APG|Analyst Targets
APG|Company Info
APG|Insider Trading
APG|Fundamentals
APG|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $0.51 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $0.47 | $0.50 | +5.3% |
| Q2'26 | $0.43 | $0.44 | +1.3% |
| Q4'25 | $0.42 | $0.44 | +5.4% |
| Q4'24 | $0.33 | $0.34 | +2.6% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $2.4B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $2.4B | $2.6B | +5.3% |
| Q2'26 | $2.2B | $2.3B | +1.2% |
| Q4'25 | $2.1B | $2.1B | +0.2% |
| Q4'24 | - | $1.9B | - |
APG|Monthly Returns
Market Data
APG Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 17.51B
- P/E ratio
- 47.7
- Day range
- $40.07 – $41.60
- News sentiment
- 61/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $55.18 (+33.7%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 18 analysts
Momentum has flattened on APG, leaving the next move dependent on news rather than the chart. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into APG?
At today's price, APi Group Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 15.8% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 8.40% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 15.7% a year, so the market is asking for 0.1 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis APG looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.
- Implied FCF growth
- 15.8%
- Growth trend
- 15.7%
- Growth gap
- +0.1 pts
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 8.40%
- Beta
- 0.99
Behaviour On Record
What APG's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 38.9% 70th pct
- Below its peak
- -13.2%
- vs 200-day average
- +4.3%
- Up days (1y)
- 53%
APi Group Corporation is currently running 38.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against APG's own 7 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 70th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 33.3%.
APG is trading -13.2% below its running peak. Across 7 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -22.7%, and the deepest was -62.2% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits +4.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 31st percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year APG closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.
On November specifically: over 6 years of records, APG finished the month higher 6 of 6 times, with a median return of +9.0% and an average of +10.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +10.4% on average, its weakest September at -5.9%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: APG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 179 of 1,744 sessions (10.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +18.4% and -13.8%.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, APG moved an average of 0.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.4% and a largest of -0.7%.
All figures computed from 1,745 daily closes between 2019-11-26 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against APG's own 7-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of APG's sector?
APi Group Corporation sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).
- Sector rank
- #8 of 12
- Sector state
- Weakening
- Sector rotation score
- 27
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect APG to earn?
Analysts expect APi Group Corporation to earn $1.08 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $2.04 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2027, from 12 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on APG?
JP Morgan most recently reiterated its rating on APi Group Corporation to Overweight on Oct 30, 2026 with a price target of $55 (from $50). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- JP Morgan: Overweight
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Earnings Release, Scored
What did APi Group Corporation's latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
The strength we are carrying into 2027 gives me continued confidence in our ability to deliver on our long-term "10/16/60+" targets."
New this quarter - 2
Reported and adjusted gross profit margin decreased by 120 basis points compared to the prior-year period driven by project and business mix and rising material, fuel, and other expenses.
New this quarterNegative tone - 3
-Record third quarter reported net income of $114 million up 22.6% year-over-year-
Peers & ETF holders
APG peers & ETF holders
Engineering & ConstructionMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about APG?
APG fell 0.3% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 31 and 78 from Oct 8 to Oct 23, then jumped to 81 on Oct 28.
- Oct 29 +8.0%same day: APi: Q3 Earnings Snapshot
- Nov 4 -5.0%
- Nov 5 -8.4%same day: APi Group (APG): Margin Expansion and Share Buybacks Fuel Fire & Elevator Services Expansion
Technical analysis
How strong is APG's momentum right now?
On the daily chart APG ranks at the 56th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a neutral reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling APG?
87 of the 169 tracked managers added to APG in their latest 13F and 76 trimmed. Together they own 53.4% of the company, worth $9.5B. BlackRock and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 12.6%.
- 1BlackRock, Inc.8.51%$1.5B positionAdded 5.3% last quarter
- $743.3M positionAdded 5.6% last quarter
- 3FMR LLC (Fidelity)4.12%$741.1M positionAdded 246.6% last quarter
- $701.5M positionAdded 6.1% last quarter
- 5State Street Corp2.78%$501.3M positionAdded 5.3% last quarter
- $442.3M positionAdded 11.2% last quarter
- $360.0M positionAdded 3.5% last quarter
- $294.8M positionAdded 51.6% last quarter
- 9Invesco Ltd.1.58%$284.4M positionAdded 2.5% last quarter
- $282.9M positionAdded 5.3% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading APG?
1 member of Congress disclosed 7 APG trades between Jan 7, 2025 and Aug 4, 2026: 7 buys, about $56.0K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has APG done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, APG returned −10.9%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 12 did better, led by CTAS at +32.5%.
- 1CTASCintas Corporationup 32.5%+43.4 pts
- 2MMM3M Companyup 27.4%+38.3 pts
- 3DEDeere & Companyup 13.4%+24.3 pts
- 4CNICanadian National Railway Companyup 11.5%+22.4 pts
- 5CSXCSX Corporationup 10.4%+21.3 pts
- 6EMREmerson Electric Co.up 9.9%+20.8 pts
- 7UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc.up 9.6%+20.5 pts
- 8UNPUnion Pacific Corporationup 9.4%+20.3 pts
- 13APGThis stockdown 10.9%
- 16CATCaterpillar Inc.down 39.7%−28.8 pts