| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'25 | $0.69 | - | - |
| Q3'25 | $0.55 | $0.37 | -33.2% |
| Q2'25 | $0.53 | $0.61 | +16.1% |
| Q1'25 | $0.54 | $0.58 | +6.9% |
| Q4'24 | $0.45 | $0.60 | +34.8% |
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'25 | $516M | - | - |
| Q3'25 | - | $482M | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $465M | - |
| Q1'25 | - | $482M | - |
| Q4'24 | - | $465M | - |
Market Data
DAY is currently trading at $105.86, giving DAY a market cap of 11.18B and a P/E ratio of 621.1. Today's range spans $0.00–$0.00, with shares opening at $0.00 and moving up $1.07 (1.0%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 100/100 (BUY).
Over the past year DAY has traded between $49.65 and $69.86 - the current price is +113.2% off the 52-week low and +51.5% from the high.
Growth-oriented Technology investors looking for technical confirmation find it in DAY: BUY signal, 100/100 score, neutral sentiment at -/100, price $105.86 (near 52-week highs). The current P/E ratio stands at 621.1. The 11.18B market cap is the sweet spot - big enough to absorb institutional sizing, small enough to move materially on conviction. Annual range: $49.65–$69.86.
What makes DAY's BUY setup (100/100) particularly actionable at 11.18B in Technology capitalization is the scale-to-move ratio: large enough to feature on institutional mandates but not so large that the percentage upside is already compressed by index inertia. At $105.86 (near 52-week highs in $49.65–$69.86), with sentiment running neutral at -/100, the setup rewards conviction-sized positioning more than it does speculative small bets.
Dayforce, Inc. is a global technology provider specializing in cloud-based human capital management (HCM) solutions, with its core offering being the integrated Dayforce platform. This platform streamlines critical HR functions including payroll processing, workforce management, and talent acquisition, serving a broad range of organizational sizes. The company also extends its reach into the small business market through its Powerpay solution, demonstrating a strategy to capture diverse customer segments. Dayforce complements its software with implementation, training, and ongoing support services, delivered via direct sales and partner channels across key international markets.
The company's financial performance in recent quarters presents a mixed picture, with fluctuations in Earnings Per Share (EPS) and relatively consistent revenue figures. While EPS saw an increase from Q1 2025 to Q2 2025, it subsequently declined in Q3 2025, indicating potential volatility. Revenue has remained largely stable across these periods, though the limited historical data makes it challenging to ascertain long-term growth trajectories. Dayforce has a track record of beating analyst estimates in three of the last four quarters, suggesting an ability to meet market expectations on revenue.
Recent analyst sentiment towards Dayforce indicates a cautious outlook, with several firms adjusting their ratings and an average 1-year price target suggesting limited upside potential. A notable increase in short interest in December, coupled with insider selling, warrants investor attention. These factors, alongside reports of a significant loss, highlight potential headwinds. Investors will closely monitor upcoming quarterly results for signs of sustained revenue growth and improved EPS, which will be crucial for validating the company's operational performance and future prospects.
The Dayforce platform offers a unified suite for core HR, payroll, workforce management, and talent acquisition.
Integration aims to streamline operations and provide a single source of truth for human capital data.
The Powerpay solution extends the company's reach to the small business market, broadening its customer base.
Recent EPS figures have shown volatility, with a decline in Q3 2025 after an increase in the prior quarter.
Revenue has remained relatively stable across recent quarters, indicating consistent demand for its services.
The company has a history of beating revenue estimates, suggesting operational efficiency in sales execution.
Recent analyst ratings show a mixed outlook, with several firms adjusting their recommendations.
The average 1-year price target suggests limited immediate upside potential for the stock.
Increased short interest and insider selling may signal concerns among market participants.
Dayforce operates in the competitive Human Capital Management (HCM) software sector.
Its cloud-based solutions cater to a global clientele across the United States, Canada, and Australia.
Distribution through direct sales and partner channels supports its international market penetration.
Investors considering Dayforce should monitor upcoming earnings reports closely for evidence of sustained revenue growth and improved EPS. A significant increase in short interest and recent insider selling suggest a cautious approach may be warranted. Adding to positions could be considered if the company demonstrates consistent execution against revenue estimates and a clear path to profitability improvement.
Dayforce's risks are primarily tied to its ability to maintain growth in the competitive HCM software market and manage its financial performance. Investors should monitor its execution and competitive positioning.
Dayforce's success hinges on effectively executing its growth strategy and integrating new features or acquisitions. Any missteps in product development, sales execution, or customer onboarding could slow revenue growth. This risk would materialize if the company fails to meet its projected financial targets or loses market share.
Despite revenue consistency, Dayforce has reported significant losses, raising concerns about its path to profitability. Continued losses could pressure its stock price and limit its ability to invest in growth. This risk becomes more acute if the company cannot demonstrate a clear strategy for improving margins or achieving sustainable profits.
A significant increase in short interest suggests that a notable portion of investors are betting against the stock. This could lead to increased volatility and downward pressure on the stock price, especially if negative news emerges. A material event or sustained poor performance could trigger a sell-off driven by short-sellers.
Recent sales of shares by company insiders can signal a lack of confidence in future performance. While insiders may sell for various reasons, it can create negative sentiment among investors. This risk would be amplified if the selling continues or if the company subsequently underperforms expectations.
Here's where sell-side analysts stand on DAY right now, based on the latest ratings DailyIQ has tracked.
Reflects the most recently tracked analyst ratings for DAY and may lag real-time updates. Not a recommendation to buy or sell.
DAY (DAY) is tracked alongside these names in Software - Application on DailyIQ.
