DINO·HF Sinclair Corporation
DINO|Analyst Targets
DINO|Insider Trading
DINO|Fundamentals
DINO|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $7.11 | - | - |
| Q3'25 | $1.86 | $2.44 | +30.9% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $8.2B | - | - |
| Q3'25 | - | $7.3B | - |
DINO|Monthly Returns
Market Data
DINO Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 20.37B
- P/E ratio
- 10.6
- Day range
- $115.26 – $117.72
- News sentiment
- 56/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $106.47 (-8.4%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 23 analysts
Price is near its 52-week high, and the momentum read backs that positioning up. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into DINO?
At today's price, HF Sinclair Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 12.9% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.51% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 22.6% a year, so the market is asking for 9.7 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis DINO looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 12.9%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 22.6%
- Growth gap
- -9.7 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 8.51%
- Beta
- 0.70
Behaviour On Record
What DINO's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 41.3% 66th pct
- Below its peak
- -1.6%
- vs 200-day average
- +61.8%
- Up days (1y)
- 57%
HF Sinclair Corporation is currently running 41.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against DINO's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 66th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 35.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
DINO is trading -1.6% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -34.5%, and the deepest was -66.3% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits +61.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 99th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year DINO closed higher on 57% of sessions, and it is currently 4 sessions into a rising streak.
On October specifically: over 13 years of records, DINO finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -0.3% and an average of +1.1%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +6.3% on average, its weakest December at -3.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: DINO has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 259 of 3,267 sessions (7.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.6% and -10.7%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against DINO's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of DINO's sector?
HF Sinclair Corporation sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 5th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).
- Sector rank
- #5 of 12
- Sector state
- Improving
- Sector rotation score
- 82
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on DINO?
UBS most recently reiterated its rating on HF Sinclair Corporation to Buy on Oct 5, 2026 with a price target of $133 (from $126). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- UBS — Buy
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Held by These ETFs
News Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment gathered from recent headlines
Recent News Coverage
Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).
Technical Analysis
Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes
| Manager | Trend | Shares Held | % of Co. | Position Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citadel Advisors LLC | • Hold | 5,035,128 | 2.87% | $350.70M | 2026-09-02 |
| Member | Chamber | State | Type | Amount | Traded | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Letlow | House | LA05 | ▼ Sell | $1K - $15K | 2026-02-20 | 2026-03-12 |
| Julia Letlow | House | LA05 | ▲ Buy | $1K - $15K | 2024-10-23 | 2026-01-13 |