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BPOP·Popular Inc.

$155.45
-2.84 (-1.79%)
Overnight$155.52+0.07 (+0.05%)
High
$156.71
Open
$156.23
Market Cap
10.13B
52W High
$179.24
Low
$154.68
P. Close
$155.45
P/E
10.45
52W Low
$108.74
Fwd P/E
8.97
DailyIQ Est.
$200.40
Inst. Ownership
2.4%
Short Interest
2.71%
Days to Cover
3.2
Technical Score (1D)
27
BEARISH
News Sentiment
57
BULLISH
On Oct 5, Popular, Inc. declared a monthly cash dividend of $0.132813 per share on its 6.375 % Non‑Cumulative Monthly Income Preferred Stock, Series A, to be paid on November 2, 2026 to holders of record as of October 15, 2026. On the same day the company also announced a monthly distribution of $0.127604 per security on its 6.125 % Cumulative Monthly Income Trust Preferred Securities issued by Popular Capital Trust II, payable on November 2, 2026 to holders of record as of October 15, 2026. The dividend and distribution were presented as part of the firm’s ongoing commitment to returning value to preferred shareholders and trust investors. The payments were scheduled for the same date and record‑keeping cutoff, underscoring the company’s consistent approach to preferred‑stock distributions. No other events were reported for the day.
LOW TARGET
$181 +16.4%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$196 +26.2%
6 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$216 +38.9%
10 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$181.00 - $216.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
4/11/1/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$200.40 (+28.9%)
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
67,361 shares
$11.7M
DeVita Betty K-
Award/Grant59 shares2026-10-01
Chappuis Bertil E.-
Award/Grant34 shares2026-10-01
FERRER JAVIER D.PRESIDENT & CEO
Tax Withholding10,486 shares2026-08-31
Rodriguez Adorno DenissaSenior VP & Comptroller
Sell600 shares2026-08-24
Garcia Jorge J.Executive Vice President & CFO
Award/Grant5,733 shares2026-08-19
78/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
110.2%
Revenue CAGR
29.8%
Debt / Equity
0.10x
Return on Equity
13.3%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$2.76$3.08$3.40$3.72$4.04Q3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$3.89 - -
Q3'25$2.91$3.14+8.1%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$777M$782M$788M$793M$799MQ3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$796M - -
Q3'25 - $779M -

Market Data

BPOP Stock Snapshot

BEARISH27/100
$155.52+$0.07 (0.0%)
Market cap
10.13B
P/E ratio
10.4
Day range
$154.68 – $156.71
News sentiment
57/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$196.20 (+26.2%)
Consensus
Buy · 18 analysts
52-week range+43.0% off low · -13.2% from high
$108.74$179.24
Price $155.52 DailyIQ Est. $200.40

Price action on BPOP is defensive - rallies are being sold rather than extended. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Behaviour On Record

What BPOP's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
15.5% 6th pct
Below its peak
-10.7%
vs 200-day average
+5.7%
Up days (1y)
55%

Popular Inc. is currently running 15.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against BPOP's own 12 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 6th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 25.3%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

BPOP is trading -10.7% below its running peak. Across 10 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -21.0%, and the deepest was -59.7% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +5.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 49th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year BPOP closed higher on 55% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 12 years of records, BPOP finished the month higher 7 of 12 times, with a median return of +1.9% and an average of +1.2%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.4% on average, its weakest March at -2.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: BPOP has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 183 of 3,100 sessions (5.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +11.9% and -11.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,102 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against BPOP's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of BPOP's sector?

Popular Inc. sits in the Financials sector, currently ranked 11th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving). Within its narrower Banks industry group, BPOP ranks 11th of 15 tracked industries, lagging.

Sector rank
#11 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
27
Industry rank
#11 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for BPOP?

CallsPuts

For Popular Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 8 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.51), with at-the-money implied volatility around 57.3%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±7.5% move by that expiry — a range of about $146.48–$170.09.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.51
ATM implied volatility
57.3%
Total open interest
553
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±7.5% ($146.48–$170.09)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on BPOP?

