V·Visa Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

19.1% 55th pct

Below its peak

0.0%

vs 200-day average

+18.0%

Up days (1y)

49%

Visa Inc. is currently running 19.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against V's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 55th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 18.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

V is at its running peak. Across 12 full years on file its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -14.2%, with the deepest at -34.7% in 2020 — so highs have historically been given back before they were extended.

Price sits +18.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 97th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year V closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, V finished the month higher 9 of 14 times, with a median return of +1.9% and an average of +2.5%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +3.2% on average, its weakest September at -2.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: V has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 37 of 3,268 sessions (1.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.8% and -8.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, V moved an average of 1.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +2.1% and a largest of +2.3%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-16 and 2026-10-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against V's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.