CIEN|Analyst Targets
CIEN|Company Info
CIEN|Insider Trading
CIEN|Fundamentals
CIEN|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $2.13 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $1.73 | $2.11 | +22.1% |
| Q2'26 | $1.49 | $1.64 | +10.4% |
| Q1'26 | $1.19 | $1.35 | +13.8% |
| Q4'24 | $0.41 | $0.64 | +54.7% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $1.8B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $1.8B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $1.5B | $1.6B | +2.4% |
| Q1'26 | $1.4B | $1.4B | +0.2% |
| Q4'24 | - | $1.1B | - |
CIEN|Monthly Returns
Market Data
CIEN Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 38.61B
- P/E ratio
- 59.0
- Day range
- $228.00 – $256.48
- News sentiment
- 65/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $512.99 (+111.8%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 30 analysts
The signal on CIEN is bullish: price action is confirming the underlying trend, not fighting it. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Technology tend to move together on rotation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into CIEN?
At today's price, Ciena Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 42.9% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 12.23% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 6.7% a year, so the market is asking for 36.2 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis CIEN looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 42.9%
- Growth trend
- 6.7%
- Growth gap
- +36.2 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 12.23%
- Beta
- 1.82
Behaviour On Record
What CIEN's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 96.7% 99th pct
- Below its peak
- -57.8%
- vs 200-day average
- -34.4%
- Up days (1y)
- 54%
Ciena Corporation is currently running 96.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against CIEN's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 99th percentile — an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 35.8%.
CIEN is trading -57.8% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -28.6%, and the deepest was -57.8% in 2026. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -34.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 0th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year CIEN closed higher on 54% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, CIEN finished the month higher 10 of 13 times, with a median return of +6.1% and an average of +4.9%. Its strongest month historically has been December at +10.3% on average, its weakest March at -4.9%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: CIEN has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 244 of 3,269 sessions (7.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.3% and -9.5%.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, CIEN moved an average of 4.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -2.0% and a largest of -9.9%.
All figures computed from 3,270 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against CIEN's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of CIEN's sector?
Ciena Corporation sits in the Software sector, currently ranked 11th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).
- Sector rank
- #11 of 12
- Sector state
- Lagging
- Sector rotation score
- 18
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect CIEN to earn?
Analysts expect Ciena Corporation to earn $7.17 per share in the fiscal year ending Oct 2026 and $15.36 in the fiscal year ending Oct 2028, from 2 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on CIEN?
Bernstein most recently initiated coverage on Ciena Corporation to Outperform on Sep 30, 2026 with a price target of $440. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 2 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.
- Latest action
- Bernstein: Outperform
- 90-day upgrades
- 2
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- +2
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Ciena Corporation's latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
Raising revenue guidance for fiscal year 2026 to $6.42 billion plus or minus $50 million, a 35% increase year-over-year at the midpoint
Guidance raised - 2
$1.67 billion in the fiscal third quarter 2026, compared to $1.22 billion in the fiscal third quarter 2025
- 3
$1.83 GAAP and $2.11 adjusted (non-GAAP) for the fiscal third quarter 2026, compared to $0.35 and $0.67 for fiscal third quarter 2025, respectively
Peers & ETF holders
CIEN peers & ETF holders
Communication EquipmentMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about CIEN?
CIEN fell 45.6% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 64 and 76 from Oct 6 to Oct 9, then dropped to 20 on Oct 12.
- Oct 6 +14.1%same day: Here’s How Much You Would Have Made Owning Ciena Stock In The Last 15 Years
- Oct 14 -12.1%same day: Ciena: AI Demand Is Outrunning Supply
- Nov 5 -15.2%same day: Ciena, Nokia, and Cisco Named Leaders in ABI Research’s Open Line Systems for Data Center Interconnect Scale-Across Ranking
Technical analysis
How strong is CIEN's momentum right now?
On the daily chart CIEN ranks at the 95th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bullish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling CIEN?
141 of the 225 tracked managers added to CIEN in their latest 13F and 82 trimmed. Together they own 73.7% of the company, worth $56.0B. Fidelity and BlackRock alone hold 20.2%.
- 1FMR LLC (Fidelity)12.14%$9.4B positionTrimmed 9.9% last quarter
- 2BlackRock, Inc.8.08%$6.2B positionTrimmed 4.9% last quarter
- 3JPMorgan Chase & Co7.12%$5.4B positionAdded 9.6% last quarter
- $4.5B positionAdded 0.7% last quarter
- $3.8B positionAdded 4.2% last quarter
- 6State Street Corp4.24%$3.3B positionAdded 5.9% last quarter
- $1.6B positionTrimmed 17.1% last quarter
- $908.4M positionAdded 245.6% last quarter
- 9Bank of America Corp1.14%$877.4M positionTrimmed 8.5% last quarter
- 10Capital World Investors1.12%$861.2M positionAdded 1.8% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading CIEN?
3 members of Congress disclosed 9 CIEN trades between Jun 17, 2025 and May 29, 2026: 6 buys and 3 sells, about $72.0K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has CIEN done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, CIEN returned −57.6%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, all did better, led by PANW at +69.7%.
- 1PANWPalo Alto Networks, Inc.up 69.7%+127.4 pts
- 2HPEHewlett Packard Enterprise Companyup 47.5%+105.2 pts
- 3PLTRPalantir Technologies Inc.up 20.4%+78.0 pts
- 4MSIMotorola Solutions, Inc.up 17.2%+74.8 pts
- 5AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.up 6.3%+63.9 pts
- 6MUMicron Technology, Inc.up 4.5%+62.1 pts
- 7CSCOCisco Systems, Inc.up 2.9%+60.5 pts
- 8XLKTechnology Select Sector SPDR Funddown 2.4%+55.3 pts
- 16CIENThis stockdown 57.6%