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LKQ·LKQ Corporation

$21.81
-0.37 (-1.67%)
After Hours
High
$22.14
Open
$21.99
Market Cap
5.64B
52W High
$37.13
Low
$21.70
P. Close
$21.81
P/E
12.24
52W Low
$21.17
Fwd P/E
7.23
DailyIQ Est.
$33.70
Inst. Ownership
45.0%
Short Interest
6.41%
Days to Cover
4.9
Div. Yield
5.41%
Next Ex-Div
~Nov 19
Technical Score (1D)
21
BEARISH
News Sentiment
39
BEARISH
On Oct 13, LKQ announced a cut to its earnings per share guidance, citing ongoing market headwinds and an activist‑led strategic review. The company also highlighted its 5.4 % dividend yield and plans for share buybacks as part of its capital allocation strategy. The guidance reduction signals a potential slowdown in revenue growth and reflects concerns about the broader automotive aftermarket environment. On the same day, an analyst noted that LKQ has not achieved organic revenue growth in the past two years, prompting a bearish stance that the company may need to rely on acquisitions to expand. The analyst’s view reflects concerns over the distributor’s long‑term performance and may pressure its valuation.
LOW TARGET
$25 +14.2%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$32 +46.7%
6 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$43 +94.2%
9 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$25.00 - $42.50
SB / B / H / S / SS
5/6/4/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$33.70 (+54.0%)
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Auto Parts
Exchange
NMS
Country
United States
Symbol
LKQ
Description
LKQ Corporation is a leading distributor of replacement parts and accessories for vehicles, specializing in the aftermarket sector. The company's core business revolves around providing a comprehensive range of components for both collision and mechanical repairs, encompassing body panels, mechanical parts, and refinishing consumables. LKQ operates through distinct segments across North America, Europe, and a specialty division, offering a diverse product portfolio that includes salvage products and recreational vehicle accessories. Serving a broad customer base that includes repair shops, dealerships, and individual consumers, LKQ's strategic distribution network spans the United States, Canada, and several European countries, positioning it as a key player in the global automotive aftermarket. Incorporated in 1998, LKQ Corporation is headquartered in Antioch, Tennessee.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
26,891.502 shares
$667K
Hanley Walter PSVP - Development & Strategy
Tax Withholding2,377.11 shares2026-09-01
Jude Justin LPresident and CEO
Tax Withholding7,808.22 shares2026-09-01
Meyne John RPresident of Wholesale - NA
Tax Withholding2,484.17 shares2026-09-01
McKay Matthew JSVP - General Counsel
Tax Withholding2,408.62 shares2026-09-01
Galloway RickSVP and CFO
Tax Withholding2,682.88 shares2026-09-01
65/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✕Revenue declining year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
38.6%
Net Margin
4.5%
Revenue CAGR
12.3%
Current Ratio
1.67x
Debt / Equity
0.28x
Return on Equity
9.3%
Earnings Summary
LKQ Corporation is a leading distributor of replacement parts and accessories for vehicles, operating across North America, Europe, and a specialty division that serves collision and mechanical repair markets. As a key player in the automotive aftermarket, LKQ supplies body panels, mechanical parts, and refinishing consumables to repair shops, dealerships, and individual consumers, leveraging a broad distribution network to capture demand from both collision and mechanical repair segments. In recent quarters, LKQ’s EPS has shown mixed performance: Q4 2024 EPS of $0.80 beat the $0.74241 estimate, while Q1 2025 EPS of $0.79 slightly exceeded the $0.77858 estimate; however, Q2 2025 EPS fell to $0.87 from an estimate of $0.92334, and Q3 2025 EPS of $0.84 beat the $0.75657 estimate. Revenue has trended upward, with Q4 2024 revenue of $3.357 billion, Q1 2025 $3.463 billion, and Q2 2025 $3.642 billion, but Q4 2025 revenue dipped to $3.312 billion from an estimate of $3.458 billion, indicating a recent slowdown. Historically, LKQ has experienced YoY revenue growth in the upper 10% range, with EPS growth fluctuating as the company navigates margin pressures; the firm has consistently beat EPS estimates in most quarters, though recent misses in Q2 2026 suggest volatility. Recent news reports a Fitch Ratings downgrade to stable, citing weaker collision claims and slower deleveraging, and a 3.4% decline in organic parts revenue in H1 2026, underscoring margin compression.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.54$0.65$0.76$0.87$0.97Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.70 - -
Q2'26$0.72$0.67-6.9%
Q1'26$0.69$0.67-2.4%
Q4'25$0.78$0.59-24.7%
Q3'25$0.76$0.84+11.0%
Q2'25$0.92$0.87-5.8%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.3B$3.4B$3.5B$3.6B$3.7BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$3.5B - -
Q2'26$3.5B$3.4B-3.0%
Q1'26$3.4B$3.5B+1.3%
Q4'25$3.5B$3.3B-4.2%
Q3'25 - $3.5B -
Q2'25 - $3.6B -

