EXE|Analyst Targets
EXE|Company Info
EXE|Insider Trading
EXE|Fundamentals
EXE|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $2.10 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $1.28 | $1.46 | +14.1% |
| Q2'26 | $1.12 | $1.33 | +19.1% |
| Q4'25 | $1.90 | $2.00 | +5.1% |
| Q4'24 | $0.47 | $0.55 | +17.5% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $3.0B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $2.6B | $3.3B | +24.7% |
| Q2'26 | $2.8B | $1.8B | -35.6% |
| Q4'25 | $2.7B | $2.3B | -15.4% |
| Q4'24 | - | $1.6B | - |
EXE|Monthly Returns
Market Data
EXE Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 19.71B
- P/E ratio
- 7.1
- Day range
- $85.11 – $85.50
- News sentiment
- 40/100 · Bearish
- Analyst target
- $123.33 (+44.2%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 35 analysts
Momentum has rolled over on Expand Energy Corporation, which is what drives the bearish read. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into EXE?
At today's price, Expand Energy Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about -3.0% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 6.49% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 21.5% a year, so the market is asking for 24.6 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis EXE looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- -3.0%
- Growth trend
- 21.5%
- Growth gap
- -24.6 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 6.49%
- Beta
- 0.54
Behaviour On Record
What EXE's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 22.8% 19th pct
- Below its peak
- -30.0%
- vs 200-day average
- -9.7%
- Up days (1y)
- 49%
Expand Energy Corporation is currently running 22.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against EXE's own 6 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 19th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 31.9%.
EXE is trading -30.0% below its running peak. Across 6 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -24.3%, and the deepest was -27.5% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -9.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 15th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year EXE closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On November specifically: over 5 years of records, EXE finished the month higher 3 of 5 times, with a median return of +0.3% and an average of +2.8%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +4.9% on average, its weakest June at -4.7%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: EXE has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 100 of 1,439 sessions (6.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.6% and -5.8%.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, EXE moved an average of 2.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -2.2% and a largest of -2.8%.
All figures computed from 1,440 daily closes between 2021-02-10 and 2026-11-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against EXE's own 6-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of EXE's sector?
Expand Energy Corporation sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 9th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).
- Sector rank
- #9 of 12
- Sector state
- Lagging
- Sector rotation score
- 9
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect EXE to earn?
Analysts expect Expand Energy Corporation to earn $8.71 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $12.13 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2029, from 2 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on EXE?
UBS most recently reiterated its rating on Expand Energy Corporation to Buy on Oct 29, 2026 with a price target of $117 (from $120). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.
- Latest action
- UBS: Buy
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 1
- Net rating momentum
- -1
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Expand Energy Corporation's latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
Additional detail on the Company’s 2026 third quarter financial and operational results, along with non-GAAP measures that adjust for items typically excluded by securities analysts, are available on the Company’s website.
New this quarter - 2
other factors that are described under Risk Factors in Item 1A of our 2025 Form 10-K, as updated by our Form 10-Qs and other filings with the SEC.
New this quarter - 3
During the third quarter, the Company repurchased $305 million of common stock and has $1 billion of capacity for additional repurchases under its previously announced expanded authorization.
New this quarter
Peers & ETF holders
EXE peers & ETF holders
Oil & Gas E&PMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about EXE?
EXE fell 3.1% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 39 and 92 from Oct 6 to Oct 22, then dropped to 32 on Oct 26.
- Oct 16 +3.3%
- Oct 28 -2.8%same day: Expand Energy Q3 Adjusted Earnings Jump 44% as Gas Output Rises
- Nov 4 -2.9%same day: Expand Energy (NASDAQ:EXE): A Decent Value Stock Worth Investigating
Technical analysis
How strong is EXE's momentum right now?
On the daily chart EXE ranks at the 22nd percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling EXE?
104 of the 195 tracked managers added to EXE in their latest 13F and 88 trimmed. Together they own 76.1% of the company, worth $15.9B. BlackRock and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 15.2%.
- 1BlackRock, Inc.8.46%$1.8B positionAdded 4.6% last quarter
- $1.4B positionAdded 0.5% last quarter
- 3State Street Corp6.78%$1.4B positionAdded 7.8% last quarter
- $1.1B positionAdded 4.2% last quarter
- $611.7M positionAdded 1.7% last quarter
- $605.8M positionTrimmed 2.3% last quarter
- 7Invesco Ltd.2.63%$552.7M positionAdded 23.2% last quarter
- $492.1M positionAdded 13.4% last quarter
- $491.1M positionAdded 39.7% last quarter
- $477.6M positionUnchanged last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading EXE?
3 members of Congress disclosed 7 EXE trades between Oct 23, 2024 and Feb 17, 2026: 4 buys and 3 sells, about $56.0K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has EXE done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, EXE returned −11.7%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 13 did better, led by MPC at +54.1%.
- 1MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporationup 54.1%+65.8 pts
- 2VLOValero Energy Corporationup 47.4%+59.1 pts
- 3PSXPhillips 66up 46.0%+57.7 pts
- 4CVXChevron Corporationup 14.8%+26.5 pts
- 5COPConocoPhillipsup 14.0%+25.7 pts
- 6XOMExxon Mobil Corporationup 11.3%+23.0 pts
- 7XLEEnergy Select Sector SPDR Fundup 7.3%+19.0 pts
- 8CNQCanadian Natural Resources Limitedup 7.1%+18.8 pts
- 14EXEThis stockdown 11.7%
- 16OIHVanEck Oil Services ETFdown 19.7%−7.9 pts