DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer DefensiveAll sectors
Last updated 1 minute ago

TAP·Molson Coors Beverage Company

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$42.76
Open
$42.27
Market Cap
8.00B
52W High
$55.69
Low
$40.83
P. Close
$41.25
P/E
-
52W Low
$40.64
Fwd P/E
8.22
Mean Target
$46.14
Technical Score (1D)
14
SELL
News Sentiment
48
MIXED
Bernstein has lowered its price target for Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) to $45 from $74, while maintaining a "Market Perform" rating. This adjustment signals a more cautious near-term outlook from the analyst firm. Investors will be watching for any further commentary from Bernstein or other analysts that might clarify the reasoning behind this significant target reduction. The market will likely digest this news as it considers TAP's valuation and future growth prospects.
Earnings Summary
Molson Coors Beverage Company is a global beverage producer with a long history, specializing in the manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of beer and other malt-based beverages across various segments and regions. Operating within the Consumer Defensive sector, specifically the Beverages - Brewers industry, the company offers a diverse portfolio of brands and has expanded into flavored malt beverages, including hard seltzers and ready-to-drink options, to adapt to evolving consumer preferences. In its most recent reported quarters, Molson Coors demonstrated a mixed performance. For Q4 2025, the company reported actual EPS of $1.21, exceeding the estimate of $1.1676, though actual revenue of $2.6624 billion fell short of the estimated $2.7449 billion. This followed Q3 2025, where actual EPS of $1.67 narrowly missed the estimate of $1.69501, with revenue at $2.9735 billion also slightly below expectations. Looking at the prior two quarters, Q2 2025 saw actual EPS of $2.05 beat the estimate of $1.81625, and Q1 2025 reported actual EPS of $0.50 significantly missed the estimate of $0.79645, with revenue at $2.3041 billion also falling short. Historically, Molson Coors has shown a pattern of fluctuating performance against analyst estimates. While Q4 2025 and Q2 2025 represented beats on EPS, Q1 2025 and Q3 2025 saw misses or near misses. Revenue figures have also shown variability, with some quarters missing estimates while others have not had estimates provided. The company has also recently announced its regular quarterly dividend of $0.48 per share, payable on June 12, 2026, reflecting a consistent capital return policy. However, recent news indicates mixed analyst sentiment, with price target reductions from firms like Morgan Stanley and Barclays, despite a strong EPS beat in the first quarter driven by favorable pricing and sales mix. Investors will be watching for the company's execution of its 'Horizon 2030' strategy, including cost-savings initiatives and acquisition integration, as well as any further shifts in analyst ratings and market sentiment in the upcoming quarters.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.27$0.77$1.27$1.78$2.28Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$1.53 - -
Q4'25$1.17$1.21+3.6%
Q3'25$1.70$1.67-1.5%
Q2'25$1.82$2.05+12.9%
Q1'25$0.80$0.50-37.2%
Q4'24$1.13$1.30+15.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.2B$2.5B$2.8B$3.0B$3.3BQ4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$3.1B - -
Q4'25$2.7B$2.7B-3.0%
Q3'25 - $3.0B -
Q2'25 - $3.2B -
Q1'25 - $2.3B -
Q4'24 - $2.7B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

TAP Stock Snapshot

TAP is currently trading at $41.27, giving Molson Coors Beverage Company a market cap of 8.00B. Today's range spans $40.83–$42.76, with shares opening at $42.27 and moving up $0.02 (0.0%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 14/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 48/100.

Over the past year TAP has traded between $40.64 and $55.69 - the current price is +1.6% off the 52-week low and -25.9% from the high. 27 analysts cover the stock with a Hold consensus and a mean 12-month target of $46.14 (range $36.00–$61.00), implying upside of +11.8%.

TAP is at $41.27 (near 52-week lows within $40.64–$55.69), carrying a SELL technical signal (14/100) and neutral sentiment (48/100). At 8.00B in Consumer Defensive market cap, a non-bullish setup doesn't necessarily mean fundamental deterioration - sometimes it means the stock is in a dead money phase where patience is the only viable strategy. Tracking volume alongside price action is especially important at this tier.

Small-cap Consumer Defensive names with SELL technicals (14/100) and neutral sentiment (48/100) like TAP tend to experience sentiment-driven re-ratings more sharply in both directions. At $41.27 (near 52-week lows in $40.64–$55.69), the current setup suggests a stock that needs a material positive catalyst — not incremental improvement — to reverse the technical and sentiment readings that now define the 8.00B market cap trajectory.