DailyIQ
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Last updated3 minutes ago

MLI·Mueller Industries Inc.

$63.13
+0.16 (+0.25%)
Overnight$63.13+0.00 (+0.00%)
High
$63.52
Open
$63.36
Market Cap
13.95B
52W High
$71.12
Low
$62.47
P. Close
$63.13
P/E
16.41
52W Low
$47.50
Fwd P/E
14.38
DailyIQ Est.
$80.00
Inst. Ownership
-
Short Interest
2.42%
Days to Cover
3.8
Technical Score (1D)
73
BULLISH
News Sentiment
68
BULLISH
MLI is running a moderate trend on the 1D chart: BUY at 73 with firm momentum and constructive structure. Sentiment at 68 is aligned with the move, and the bearish MACD posture backs the continuation case. $66.55 is the next measured target; $61.43 is where trend buyers typically defend. The main thing that ends trends like this is a change in character, not a single red day - watch for firm momentum starting to roll over or a close back below $61.43 as the earlier warning signs, well before the BUY designation itself would flip. Until then, the path of least resistance stays toward $66.55.
LOW TARGET
$80 +26.7%
3 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$80 +26.7%
2 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$80 +26.7%
3 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$80.00 - $80.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
2/3/1/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$80.00 (+26.7%)
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
699,224 shares
$47.5M
GOLDMAN SCOTT JAY-
Sell2,000 shares2026-08-27
Martin Jeffrey AndrewEVP, CFO & Treasurer
Sell86,209 shares2026-08-13
Christopher Gregory L.Chairman of the Board & CEO
Sell200,000 shares2026-08-11
Christopher Gregory L.Chairman of the Board & CEO
Sell70,000 shares2026-08-11
Christopher Gregory L.Chairman of the Board & CEO
Sell70,000 shares2026-08-10
View full insider trading history →
88/ 100
Strong bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
29.0%
Net Margin
18.3%
Revenue CAGR
2.9%
Current Ratio
5.92x
Return on Equity
23.8%
View full financials →

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.89$0.94$1.00$1.06$1.12Q3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.09 - -
Q3'25$0.99$0.91-8.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.0B$1.1B$1.2B$1.3B$1.3BQ3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.3B - -
Q3'25 - $1.1B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

MLI Stock Snapshot

BULLISH73/100
$63.13+$0.00 (0.0%)
Market cap
13.95B
P/E ratio
16.4
Day range
$62.47 – $63.52
News sentiment
68/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$80.00 (+26.7%)
Consensus
Buy · 8 analysts
52-week range+32.9% off low · -11.2% from high
$47.50$71.12
Price $63.13 DailyIQ Est. $80.00

Mueller Industries Inc. screens well technically, with price sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into MLI?

CHEAP

At today's price, Mueller Industries Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about -9.2% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.19% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 15.4% a year, so the market is asking for 24.6 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis MLI looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
-9.2%
Historical FCF CAGR
15.4%
Growth gap
-24.6 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
10.19%
Beta
0.98

Behaviour On Record

What MLI's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
24.1% 38th pct
Below its peak
-10.6%
vs 200-day average
+0.9%
Up days (1y)
55%

Mueller Industries Inc. is currently running 24.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MLI's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 38th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 26.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

MLI is trading -10.6% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -24.5%, and the deepest was -46.2% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +0.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 32nd percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year MLI closed higher on 55% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, MLI finished the month higher 10 of 13 times, with a median return of +7.0% and an average of +6.0%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +6.2% on average, its weakest March at -3.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: MLI has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 162 of 3,267 sessions (5.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +11.3% and -14.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MLI's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of MLI's sector?

Mueller Industries Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 5th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#5 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
55

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for MLI?

CallsPuts

For Mueller Industries Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 9 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.11), with at-the-money implied volatility around 28.7%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±7.2% move by that expiry — a range of about $58.78–$67.89.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.11
ATM implied volatility
28.7%
Total open interest
1,095
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±7.2% ($58.78–$67.89)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on MLI?

