EXE|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $1.34 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $1.12 | $1.33 | +18.8% |
| Q4'25 | $1.90 | $2.00 | +5.1% |
| Q4'24 | $0.47 | $0.55 | +17.5% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $2.7B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $2.8B | $1.8B | -35.6% |
| Q4'25 | $2.7B | $2.3B | -15.4% |
| Q4'24 | - | $1.6B | - |
EXE|Monthly Returns
Market Data
EXE Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 20.54B
- P/E ratio
- 7.4
- Day range
- $87.30 – $89.01
- News sentiment
- 53/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $125.52 (+42.0%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 32 analysts
Momentum has rolled over on Expand Energy Corporation, which is what drives the bearish read. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into EXE?
At today's price, Expand Energy Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about -8.2% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.03% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 37.6% a year, so the market is asking for 45.8 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis EXE looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- -8.2%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 37.6%
- Growth gap
- -45.8 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 7.03%
- Beta
- 0.56
Behaviour On Record
What EXE's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 28.1% 37th pct
- Below its peak
- -28.9%
- vs 200-day average
- -11.7%
- Up days (1y)
- 48%
Expand Energy Corporation is currently running 28.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against EXE's own 5 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 37th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 32.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
EXE is trading -28.9% below its running peak. Across 5 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -24.1%, and the deepest was -27.5% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -11.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 9th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year EXE closed higher on 48% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 6 years of records, EXE finished the month higher 3 of 6 times, with a median return of +1.8% and an average of +1.7%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +4.9% on average, its weakest June at -4.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: EXE has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 100 of 1,404 sessions (7.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.6% and -5.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
All figures computed from 1,405 daily closes between 2021-02-10 and 2026-09-16, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against EXE's own 6-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of EXE's sector?
Expand Energy Corporation sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 2nd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening). Within its narrower Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry group, EXE ranks 1st of 15 tracked industries, weakening.
- Sector rank
- #2 of 11
- Sector state
- Weakening
- Sector rotation score
- 80
- Industry rank
- #1 of 15
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on EXE?
UBS most recently reiterated its rating on Expand Energy Corporation to Buy on Sep 14, 2026 with a price target of $129 (from $124). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.
- Latest action
- UBS — Buy
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 1
- Net rating momentum
- -1
EXE Competitive Positioning
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