APG|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $0.47 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $0.44 | $0.44 | +0.3% |
| Q4'25 | $0.42 | $0.44 | +5.4% |
| Q4'24 | $0.33 | $0.34 | +2.6% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $2.4B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $2.2B | $2.3B | +1.2% |
| Q4'25 | $2.1B | $2.1B | +0.2% |
| Q4'24 | - | $1.9B | - |
APG|Monthly Returns
Market Data
APG Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 16.31B
- P/E ratio
- 47.1
- Day range
- $36.98 – $37.90
- News sentiment
- 69/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $52.36 (+39.9%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 17 analysts
The signals on APG lean bearish, and the range position backs that up. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into APG?
At today's price, APi Group Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 15.9% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 9.01% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 37.9% a year, so the market is asking for 22.0 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis APG looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 15.9%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 37.9%
- Growth gap
- -22.0 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 9.01%
- Beta
- 0.99
Behaviour On Record
What APG's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 31.8% 43rd pct
- Below its peak
- -26.0%
- vs 200-day average
- -10.9%
- Up days (1y)
- 52%
APi Group Corporation is currently running 31.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against APG's own 7 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 43rd percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 33.5%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
APG is trading -26.0% below its running peak. Across 6 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -22.0%, and the deepest was -62.2% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -10.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 9th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year APG closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 7 years of records, APG finished the month higher 0 of 7 times, with a median return of -4.5% and an average of -6.3%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +10.4% on average, its weakest September at -6.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: APG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 179 of 1,711 sessions (10.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +18.4% and -13.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
All figures computed from 1,712 daily closes between 2019-11-26 and 2026-09-21, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against APG's own 7-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of APG's sector?
APi Group Corporation sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 9th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).
- Sector rank
- #9 of 11
- Sector state
- Lagging
- Sector rotation score
- 50
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on APG?
Wells Fargo most recently initiated coverage on APi Group Corporation to Overweight on Aug 4, 2026 with a price target of $53. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Wells Fargo — Overweight
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
APG Competitive Positioning
- APGyou're hereAPi Group Corporation$16.3B+0.11%
- PWRQuanta Services, Inc.$95.7B+1.12%
- JJacobs Solutions Inc.$16.8B+0.32%
- IESCIES Holdings Inc.$12.8B+0.51%