DailyIQ
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APA·APA Corporation

$42.77
-1.41 (-3.19%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$42.80+0.03 (+0.07%)
High
$44.30
Open
$43.68
Market Cap
15.48B
52W High
$45.77
Low
$42.72
P. Close
$42.77
P/E
9.23
52W Low
$21.57
Fwd P/E
10.42
DailyIQ Est.
$44.18
Inst. Ownership
49.0%
Short Interest
7.22%
Days to Cover
4.5
Technical Score (1D)
91
BUY
News Sentiment
55
BULLISH
Seaport Global’s newest coverage of APA, issued just under 28 hours ago, assigns a neutral rating and signals that the broker sees no immediate upside or downside catalysts beyond the company’s current fundamentals. This follows Raymond James’ 47‑hour‑old upgrade to Outperform and a $54 price target, which reflects confidence in APA’s growth prospects and a belief that its fundamentals will support a higher valuation. The two analyst notes together suggest that, in the short term, traders should expect a relatively flat bias as the market digests the mixed signals of neutral versus outperform. A 96‑hour‑old development shows Eni securing a 40 % stake in APA‑operated OFF‑6, a move that could expand APA’s offshore footprint and potentially boost production and revenue streams. If the integration proceeds smoothly, this partnership may provide a modest upside to APA’s cash‑flow profile over the next few trading days. Older commentary—such as Citigroup’s neutral upgrade with a $44 target (354 hours ago) and Argus Research’s Buy upgrade to $48 (384 hours ago)—reinforces the view that APA’s cost‑cutting initiatives and Suriname project are beginning to pay off, but also highlights lingering valuation concerns. The company’s recent Q2 earnings beat, reported 545 hours ago, underscores the positive impact of higher oil prices and disciplined cost management, which should keep the stock’s earnings trajectory on track for the next 10 days. Looking ahead, traders should watch for the next earnings release to confirm whether the Suriname Gran Morgu project’s ramp‑up aligns with the projected 5 % oil growth and whether the Eni partnership translates into measurable production gains. Any deviation from the expected cost‑cutting trajectory or a shift in commodity pricing could quickly alter the market’s perception of APA’s valuation and risk profile.
Earnings Summary
APA Corporation is an independent energy producer focused on the exploration, development, and extraction of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids, with core operations in the United States, Egypt, and the North Sea and additional exploration in Suriname and Uruguay. The company operates within the highly cyclical oil & gas E&P sector, where commodity price swings and production efficiency drive earnings. In the most recent two quarters, Q1 2025 and Q2 2025, APA posted EPS of $1.06 and $0.87, both beating estimates of $0.82 and $0.48 respectively, while revenue held steady at $2.612 billion, slightly above the $2.6 billion estimate for Q1 and matching the Q2 estimate. The following quarter, Q3 2025, saw EPS rise to $0.93 against an estimate of $0.79, but revenue fell to $2.018 billion, a decline from the $2.612 billion in Q2. Q4 2025 continued the EPS beat with $0.91 versus $0.65 estimate, and revenue edged up to $1.978 billion from the $1.876 billion estimate, indicating a modest rebound after the Q3 dip. Historically, APA has shown a YoY revenue growth trajectory that has been largely flat to slightly negative in recent years, yet it has consistently delivered EPS beats in the last four quarters, underscoring disciplined cost management amid volatile oil prices. Recent news highlights Eni’s acquisition of a 40% stake in APA‑operated OFF‑6, which could expand offshore production and potentially lift future revenue streams; analysts have upgraded the stock to Outperform or Buy with targets ranging from $44 to $54, reflecting confidence in cost‑cutting initiatives and the Suriname Gran Morgu project’s ramp‑up. Investors should watch the next earnings release for confirmation of the Suriname project’s progress, any early ramp‑up figures from the Eni partnership, and the trajectory of operating margins, as these factors will be key to sustaining the EPS beats seen in the past quarters.}}

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.27$0.73$1.19$1.64$2.10Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.24 - -
Q2'26$1.89$1.89+0.2%
Q1'26$1.14$1.38+20.9%
Q4'25$0.65$0.91+40.4%
Q3'25$0.79$0.93+17.6%
Q2'25$0.48$0.87+79.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.8B$2.0B$2.2B$2.5B$2.7BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.2B - -
Q2'26$2.5B$2.4B-3.6%
Q1'26$2.2B$2.2B-0.1%
Q4'25$1.9B$2.0B+5.4%
Q3'25 - $2.0B -
Q2'25 - $2.6B -

Market Data

APA Stock Snapshot

BUY91/100
$42.80+$0.03 (0.1%)
Market cap
15.48B
P/E ratio
9.2
Day range
$42.72 – $44.30
News sentiment
55/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$44.08 (+3.0%)
Consensus
Hold · 32 analysts
52-week range+98.4% off low · -6.5% from high
$21.57$45.77
Price $42.80 DailyIQ Est. $44.18

APA Corporation screens well technically, with price sitting in the upper part of its 52-week range. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Behaviour On Record

What APA's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
40.4% 47th pct
Below its peak
-58.0%
vs 200-day average
+29.9%
Up days (1y)
51%

APA Corporation is currently running 40.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against APA's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 47th percentile close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 41.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

APA is trading -58.0% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -45.4%, and the deepest was -87.9% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +29.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 90th percentile a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year APA closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, APA finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -1.0% and an average of +0.5%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +14.8% on average, its weakest October at -2.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: APA has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 308 of 3,269 sessions (9.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +17.0% and -19.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, APA moved an average of 4.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +3.8% and a largest of +4.9%.

All figures computed from 3,270 daily closes between 2013-09-05 and 2026-09-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against APA's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of APA's sector?

APA Corporation sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 1st of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#1 of 11
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
100

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for APA?

CallsPuts

For APA Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-09-04, 0 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.39), with at-the-money implied volatility around 28.3%.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-04)
0.39
ATM implied volatility
28.3%
Total open interest
5,519

APA Competitive Positioning

APA Corporation (APA) is tracked alongside these names in Oil & Gas E&P on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.