DailyIQ
DailyIQ
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APG·APi Group Corporation

$41.27
+0.94 (+2.33%)
High
$41.60
Open
$40.99
Market Cap
17.51B
52W High
$51.11
Low
$40.07
P. Close
$41.27
P/E
47.70
52W Low
$35.16
Fwd P/E
19.68
DailyIQ Est.
$56.39
Inst. Own.
53.4%
Short Interest
2.44%
Days to Cover
3.5
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Oct 29, 2026tone -20.9 vs prior release · 72 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
56
BULLISH
News Sentiment
61
BULLISH
On Nov 5, Third Point Management released a Q3 2026 investor letter that praised APi Group’s (APG) resilient demand and recurring revenue streams, underscoring the company’s solid investment case. The letter highlighted APG’s ability to maintain growth amid market volatility and rising rates, citing stable cash flows and a diversified customer base. Third Point’s offshore fund reduced its exposure to semiconductors but kept a positive view on APG, reflecting confidence in the company’s business model. The commentary suggested that APG’s performance could support future upside and strengthen its valuation outlook.
LOW TARGET
$50 +21.1%
1 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$55 +33.7%
7 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$60 +45.4%
10 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$50.00 - $60.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
7/8/1/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$56.39 (+36.6%)
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Engineering & Construction
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Symbol
APG
Description
APi Group Corporation is a global provider of safety and specialty services, offering comprehensive solutions for building and infrastructure needs. The company's core business revolves around integrated occupancy systems, encompassing fire protection, HVAC, and entry systems, providing design, installation, and ongoing maintenance. Furthermore, APi Group offers specialized infrastructure services, including maintenance and repair for utilities and industrial plants. With a history dating back to 1926, APi Group serves diverse sectors such as commercial, healthcare, and industrial clients, as well as governmental agencies and utilities. Headquartered in Minnesota, the company's value proposition lies in its ability to deliver integrated solutions across a wide range of essential services.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
2,669,538 shares
$110.9M
ASHKEN IAN G H-
Sell5,001 shares2026-08-04
ASHKEN IAN G H-
Sell80,071 shares2026-08-04
ASHKEN IAN G H-
Sell214,928 shares2026-08-03
LILLIE JAMES E-
Sell2,204 shares2026-08-03
LILLIE JAMES E-
Sell282,796 shares2026-08-03
73/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
31.4%
Net Margin
3.8%
Revenue CAGR
11.3%
Current Ratio
1.50x
Debt / Equity
0.81x
Return on Equity
8.9%
Earnings Summary
In Q4 2024, the company reported EPS of $0.34 versus an estimate of $0.33, with revenue of $1.861 billion, a modest increase. The following year’s Q4 saw EPS rise to $0.44 against an estimate of $0.42, while revenue climbed to $2.117 billion, reflecting a 13% sequential lift. Q2 2026 delivered EPS of $0.44 versus an estimate of $0.43, with revenue of $2.254 billion, and Q3 2026 posted EPS of $0.50 against an estimate of $0.48, with revenue of $2.554 billion, indicating a consistent upward trajectory in both earnings and top line. Historically, APi Group has shown a YoY revenue growth of around 10–12% over the past four quarters, with EPS growth closely tracking, and the company has beaten estimates in three of the last four quarters, demonstrating a reliable earnings pattern. Recent news from Oct 31 and Oct 30 reports record Q3 revenue of $2.55 billion, a 22.5% YoY jump, and a backlog exceeding $5 billion, while analysts upgraded price targets to the mid‑$50s; these developments underscore robust demand and a positive outlook.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.31$0.36$0.42$0.48$0.53Q4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$0.51 - -
Q3'26$0.47$0.50+5.3%
Q2'26$0.43$0.44+1.3%
Q4'25$0.42$0.44+5.4%
Q4'24$0.33$0.34+2.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.8B$2.0B$2.2B$2.4B$2.7BQ4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$2.4B - -
Q3'26$2.4B$2.6B+5.3%
Q2'26$2.2B$2.3B+1.2%
Q4'25$2.1B$2.1B+0.2%
Q4'24 - $1.9B -

Market Data

APG Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL56/100
$41.27+$0.94 (2.3%)
Market cap
17.51B
P/E ratio
47.7
Day range
$40.07 – $41.60
News sentiment
61/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$55.18 (+33.7%)
Consensus
Buy · 18 analysts
52-week range+17.4% off low · -19.3% from high
$35.16$51.11
Price $41.27 DailyIQ Est. $56.39

Momentum has flattened on APG, leaving the next move dependent on news rather than the chart. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into APG?

FAIR

At today's price, APi Group Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 15.8% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 8.40% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 15.7% a year, so the market is asking for 0.1 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis APG looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
15.8%
Growth trend
15.7%
Growth gap
+0.1 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
8.40%
Beta
0.99

Behaviour On Record

What APG's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
38.9% 70th pct
Below its peak
-13.2%
vs 200-day average
+4.3%
Up days (1y)
53%

APi Group Corporation is currently running 38.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against APG's own 7 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 70th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 33.3%.