EPS: $0.37 actual vs $0.55 estimate (miss) · Revenue: $482M actual
EPS: $0.61 actual vs $0.53 estimate (beat) · Revenue: $465M actual
EPS: $0.58 actual vs $0.54 estimate (beat) · Revenue: $482M actual
EPS: $0.6 actual vs $0.45 estimate (beat) · Revenue: $465M actual
Dayforce's performance hinges on its ability to grow its cloud-based HCM platform and retain customers. Investors should monitor key SaaS metrics to gauge its growth trajectory and operational efficiency.
Recurring Revenue Growth: Measures the year-over-year increase in Dayforce's subscription-based revenue. Strong, accelerating growth indicates healthy demand for its HCM solutions; deceleration could signal market saturation or competitive pressure. This metric is vital for Dayforce's valuation, as consistent recurring revenue growth supports a premium multiple.
Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC): Tracks the total cost of sales and marketing efforts to acquire a new customer. A declining CAC suggests efficient sales and marketing spend; a rising CAC may indicate increasing competition or ineffective strategies. For Dayforce, managing CAC is crucial for profitable growth and demonstrating scalability of its business model.
Net Revenue Retention (NRR): Indicates the percentage of recurring revenue retained from existing customers, including upsells and expansion, minus churn and downgrades. NRR above 100% signifies Dayforce is growing revenue from its existing base, a strong positive sign; below 100% suggests customer attrition or contraction. High NRR is a key indicator of customer satisfaction and platform stickiness for Dayforce.
Gross Profit Margin: Represents the percentage of revenue remaining after deducting the cost of goods sold (primarily hosting and support costs). Expanding gross margins suggest Dayforce is achieving economies of scale; contracting margins could indicate pricing pressure or rising infrastructure costs. This metric is important for assessing the underlying profitability and efficiency of Dayforce's core service delivery.
Dayforce Inc.'s stock performance is primarily driven by the demand for its integrated human capital management (HCM) platform and its ability to convert revenue growth into profitability.
The core of Dayforce's business is its cloud-based HCM platform, which offers a comprehensive suite for HR, payroll, and workforce management.
Increased adoption and expansion of this platform within client organizations directly translate to higher recurring revenue and potential for margin expansion, positively impacting the stock.
Investor focus remains on Dayforce's ability to achieve consistent profitability, as evidenced by fluctuating EPS figures in recent quarters.
A demonstrated track record of improving earnings per share alongside revenue growth would likely boost investor confidence and support a higher stock valuation.
A notable increase in short interest indicates a segment of the market is betting against the stock, potentially due to concerns about future performance or valuation.
Sustained high short interest can create volatility, and any positive news or performance improvement could trigger a short squeeze, leading to rapid price appreciation.
Key insight: Dayforce's valuation hinges on its ability to drive sustained adoption of its integrated HCM platform and translate that into consistent, growing profitability. Investors will be closely monitoring earnings trends and short interest levels for key indicators of future stock performance.
Dayforce Inc. operates as a global technology provider of cloud-based human capital management (HCM) solutions. The investment thesis for DAY stock often centers on its integrated platform designed to streamline HR, payroll, and workforce management. Investors may consider the company's ability to capture market share in the growing HCM software space and its potential for recurring revenue streams.
The stock price of Dayforce Inc. is primarily influenced by its financial performance, particularly revenue growth and earnings per share (EPS). Key drivers include the adoption rate of its integrated HCM platform, expansion into new markets or customer segments, and competitive pressures within the software industry. Analyst ratings and overall market sentiment towards technology stocks also play a significant role.
As of the latest available information, Dayforce Inc. does not typically pay a cash dividend to its shareholders. The company generally reinvests its earnings back into the business to fund growth initiatives, research and development, and potential acquisitions. Investors seeking income-generating stocks may need to consider other options.
Dayforce Inc.'s valuation can be assessed using various metrics, including its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and enterprise value to EBITDA. Given its P/E ratio of approximately 617.68, the stock appears to be trading at a premium, which is common for growth-oriented software companies. Investors should compare these multiples to industry peers and the company's historical averages to gauge its relative valuation.
Investing in Dayforce Inc. carries several risks, including intense competition in the HCM software market from established players and emerging startups. Potential risks also involve the company's ability to execute its growth strategy, manage its operating expenses, and adapt to evolving technological landscapes. Significant short interest in DAY, currently around 6.7 days, and recent insider selling could also be viewed as cautionary signals.
Dayforce Inc. has demonstrated mixed financial results in recent quarters. While revenue has remained relatively consistent, ranging between $464.7 million and $481.8 million over the last three reported quarters, EPS has fluctuated, decreasing to $0.37 in Q3 2025 after earlier increases. The company has beaten earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters, indicating some operational success.
Dayforce's future growth is expected to be driven by the continued demand for integrated cloud-based HCM solutions and its ability to expand its customer base. The company's strategy likely involves enhancing its platform's capabilities, particularly in areas like AI-driven HR insights, and potentially pursuing strategic partnerships or acquisitions. Investors will be closely watching its ability to consistently grow revenue and improve profitability.
Dayforce competes by offering a single, unified platform that integrates core HR, payroll, workforce management, and talent acquisition functionalities. This contrasts with competitors who may offer more modular solutions. The company's focus on a comprehensive, cloud-based approach aims to provide efficiency and data accuracy for businesses of all sizes, including its Powerpay solution for small businesses.
The name change from Ceridian HCM Holding Inc. to Dayforce, Inc. in February 2024 signifies a strategic shift to emphasize its core product, the Dayforce platform. This rebranding aims to simplify its identity and highlight the integrated nature of its HCM solutions. It suggests a renewed focus on leveraging the platform's strengths to drive future growth and market positioning.

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