Freedom Broker most recently reiterated its rating on Mueller Industries Inc. to Buy on Feb 6, 2026 with a price target of $130 (from $121). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Freedom Broker — Buy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Feb 6, 2026Freedom BrokerMaintainedBuy$121 → $130
Oct 22, 2025Freedom BrokerMaintainedBuy$99 → $121
Jan 19, 2024Northcoast ResearchDowngradeBuy → Neutral-
May 18, 2018Boenning & ScattergoodInitiatedNeutral-
Feb 6, 2014Buckingham ResearchDowngradeBuy → Neutral$66 → $62
Nov 1, 2013Monness, Crespi, HardtDowngradeBuy → Neutral-
Feb 6, 2013Monness, Crespi, HardtMaintainedBuy$55 → $60
Oct 1, 2012Buckingham ResearchUpgradeNeutral → Buy-

Held by These ETFs

MLI is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

68/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MODERATELY BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
Mueller Industries (MLI) was highlighted by ChartMill as fitting the Affordable Growth screen, citing robust earnings growth, a low valuation, absence of debt, and high profitability. The analysis underscored that MLI’s financial profile aligns with investors seeking companies that combine growth potential with conservative balance sheets. The commentary suggested that MLI’s valuation remains attractive relative to peers, reinforcing its appeal to value-oriented investors.
What did this article say?
Mueller Industries’ stock has slipped roughly 5% in the past month and 12% over the last three months, reflecting a short‑term pullback in momentum. The company’s long‑term fundamentals remain solid, with a 19.96% total shareholder return last year and a robust balance sheet that outperforms many peers. The decline suggests a temporary correction rather than a fundamental shift, but it may prompt investors to reassess the valuation relative to recent performance. Analysts note that the stock remains slightly undervalued if the 6% upside is considered, yet the short‑term weakness could weigh on near‑term trading activity.
What did this article say?
Mueller Industries’ recent valuation assessment suggests the stock may be trading 7% below its intrinsic value derived from discounted cash flow projections. The analysis highlights the company’s strong multi‑year free cash flow generation and a 15.6x P/E that contrasts with the higher 7x return on equity. While the current price reflects past performance, the DCF model indicates modest upside potential if cash flows continue to support the valuation.
What did this article say?
Mueller Industries (MLI) is highlighted as a solid value stock, boasting healthy profitability, growth prospects, and a reasonable valuation. The analysis underscores the company’s strong financial health and suggests it may be undervalued relative to peers. This assessment points to a potentially attractive entry point for value investors seeking a defensively positioned industrial firm. The report does not flag any immediate risks or catalysts that would materially alter the outlook.
What did this article say?
Mueller Industries demonstrates a robust quality profile, boasting high return on invested capital and a debt-free balance sheet that supports steady cash generation. The company’s valuation remains attractive relative to peers, positioning it as a compelling long-term investment. Analysts highlight the firm’s consistent growth trajectory and solid operating margins as key drivers of future upside.
What did this article say?
Director Jay Scott Goldman sold $128,000 of Mueller Industries shares, filing a Form 4 on August 27. The sale follows a period of modest earnings growth and a recent downgrade by analysts, suggesting possible concerns about near‑term performance. The transaction may be viewed as a confidence signal from management, but the volume is modest relative to the company’s total shares outstanding.
What did this article say?
Mueller Industries (MLI) meets the Affordable Growth criteria with steady revenue expansion, healthy profitability, and a clean balance sheet. The company trades at a fair valuation relative to peers, offering a balanced risk‑return profile for investors. Its cost structure remains disciplined, supporting margin resilience amid commodity price swings. The stock’s upside potential is moderated by modest earnings growth expectations and a competitive market for industrial equipment.
What did this article say?
Andrew Jeffrey Martin, EVP of Mueller Industries (MLI), sold $5.78 million of shares on August 17, as disclosed in a Form 4 filing. The sale may signal a short‑term liquidity need or a personal portfolio rebalancing, but it could also raise concerns about management’s confidence in the company’s future prospects. The transaction size is significant relative to the EVP’s ownership stake, warranting closer scrutiny by investors. No immediate impact on the company’s operations or financial position is evident from the filing.
What did this article say?
Mueller Industries’ executive VP sold 1,808 shares at $66.57 on July 30 to cover tax liabilities from a vesting event. The sale was non‑discretionary and did not alter the insider’s overall stake, which remains at 83,108 shares. The transaction is routine and unlikely to influence short‑term pricing.
What did this article say?
CFO Jeffrey Martin disposed of 57,791 shares on July 30, a non‑discretionary move to satisfy tax withholding on a 72,000‑share vesting. Martin retains roughly 625,000 shares, about 0.3% of the company. The transaction is a routine tax event and does not indicate a change in the CFO’s view of the business.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

73
BULLISH
Technical indicators reflect the latest computed signal mix for this timeframe.
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