APG is trading -13.2% below its running peak. Across 7 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -22.7%, and the deepest was -62.2% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +4.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 31st percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year APG closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On November specifically: over 6 years of records, APG finished the month higher 6 of 6 times, with a median return of +9.0% and an average of +10.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +10.4% on average, its weakest September at -5.9%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: APG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 179 of 1,744 sessions (10.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +18.4% and -13.8%.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, APG moved an average of 0.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.4% and a largest of -0.7%.

All figures computed from 1,745 daily closes between 2019-11-26 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against APG's own 7-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of APG's sector?

APi Group Corporation sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#8 of 12
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
27

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for APG?

CallsPuts

For APi Group Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-11-20, 14 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 153.73), with at-the-money implied volatility around 73.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±14.9% move by that expiry — a range of about $35.06–$47.30.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-20)
153.73
ATM implied volatility
73.8%
Total open interest
10,212
Expected move by 2026-11-20
±14.9% ($35.06–$47.30)

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect APG to earn?

Analysts expect APi Group Corporation to earn $1.08 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $2.04 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2027, from 12 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$0.50$0.49 to $0.5112$2.44B10
Mar 2027$0.37$0.36 to $0.388$2.21B8
Jun 2027$0.51$0.51 to $0.522~$2.57B-
Sep 2027$0.54$0.54 to $0.542~$2.72B-
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$1.08$0.90 to $1.574$9.23B11
Dec 2027$2.04$1.93 to $2.1312$10.01B12

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on APG?

JP Morgan most recently reiterated its rating on APi Group Corporation to Overweight on Oct 30, 2026 with a price target of $55 (from $50). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
JP Morgan: Overweight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 30, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$50 → $55
Oct 30, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$55 → $57
Oct 30, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$53 → $60
Oct 30, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$55 → $58
Oct 12, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$54 → $55
Aug 4, 2026Wells FargoInitiatedOverweight$53
Jul 31, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$53 → $54
May 7, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$52 → $54
May 1, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$54 → $56
May 1, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$52 → $53
May 1, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$53 → $55
Feb 26, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$49 → $52

Earnings Release, Scored

What did APi Group Corporation's latest earnings release say?

Filed Oct 29, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Tone70.0/ 100-20.9 vs prior release
Hedging words0.58per 100 words+0.42 vs prior release
Tone, last 3 releasesScale 50–96

Most important lines

  1. 1

    The strength we are carrying into 2027 gives me continued confidence in our ability to deliver on our long-term "10/16/60+" targets."

    New this quarter
  2. 2

    Reported and adjusted gross profit margin decreased by 120 basis points compared to the prior-year period driven by project and business mix and rising material, fuel, and other expenses.

    New this quarterNegative tone
  3. 3

    -Record third quarter reported net income of $114 million up 22.6% year-over-year-

Peers & ETF holders

APG peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about APG?

APG fell 0.3% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 31 and 78 from Oct 8 to Oct 23, then jumped to 81 on Oct 28.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 6 to Nov 6
$40$45Oct 6Oct 7Oct 8: tone 74Oct 9: tone 31Oct 12: tone 64Oct 13Oct 14Oct 15: tone 37Oct 16: tone 32Oct 19Oct 20: tone 52Oct 21: tone 78Oct 22: tone 69Oct 23: tone 37Oct 26Oct 27Oct 28: tone 81Oct 29: tone 71Oct 30: tone 74Nov 2: tone 67Nov 3: tone 92Nov 4Nov 5: tone 59Nov 6Oct 6News toneNov 6123
  1. Oct 29 +8.0%same day: APi: Q3 Earnings Snapshot
  2. Nov 4 -5.0%
  3. Nov 5 -8.4%same day: APi Group (APG): Margin Expansion and Share Buybacks Fuel Fire & Elevator Services Expansion

Technical analysis

How strong is APG's momentum right now?

On the daily chart APG ranks at the 56th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a neutral reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling APG?

87 of the 169 tracked managers added to APG in their latest 13F and 76 trimmed. Together they own 53.4% of the company, worth $9.5B. BlackRock and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 12.6%.

87adding76trimming6unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of APG
  1. $1.5B positionAdded 5.3% last quarter
  2. $743.3M positionAdded 5.6% last quarter
  3. $741.1M positionAdded 246.6% last quarter
  4. $701.5M positionAdded 6.1% last quarter
  5. $501.3M positionAdded 5.3% last quarter
  6. $442.3M positionAdded 11.2% last quarter
  7. $360.0M positionAdded 3.5% last quarter
  8. $294.8M positionAdded 51.6% last quarter
  9. $284.4M positionAdded 2.5% last quarter
  10. $282.9M positionAdded 5.3% last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading APG?

1 member of Congress disclosed 7 APG trades between Jan 7, 2025 and Aug 4, 2026: 7 buys, about $56.0K in estimated value.

BuysSellsJan ’25AprJulOctJan ’26AprJul
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

What stands out

Click one to highlight its trades in the chart

Discover more

How has APG done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 6, APG returned −10.9%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 12 did better, led by CTAS at +32.5%.

Change since May 6, through Nov 6
−60%−40%−20%0%+20%+40%May 6JunJulAugSepOctNov 6CTAS +32.5%APG −10.9%CAT −39.7%