Market Data

LKQ Stock Snapshot

BEARISH21/100
$21.89+$0.08 (0.4%)
Market cap
5.64B
P/E ratio
12.2
Day range
$21.70 – $22.14
News sentiment
39/100 · Bearish
Analyst target
$32.12 (+46.7%)
Consensus
Buy · 17 analysts
52-week range+3.4% off low · -41.0% from high
$21.17$37.13
Price $21.89 DailyIQ Est. $33.70

LKQ Corporation is trading near its 52-week low with momentum still pointing lower. At this size, a single catalyst moves the stock further than it would a larger peer.

Behaviour On Record

What LKQ's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
20.6% 31st pct
Below its peak
-64.0%
vs 200-day average
-20.7%
Up days (1y)
51%

LKQ Corporation is currently running 20.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against LKQ's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 31st percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 24.5%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

LKQ is trading -64.0% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -25.1%, and the deepest was -60.9% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -20.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 3rd percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year LKQ closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, LKQ finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +3.8% and an average of +1.8%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +3.6% on average, its weakest September at -3.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: LKQ has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 153 of 3,267 sessions (4.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +18.5% and -10.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, LKQ moved an average of 3.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -1.0% and a largest of -8.8%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against LKQ's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of LKQ's sector?

LKQ Corporation sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 7th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#7 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
64

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for LKQ?

CallsPuts

For LKQ Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 2 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.35), with at-the-money implied volatility around 74.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.7% move by that expiry — a range of about $20.82–$22.86.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.35
ATM implied volatility
74.8%
Total open interest
9,188
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±4.7% ($20.82–$22.86)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on LKQ?

JP Morgan most recently reiterated its rating on LKQ Corporation to Overweight on Oct 8, 2026 with a price target of $27 (from $30). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
JP Morgan — Overweight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 8, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$30 → $27
Aug 3, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$30 → $25
Jul 31, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$37 → $30
Jul 22, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$33 → $30
Jul 21, 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainedOverweight$39 → $37
Apr 7, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$34 → $33
Feb 23, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$40 → $37
Dec 10, 2025Stephens & Co.InitiatedOverweight$39
Nov 12, 2025BarclaysInitiatedEqual-Weight$33
Nov 3, 2025Roth CapitalReiteratedBuy$46 → $43
Jul 25, 2025BairdMaintainedOutperform$48 → $42
Jul 22, 2025Barrington ResearchMaintainedOutperform$60

