there are fewer natural buyers to absorb selling pressure, which means the $44.85–$134.00 range's lower bound becomes a sharper test of the thesis. Sentiment at 89/100 (bullish) and price at $50.97 (near 52-week lows) don't yet suggest stabilization is imminent.