DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer DefensiveAll sectors
Last updated 24 minutes ago

STZ·Constellation Brands, Inc.

$.
-. (-.%)
High
$144.20
Open
$141.50
Market Cap
25.59B
52W High
$186.40
Low
$135.26
P. Close
$143.72
P/E
15.17
52W Low
$126.45
Fwd P/E
11.40
Mean Target
$177.55
Technical Score (1D)
32
SELL
News Sentiment
54
MIXED
Bank of America has slightly reduced its price target for Constellation Brands to $152, suggesting a more cautious near-term view from one analyst. This comes as the stock maintains an average 'overweight' rating from analysts, with a higher mean price target of $177.81. In contrast, institutional investor Swedbank AB has recently increased its stake in Constellation Brands, signaling growing confidence in the company's future performance. This expansion of holdings by Swedbank AB indicates a positive institutional outlook. Traders should monitor if this buying trend continues and consider its potential impact on STZ's valuation. The contrasting signals from analysts and institutional investors warrant close observation in the coming trading days.
Earnings Summary
Constellation Brands is a global beverage alcohol company with a diverse portfolio of leading beer, wine, and spirits brands, including Corona, Modelo, Kim Crawford, and SVEDKA. The company operates across the United States, Canada, Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy, distributing its products through various channels. Constellation Brands is a significant player in the Consumer Defensive sector, specifically within the Beverages - Brewers industry. In its recent quarterly performance, Constellation Brands has shown a mixed but generally positive trend in earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. For Q4 2026, the company reported an actual EPS of $1.90, missing the estimate of $1.71328, with revenue of $1.920 billion also falling short of the estimate of $1.877 billion. This followed Q3 2026 where actual EPS of $3.06 significantly beat the estimate of $1.68462, and revenue of $2.223 billion exceeded the estimate of $1.845 billion. Earlier in fiscal year 2025, the company consistently beat EPS estimates, indicating a recent deceleration in EPS performance compared to prior periods. Historically, Constellation Brands has demonstrated a strong ability to beat analyst estimates for EPS, particularly in earlier quarters of the provided data. For example, Q1 2025, Q3 2025, and Q4 2025 all saw actual EPS exceeding estimates. Revenue growth has been present, though the pattern of beats and misses can vary. The most recent quarters show a divergence, with Q3 2026 EPS significantly beating estimates while Q4 2026 EPS missed. Recent news indicates Constellation Brands announced the redemption of its 3.700% Senior Notes due in 2026, a proactive debt management strategy. The company also priced a $500 million offering of senior notes due in 2031. First-quarter earnings surpassed analyst expectations, driven by strong demand for its beer brands. The company is identified as a resilient consumer staples stock, benefiting from strong competitive advantages and customer loyalty, with a focus on low-calorie beer offerings as a growth engine. Looking ahead, investors will be watching for Constellation Brands' ability to sustain the strong demand for its core beer brands and the growth trajectory of its low-calorie offerings. Key will be how the company's debt management strategies impact its capital structure and future borrowing costs, and whether recent operational strengths can translate into consistent EPS beats in upcoming quarters.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.39$2.03$2.66$3.29$3.92Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$3.28 - -
Q4'26$1.71$1.90+10.9%
Q3'26$1.68$3.06+81.6%
Q4'25$2.63$3.06+16.2%
Q3'25$3.41$3.63+6.5%
Q2'25$3.29$3.22-2.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.7B$2.0B$2.2B$2.4B$2.6BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$2.4B - -
Q4'26$1.9B$1.9B+2.3%
Q3'26$1.8B$2.2B+20.5%
Q4'25 - $2.2B -
Q3'25 - $2.5B -
Q2'25 - $2.5B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

STZ Stock Snapshot

STZ is currently trading at $142.01, giving Constellation Brands, Inc. a market cap of 25.59B and a P/E ratio of 15.2. Today's range spans $135.26–$144.20, with shares opening at $141.50 and moving down $1.71 (1.2%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 32/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 54/100.

Over the past year STZ has traded between $126.45 and $186.40 - the current price is +12.3% off the 52-week low and -23.8% from the high. 29 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $177.55 (range $131.00–$209.00), implying upside of +25.0%.

STZ scores 32/100 (SELL) and trades at $142.01 - in the lower half of its 52-week range in the $126.45–$186.40 annual range. Sentiment at 54/100 is neutral. (P/E: 15.2) For a large-cap in Consumer Defensive with 25.59B in capitalization, a SELL signal means that sector rotation money leaving Consumer Defensive will likely exit through names like this first - the combination of negative technicals and neutral news flow is exactly what systematic sector rotation models identify as underweight candidates.

When a large-cap Consumer Defensive name with 25.59B in capitalization prints a SELL signal (32/100) alongside neutral news sentiment (54/100), the risk isn't just price depreciation — it's the loss of institutional sponsorship that makes recovery harder. At $142.01 (in the lower half of its 52-week range in the $126.45–$186.40 range), the structural support levels are where that sponsorship question gets answered.