Barclays most recently reiterated its rating on Popular Inc. to Overweight on Oct 5, 2026 with a price target of $205 (from $200). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Barclays — Overweight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 5, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$200 → $205
Sep 30, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$200 → $195
Sep 22, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$200 → $192
Aug 31, 2026BenchmarkMaintainedBuy$214 → $216
Aug 10, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$180 → $200
Aug 3, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$190 → $200
Jul 24, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$192 → $197
Jul 24, 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainedOutperform$190 → $207
Jul 24, 2026Piper SandlerReiteratedOverweight$190 → $198
Jul 24, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$163 → $181
Jul 24, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$185 → $190
Jul 24, 2026BenchmarkMaintainedBuy$201 → $214

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

57/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MODERATELY BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
Popular, Inc. (NASDAQ: BPOP) declared a monthly cash dividend of $0.132813 per share on its 6.375% Non‑Cumulative Monthly Income Preferred Stock, Series A, payable November 2, 2026 to holders of record as of October 15, 2026. The company also announced a monthly distribution of $0.127604 per security on its 6.125% Cumulative Monthly Income Trust Preferred Securities issued by Popular Capital Trust II, payable on the same date to holders of record as of October 15, 2026. The dividend and distribution reflect the firm’s ongoing commitment to returning value to preferred shareholders and trust investors while maintaining its status as a leading financial institution in Puerto Rico.
What did this article say?
Barclays analyst Jared Shaw upgraded Popular (NASDAQ:BPOP) to an Overweight rating on October 5, raising the price target from $200 to $205. The upgrade reflects confidence in the company’s recent performance and growth prospects. The new target suggests a modest upside for investors, though it does not indicate a transformative shift in the business outlook.
What did this article say?
Popular (BPOP) had a bearish run, losing 8.6% in the last month. A hammer chart pattern emerged in the most recent session, suggesting a possible bottom and reversal. Analysts have raised earnings expectations, adding a fundamental tailwind to the technical signal. The combination of technical support and optimistic earnings outlook points to a modest positive outlook for the stock.
What did this article say?
Popular, Inc. (NASDAQ: BPOP) announced that it would report its third‑quarter earnings for the period ending September 30, 2026, before the market opens on October 22, 2026. The company scheduled a conference call at 11:00 a.m. Eastern to discuss the results, which will be streamed live and archived on its investor relations website. No guidance or financial projections were provided in the announcement, and the disclosure is a routine earnings release. The statement does not indicate any material change in the company’s outlook or performance.
What did this article say?
Popular (BPOP) reported a 24.1% year‑to‑date increase in its annualized dividend, raising the payout to $3.60 per share. The company’s dividend yield of 2.3% surpassed both the Southeast Banks industry average of 1.97% and the S&P 500’s 1.42%. BPOP’s stock price has risen 25.52% since the beginning of the year, reflecting investor confidence in its income potential. The firm’s financial performance and dividend strategy position it as a compelling choice for income‑focused investors seeking growth. These developments suggest a positive outlook for BPOP’s dividend sustainability and share price momentum.
What did this article say?
Popular (BPOP) fell 6.5% over the last month, but technical analysis indicates the shares are now oversold. Analysts agree the company may report earnings that exceed prior forecasts, suggesting a potential upside. The RSI reading below 30 signals a possible reversal, and market sentiment is shifting toward a rebound. This technical and analyst consensus points to a moderate positive outlook for BPOP.
What did this article say?
Wells Fargo analyst Terry McEvoy kept BPOP’s rating at Overweight but reduced the price target from $200 to $195. The downgrade reflects a more cautious view of the company’s near‑term earnings prospects. The change signals a modest negative outlook for the stock, though the overall recommendation remains positive.
What did this article say?
Investors noted increased options trading activity around BPOP, suggesting market participants anticipate a significant price movement. The heightened volume in both call and put contracts indicates heightened volatility expectations. Analysts view the activity as a potential bullish catalyst, though the exact direction remains uncertain. The market’s focus on BPOP underscores its importance as a high‑profile stock in the sector.
What did this article say?
BPOP’s shares have surged 23.4% over the past six months, outperforming both industry peers Flagstar Bank and Regions Financial. The bank’s net loans and deposits have grown at 6.2% and 3.1% CAGR respectively, with first‑half 2026 figures continuing the upward trend. Management projects 2026 loan growth in the low 3‑4% range, citing construction headwinds and softer auto lending in Puerto Rico but emphasizing a renewed focus on deposit retention and deepening relationships. The strong recent performance and solid growth outlook suggest continued upside potential for BPOP.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

27
BEARISH
Technical indicators reflect the latest computed signal mix for this timeframe.
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
1 tracked managers · $260.56M combined position · 0 adding, 0 trimming, 1 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Citadel Advisors LLC• Hold1,587,0212.44%$260.56M2026-09-02
Q2 2026 flow:1.59M sh bought ($260.56M)0 sh sold ($0)net +1.59M sh (+$260.56M)