DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer CyclicalAll sectors
Last updated 7 minutes ago

CVNA·Carvana Co.

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$69.37
Open
$67.89
Market Cap
72.20B
52W High
$97.38
Low
$65.72
P. Close
$65.83
P/E
50.11
52W Low
$54.46
Fwd P/E
30.42
DailyIQ Est.
$96.07
Technical Score (1D)
36
SELL
News Sentiment
85
BULLISH
Carvana has just launched same‑day vehicle delivery in Milwaukee, marking the first step in a planned nationwide rollout that could accelerate sales and improve customer convenience. The new service is expected to lift order volumes by reducing delivery lag, which may help offset the company’s historically thin margins. However, RBC Capital has cut its price target to $85 from $92, citing more conservative growth assumptions for FY26‑27. The downgrade signals that analysts are wary of the company’s ability to sustain high growth rates even with the new logistics capability. The combination of a new delivery option and a lower target price creates a mixed outlook that could weigh on short‑term sentiment. Over the next 1–10 trading days, investors should monitor how quickly Carvana can replicate the Milwaukee model in other markets. Key watch items include the speed of national expansion, the cost of expanding the first‑party logistics network, and any early impact on sales volume. Additionally, analysts will be looking for updates on FY26‑27 revenue guidance to see if the conservative assumptions are revised. The company’s ability to convert same‑day delivery into higher gross margin will also be a critical factor. Finally, any changes in consumer demand for online car buying amid macro‑economic pressures will influence the effectiveness of this strategy.
Earnings Summary
Carvana Co. operates a digital marketplace that facilitates the entire used‑car lifecycle, from acquisition and reconditioning to online sales and in‑house financing, positioning it as a technology‑driven auto dealership in the consumer cyclical sector. In Q4 2024 Carvana reported an EPS of $0.58 versus an estimate of $0.25 and revenue of $3.55 billion, a 58% year‑over‑year increase; the following year’s Q4 2025 saw EPS jump to $4.22 against an estimate of $1.13 and revenue rise to $5.60 billion, a 58% YoY gain, indicating accelerating profitability and scale while consistently beating analyst expectations in both periods. Over the past four quarters the company has maintained a pattern of revenue growth coupled with EPS expansion, with each quarter’s earnings surpassing consensus, underscoring a disciplined cost structure despite inventory challenges; recent analyst commentary notes a shift toward a 1.63 consensus rating with a majority of “Strong Buy” calls, suggesting heightened short‑term interest, while investor updates highlight a 10% decline in June performance and a 22% year‑to‑date slide, pointing to near‑term inventory and profitability pressures; management’s forecast of record retail unit sales and higher EBITDA for Q2 2026 has lifted sentiment, but the company’s debt restructuring and acquisition of brick‑and‑mortar dealerships signal a strategic pivot that will need to be monitored. Investors should watch the July 29 Q2 2026 earnings release for confirmation of revenue, gross‑margin, inventory levels, and loan‑rate exposure, as these metrics will determine whether the company can sustain its accelerated EPS growth and whether the optimistic consensus rating holds in the face of potential cost pressures.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.34$0.95$2.24$3.53$4.81Q4'24Q4'25Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$0.40 - -
Q4'25$1.13$4.22+274.4%
Q4'24$0.25$0.58+128.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.0B$4.2B$5.3B$6.4B$7.5BQ4'24Q4'25Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$7.0B - -
Q4'25$5.4B$5.6B+4.5%
Q4'24 - $3.5B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

CVNA Stock Snapshot

CVNA is currently trading at $65.90, giving Carvana Co. a market cap of 72.20B and a P/E ratio of 50.1. Today's range spans $65.72–$69.37, with shares opening at $67.89 and moving up $0.07 (0.1%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 36/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 85/100.

Over the past year CVNA has traded between $54.46 and $97.38 - the current price is +21.0% off the 52-week low and -32.3% from the high. 34 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $92.14 (range $67.00–$120.00), implying upside of +39.8%.

Carvana Co. (CVNA) has 72.20B in Consumer Cyclical market capitalization and is currently neutral on the technical dashboard: 36/100, HOLD, price $65.90 (in the lower half of its 52-week range). Sentiment reads bullish at 85/100. (P/E: 50.1) In this tier, quiet accumulation often happens in HOLD phases - active managers who want to build positions without signaling do it here, where the price isn't trending and volume patterns are easier to hide. Annual range: $54.46–$97.38.

The 52-week range of $54.46–$97.38 for CVNA provides the structural reference that options traders, systematic funds, and discretionary managers all anchor to — and at $65.90 (in the lower half of its 52-week range), the stock sits in a zone where the next 5–10% move will likely define which crowd was right. A HOLD signal at 36/100 and bullish news backdrop (85/100) don't break the tie yet, but they narrow the probability distribution toward the upside.