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ABCL·AbCellera Biologics Inc.

$11.43
-0.14 (-1.21%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$11.50+0.07 (+0.58%)
High
$11.70
Open
$11.50
Market Cap
3.75B
52W High
$12.58
Low
$11.33
P. Close
$11.43
P/E
-
52W Low
$2.71
Fwd P/E
-16.18
DailyIQ Est.
$19.62
Inst. Ownership
18.4%
Short Interest
12.68%
Days to Cover
3.0
Technical Score (1D)
91
BUY
News Sentiment
42
BEARISH
AbCellera’s most recent update is the scheduled presentation of its latest research and pipeline at the Cantor Global Healthcare Conference on September 9, 2026, a routine industry engagement that is unlikely to move the stock in the short term. The company’s Q2 2026 earnings call, released 547 hours ago, reiterated a cautious revenue outlook amid regulatory uncertainty and highlighted the importance of upcoming trial milestones for its lead menopause therapy, ABCL635. This cautious tone is tempered by the very recent Phase 2 data, released 607 hours ago, showing an 83 % reduction in hot‑flash frequency with a single 600‑mg dose, a result that has already driven analysts to raise price targets and has positioned ABCL as a front‑runner in the multibillion‑dollar menopause market. The clinical success of ABCL635 strengthens the company’s commercial prospects and supports its valuation, but the firm’s long‑term performance remains below expectations, raising concerns that the current share price may be over‑valued relative to its 5‑year total shareholder return. The $200 million public offering, announced 539 hours ago, will provide additional capital for ongoing clinical development and strategic initiatives, potentially diluting shareholders but also reducing financial risk. The combination of a robust Phase 2 signal, a cautious earnings outlook, and a fresh capital raise creates a mixed picture: investors may see upside if regulatory milestones are met, but must watch for any delays or safety concerns that could temper enthusiasm. Key watch items for the next 1–10 trading days include the company’s next‑phase clinical milestones, the timing of the FDA briefing, and the pricing strategy that will determine whether the current valuation is justified.
Earnings Summary
AbCellera Biologics Inc. is a Canadian biotechnology company that specializes in antibody discovery and development, targeting unmet medical needs in the United States through preclinical trials and collaborations with industry leaders such as Eli Lilly, Biogen, and Jazz Pharmaceuticals. The company’s pipeline includes ABCL635, a single‑dose menopause therapy candidate, and ABCL575, an autoimmune monoclonal antibody, positioning it within the broader antibody therapeutics sector. In the most recent two quarters, AbCellera’s revenue surged from $4.235 million in Q1 2025 to $17.084 million in Q2 2025, a 303% increase, while EPS moved from a loss of $0.15 to a loss of $0.12, improving relative to estimates. The following quarter, Q3 2025, saw revenue drop to $8.955 million and EPS decline to a loss of $0.19, indicating a deceleration in top‑line growth and a widening earnings gap. Historically, the company has posted YoY revenue growth in most quarters, with notable beats such as the $44.85 million revenue in Q4 2025 versus an estimate of $6.185 million, yet EPS has consistently remained negative, reflecting ongoing R&D investment. Recent news highlights Jazz Pharmaceuticals’ FDA approval of an antibody therapy that validates AbCellera’s platform and the Phase II success of ABCL635, which achieved primary endpoints and reduced hot‑flash frequency by 83%, driving analyst upgrades and a 22% pre‑market rally. Investors should watch the timing of the FDA briefing for ABCL635 and any guidance on Phase III progression, as these milestones will determine the company’s revenue trajectory and potential dilution from the $200 million public offering. The combination of regulatory validation and pipeline momentum suggests that the next earnings cycle will be critical for assessing whether AbCellera can translate clinical successes into sustained revenue growth.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.21$-0.16$-0.11$-0.06$-0.01Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$-0.17 - -
Q2'26$-0.15$-0.18-23.5%
Q4'25$-0.18$-0.03+83.1%
Q3'25$-0.16$-0.19-17.3%
Q2'25$-0.16$-0.12+26.5%
Q1'25$-0.14$-0.15-5.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$-2M$11M$24M$38M$51MQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$5M - -
Q2'26$8M$4M-49.0%
Q4'25$6M$45M+625.1%
Q3'25 - $9M -
Q2'25 - $17M -
Q1'25 - $4M -

Market Data

ABCL Stock Snapshot

BUY91/100
$11.50+$0.07 (0.6%)
Market cap
3.75B
Day range
$11.33 – $11.70
News sentiment
42/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$17.12 (+48.9%)
Consensus
Buy · 17 analysts
52-week range+324.2% off low · -8.6% from high
$2.71$12.58
Price $11.50 DailyIQ Est. $19.62

ABCL is trading with the trend behind it, which is what pushes the technical read bullish. At this size, a single catalyst moves the stock further than it would a larger peer.

Behaviour On Record

What ABCL's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
110.4% 87th pct
Below its peak
-78.0%
vs 200-day average
+128.2%
Up days (1y)
50%

AbCellera Biologics Inc. is currently running 110.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against ABCL's own 6 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 87th percentile elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 63.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

ABCL is trading -78.0% below its running peak. Across 5 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -59.7%, and the deepest was -75.0% in 2021. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +128.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 99th percentile a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year ABCL closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 5 years of records, ABCL finished the month higher 3 of 5 times, with a median return of +0.4% and an average of +2.2%. Its strongest month historically has been June at +10.5% on average, its weakest February at -11.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: ABCL has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 353 of 1,437 sessions (24.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.4% and -13.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 1,438 daily closes between 2020-12-14 and 2026-09-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against ABCL's own 6-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of ABCL's sector?

AbCellera Biologics Inc. sits in the Health Care sector, currently ranked 2nd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening). Within its narrower Biotechnology industry group, ABCL ranks 4th of 15 tracked industries, weakening.

Sector rank
#2 of 11
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
90
Industry rank
#4 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for ABCL?

CallsPuts

For AbCellera Biologics Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 13 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 1.09), with at-the-money implied volatility around 69.7%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±15.7% move by that expiry — a range of about $8.89–$12.21.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
1.09
ATM implied volatility
69.7%
Total open interest
24,059
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±15.7% ($8.89–$12.21)

ABCL Competitive Positioning

AbCellera Biologics Inc. (ABCL) is tracked alongside these names in Biotechnology on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.