TAP|Analyst Targets
TAP|Company Info
TAP|Insider Trading
TAP|Fundamentals
TAP|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $1.04 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $1.47 | $1.46 | -0.4% |
| Q2'26 | $1.51 | $1.58 | +4.4% |
| Q4'25 | $1.17 | $1.21 | +3.6% |
| Q3'25 | $1.70 | $1.67 | -1.5% |
| Q2'25 | $1.82 | $2.05 | +12.9% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $2.7B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $3.0B | $2.9B | -1.4% |
| Q2'26 | $3.1B | $3.1B | -0.5% |
| Q4'25 | $2.7B | $2.7B | -3.0% |
| Q3'25 | - | $3.0B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $3.2B | - |
TAP|Monthly Returns
Market Data
TAP Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 7.84B
- Day range
- $40.24 – $42.00
- News sentiment
- 34/100 · Bearish
- Analyst target
- $43.62 (+8.4%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 30 analysts
The chart on TAP has not stabilised: price is in the lower half of its 52-week range and the trend is still down. At this size, a single catalyst moves the stock further than it would a larger peer.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into TAP?
At today's price, Molson Coors Beverage Company needs to grow free cash flow about -13.0% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 6.00% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 1.6% a year, so the market is asking for 14.6 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis TAP looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- -13.0%
- Growth trend
- 1.6%
- Growth gap
- -14.6 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 6.00%
- Beta
- 0.47
Behaviour On Record
What TAP's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 41.5% 92nd pct
- Below its peak
- -61.2%
- vs 200-day average
- +1.8%
- Up days (1y)
- 51%
Molson Coors Beverage Company is currently running 41.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against TAP's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 92nd percentile — an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 24.0%.
TAP is trading -61.2% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -24.8%, and the deepest was -43.8% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.
Price sits +1.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 66th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year TAP closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, TAP finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +3.7% and an average of +3.5%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +3.5% on average, its weakest May at -1.6%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: TAP has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 89 of 3,267 sessions (2.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.2% and -5.6%.
All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against TAP's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of TAP's sector?
Molson Coors Beverage Company sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 2nd of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).
- Sector rank
- #2 of 12
- Sector state
- Weakening
- Sector rotation score
- 73
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect TAP to earn?
Analysts expect Molson Coors Beverage Company to earn $4.69 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $5.14 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 4 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on TAP?
JP Morgan most recently reiterated its rating on Molson Coors Beverage Company to Neutral on Oct 26, 2026 with a price target of $41 (from $42). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- JP Morgan: Neutral
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Molson Coors Beverage Company's latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
Goodwill impairment: During the third quarter of 2025, we identified a triggering event that indicated it was more likely than not that the carrying value of the Americas reporting unit exceeded its fair value resulting in a $3,645.7 million partial goodwill impairment charge.
New this quarterNegative tone - 2
We have adjusted our 2026 guidance for certain key financial metrics due to the impacts of the global macroeconomic environment on the beer industry and on consumer behavior along with persistent promotional activity in the U.K. While we have included in our guidance our best estimate of some of these factors, including higher than anticipated logistics costs, the impacts of these trends are difficult to predict and include inherent uncertainties that could impact our financial performance beyond what is contemplated in our guidance.
New this quarterNegative tone - 3
Financial volume decreased 2.9%, primarily due to lower brand volume in the U.S. and industry softness in Canada, partially offset by the favorable timing of shipments.
New this quarterNegative tone
Peers & ETF holders
TAP peers & ETF holders
Beverages - BrewersMarket cap · today
- TAPYou're here$7.8B-4.19%
- STZConstellation Brands, Inc.$24.6B-1.86%
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about TAP?
TAP rose 11.6% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 10 and 100 from Oct 6 to Oct 15, then jumped to 92 on Oct 21.
- Oct 22 +5.3%same day: Deutsche Bank Adjusts Molson Coors Beverage PT to $40 From $43, Maintains Hold Rating
- Oct 26 -3.4%same day: JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on Molson Coors Beverage, Lowers Price Target to $41
- Nov 2 +7.2%
Technical analysis
How strong is TAP's momentum right now?
On the daily chart TAP ranks at the 23rd percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling TAP?
78 of the 171 tracked managers added to TAP in their latest 13F and 84 trimmed. Together they own 83.1% of the company, worth $6.2B. Dodge & Cox and BlackRock alone hold 16.3%.
- 1Dodge & Cox9.94%$742.8M positionAdded 2.9% last quarter
- 2BlackRock, Inc.6.34%$473.4M positionAdded 3.9% last quarter
- $432.8M positionAdded 136.6% last quarter
- $413.7M positionAdded 17.4% last quarter
- $403.8M positionTrimmed 2.5% last quarter
- $351.8M positionAdded 9.3% last quarter
- 7State Street Corp4.37%$326.2M positionTrimmed 4.3% last quarter
- 8Invesco Ltd.3.29%$246.1M positionAdded 21.4% last quarter
- $173.3M positionTrimmed 2.9% last quarter
- 10Goldman Sachs Group Inc2.05%$153.0M positionAdded 55.6% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading TAP?
5 members of Congress disclosed 12 TAP trades between Aug 13, 2015 and Mar 27, 2026: 6 buys and 6 sells, about $430.0K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has TAP done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, TAP returned −4.4%. Of the 7 related stocks, 4 did better, led by KDP at +27.6%.
- 1KDPKeurig Dr Pepper Inc.up 27.6%+32.0 pts
- 2KOThe Coca-Cola Companyup 18.5%+22.9 pts
- 3MNSTMonster Beverage Corporationup 17.3%+21.7 pts
- 4MDLZMondelez International, Inc.up 5.2%+9.6 pts
- 5TAPThis stockdown 4.4%
- 6STZConstellation Brands, Inc.down 6.1%−1.6 pts
- 7HSYThe Hershey Companydown 6.8%−2.3 pts
- 8PEPPepsiCo, Inc.down 10.5%−6.1 pts