Peers & ETF holders

LKQ peers & ETF holders

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

39/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
BEARISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
The analyst noted that LKQ has not achieved organic revenue growth in the past two years, prompting a bearish stance that the company may need to rely on acquisitions to expand. This lack of internal growth signals potential challenges for the distributor’s long‑term performance and may pressure its valuation.
What did this article say?
LKQ reported a cut to its earnings per share guidance, citing ongoing market headwinds and an activist-led strategic review. The company highlighted a 5.4% dividend yield and plans for share buybacks as part of its capital allocation strategy. The guidance reduction signals a potential slowdown in revenue growth and reflects concerns about the broader automotive aftermarket environment.
What did this article say?
JP Morgan analyst Jash Patwa reduced LKQ’s price target from $30 to $27 while keeping an Overweight rating. The downgrade reflects concerns about the company’s valuation relative to peers and potential earnings pressure. The move signals a modest negative outlook for the stock, though the rating remains positive. This adjustment may influence investor sentiment and trading activity around the company.
What did this article say?
LKQ's share price had fallen 52.7% over the past five years, prompting a review of its valuation relative to earnings. The article assessed whether the current price of around $22.03 reflected the company's profit generation and future prospects. It highlighted that changes in margins or cost control could directly impact the sustainability of earnings. Analysts' opinions and comparisons to other undervalued stocks were also discussed to gauge potential upside.
What did this article say?
LKQ rolled out Whatfix’s Digital Adoption Platform across its European training hub, LKQ Academy, serving 70,000 automotive professionals in 13 countries. Despite the digital investment, the stock has fallen 13.7% in the last month and 26.6% year‑to‑date, with a 22.6% decline in 1‑year total shareholder return. The move highlights a tension between long‑term digital strategy and short‑term market performance.
What did this article say?
LKQ Corporation scheduled the release of its third‑quarter 2026 financial results for October 29, 2026, and announced a conference call and webcast to discuss the figures. The call will be hosted by senior management and is accessible via a dedicated conference ID. Investors were provided with dialing instructions and a link to the presentation materials.
What did this article say?
Fitch Ratings downgraded LKQ’s outlook from positive to stable, citing weaker repairable collision claims and a slower deleveraging path. The auto‑parts distributor reported a 3.4% decline in organic parts and services revenue in the first half of 2026, following a 2.7% drop in 2025. EBITDA margins fell to 10.7% for the six‑month period ended June 30, down from 12.1% in 2024, and leverage rose to 3.0x from 2.6x. Temporary ERP implementation issues in Germany added pressure to recent quarterly performance, while capital allocation priorities have slowed debt reduction.
What did this article say?
The article highlights LKQ’s 22% share price decline over six months, attributing it to softer quarterly results and a 2.6% annual drop in organic revenue. Analysts express low confidence in the company, citing declining demand for its core business and potential need for product or pricing improvements. The piece recommends investors consider alternative opportunities, suggesting a more favorable outlook for competitors.
What did this article say?
The article reviews LKQ’s Q2 earnings performance relative to other consumer discretionary‑specialized services firms. It highlights that LKQ’s results were broadly in line with peers, with no significant deviations in revenue growth or margin expansion. The piece notes that the sector remains hit‑driven and that LKQ’s performance reflects typical industry dynamics rather than a standout achievement.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

21
BEARISH
Momentum rank against about 1,000 stocks and ETFs for this timeframe.
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $3.11B combined position · 13 adding, 12 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
BlackRock, Inc.▲ Buy38,552,81515.16%$1.02B2026-08-07
Vanguard Group Inc▼ Sell27,322,78710.74%$825.15M2026-01-29
Morgan Stanley▼ Sell8,071,6533.17%$212.53M2026-08-13
Capital World Investors▼ Sell7,155,2932.81%$188.40M2026-08-12
Ancora Advisors LLC▼ Sell6,949,6822.73%$183.53M2026-08-14
Geode Capital Management, LLC▲ Buy4,844,0171.90%$127.57M2026-08-12
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▲ Buy2,898,3771.14%$76.31M2026-08-14
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▼ Sell2,426,6660.95%$63.89M2026-08-13
Bank of America Corp▼ Sell2,211,1960.87%$58.22M2026-08-14
Norges Bank▼ Sell2,085,8570.82%$54.92M2026-08-12
AQR Capital Management LLC▲ Buy2,086,7010.82%$54.90M2026-08-14
Northern Trust Corp▼ Sell1,904,9890.75%$50.16M2026-08-13
Janus Henderson Group plc▲ Buy1,322,0190.52%$38.83M2026-05-18
Invesco Ltd.▲ Buy1,225,6580.48%$32.27M2026-08-14
Marshall Wace, LLP▲ Buy851,2730.33%$22.41M2026-08-13
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.▲ Buy849,9670.33%$22.38M2026-08-14
Bridgewater Associates, LP▲ Buy523,8650.21%$13.79M2026-08-14
JPMorgan Chase & Co▲ Buy421,9890.17%$11.32M2026-08-12
Wells Fargo & Company▼ Sell428,9670.17%$11.29M2026-08-14
Prudential Financial Inc▼ Sell362,4400.14%$9.54M2026-08-12
Millennium Management LLC▼ Sell327,3530.13%$8.62M2026-08-14
Gotham Asset Management, LLC▲ Buy321,9170.13%$8.48M2026-08-14
Adage Capital Partners GP, L.L.C.▼ Sell243,1130.10%$6.40M2026-08-14
Citigroup Inc▲ Buy196,5390.08%$5.17M2026-08-03
Verition Fund Management LLC▲ Buy159,9400.06%$4.21M2026-08-14
Q2 2026 flow:5.05M sh bought ($132.95M)10.71M sh sold ($282.09M)net -5.66M sh (−$149.14M)