Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (FIX) Stock Price, News, Analysis

Technical Score (1D)

BUY

News Sentiment

BULLISH

Comfort Systems USA (FIX) was just upgraded to a Zacks Strong Buy, a move that follows an 11 % lift in its full‑year earnings estimate over the past 90 days. The upgrade signals that analysts now expect significantly higher profitability, which could lift investor confidence and support the stock’s recent outperformance relative to other construction peers. Because the earnings revision is based on updated revenue and margin projections, the company’s cash‑flow outlook has improved, potentially easing financing costs and enabling further capital deployment. Over the next 1–10 trading days, the market will likely react to the upgraded rating and the revised earnings guidance, which may reinforce the current upward trajectory. Traders should watch for the next earnings release, as any deviation from the new consensus could quickly reverse the positive sentiment. Additionally, keep an eye on any subsequent consensus revisions, as further upside could sustain the momentum, while a downgrade would likely trigger a pullback. Finally, monitor broader construction‑sector activity for any macro‑economic signals that could affect demand for FIX’s products, as this could moderate the impact of the earnings upgrade.

FIX|Analyst Targets

LOW TARGET

$1910 +16.7%

2 analysts

MEAN TARGET

$2197 +34.2%

6 analysts

HIGH TARGET

$2500 +52.7%

10 analysts

PRICE RANGE

$1910.00 - $2500.00

SB / B / H / S / SS

7/7/2/1/1

DAILYIQ EST.

$2263.44 (+38.3%)

FIX|Company Info

Sector

Industrials

Industry

Engineering & Construction

Exchange

NYQ

Country

United States

Website

comfortsystemsusa.com

Symbol

FIX

Description

Comfort Systems USA, Inc. is a leading provider of mechanical and electrical services across the United States, specializing in the design, installation, maintenance, and repair of building systems. The company operates through two primary segments, offering comprehensive solutions for heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), plumbing, electrical, and fire protection systems. Comfort Systems USA's core value proposition lies in its ability to serve a diverse customer base, including building owners, contractors, and property managers, across commercial, industrial, and institutional markets. Its services encompass both new construction projects and the renovation and upkeep of existing infrastructure, providing a full lifecycle approach to building system management. Founded in 1917, the company's long-standing presence and expertise position it as a key player in the mechanical and electrical services industry.

FIX|Insider Trading

Bought (1Y)

0 shares

Sold (1Y)

33,120 shares

$57.0M

Lane Brian E.CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFF.

Sell16,024 shares2026-08-26

GEORGE WILLIAM IIICHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

Sell2,554 shares2026-08-17

MYERS FRANKLIN-

Sell4,000 shares2026-08-11

MYERS FRANKLIN-

Sell3,500 shares2026-08-10

MYERS FRANKLIN-

Sell6,700 shares2026-06-24

FIX|Fundamentals

Bullish

Verdict: Bullish

✓Revenue growing year over year

✓Positive net margin

✓Positive operating cash flow

Gross Margin

24.1%

Net Margin

11.2%

Revenue CAGR

13.9%

Current Ratio

1.21x

Debt / Equity

0.06x

Return on Equity

41.8%

FIX|Earnings Snapshot

Earnings Summary

Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (FIX) is a leading provider of mechanical and electrical services across the United States, specializing in HVAC, plumbing, electrical, and fire protection systems for commercial, industrial, and institutional markets; it operates within the broader engineering and construction sector. In the most recent quarter, Q2 2026, the company reported EPS of $12.53 versus an estimate of $10.56, and revenue of $3.27 B against an estimate of $3.02 B, marking a 7.8% EPS beat and a 8.5% revenue beat; this performance follows a Q4 2025 EPS of $9.37 versus an estimate of $6.82 and revenue of $2.65 B versus an estimate of $2.36 B, indicating a consistent acceleration in both earnings and top line growth over the last two quarters. Historically, FIX has posted YoY revenue growth of roughly 15–20% in each of the past four quarters, with EPS growth exceeding 30% in the same period; the company has consistently beat analyst estimates in all four quarters, underscoring a pattern of strong earnings execution even as revenue growth moderates slightly. Recent analyst upgrades highlight a sharp rise in EPS expectations and a robust free‑cash‑flow profile, with a record Q2 that saw revenue jump 50.3% to $3.27 B and an EBITDA margin expand to 18.4%; the company’s $1.85 B cash reserve and low debt provide flexibility to expand capacity, particularly in high‑margin data‑center projects that drive its backlog. Investors should watch for the upcoming earnings release to confirm guidance, monitor any forward‑looking commentary on the health of the data‑center backlog, and keep an eye on macro‑economic indicators that could influence construction spending, as a slowdown would directly impact FIX’s core HVAC and modular solutions business.

Read full report

EPS

EstBeatMiss

Qtr	Est	Actual	+/−
Q3'26	$12.81	-	-
Q2'26	$10.56	$12.53	+18.7%
Q4'25	$6.82	$9.37	+37.3%
Q4'24	$3.67	$4.08	+11.1%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss

Qtr	Est	Actual	+/−
Q3'26	$3.4B	-	-
Q2'26	$3.0B	$3.3B	+8.0%
Q4'25	$2.4B	$2.6B	+12.1%
Q4'24	-	$1.9B	-

Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context

→

FIX|Monthly Returns

Market Data

FIX Stock Snapshot

HOLD59/100

$1636.85−$14.52 (0.9%)

Market cap: 58.12B
P/E ratio: 40.5
Day range: $1606.12 – $1689.65
News sentiment: 61/100 · Bullish
Analyst target: $2197.00 (+34.2%)
Consensus: Strong Buy · 18 analysts

52-week range+116.2% off low · -21.1% from high

$757.00$2073.99

Price $1636.85 DailyIQ Est. $2263.44

This is a pause rather than a turn for FIX - the signals are mixed by construction. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into FIX?

RICH

At today's price, Comfort Systems USA, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 49.5% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 12.63% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 27.1% a year, so the market is asking for 22.4 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis FIX looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth: 49.5%
Historical FCF CAGR: 27.1%
Growth gap: +22.4 pts
Verdict: RICH
Discount rate (WACC): 12.63%
Beta: 1.54

Behaviour On Record

What FIX's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d): 48.8% 80th pct
Below its peak: -20.4%
vs 200-day average: +7.9%
Up days (1y): 54%

Comfort Systems USA, Inc. is currently running 48.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FIX's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 80th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 31.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

FIX is trading -20.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -22.9%, and the deepest was -46.0% in 2025. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +7.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 36th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year FIX closed higher on 54% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, FIX finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.4% and an average of +3.1%. Its strongest month historically has been October at +9.8% on average, its weakest December at -1.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: FIX has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 208 of 3,267 sessions (6.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +17.2% and -12.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-23 and 2026-09-21, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FIX's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of FIX's sector?

Comfort Systems USA, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 9th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank: #9 of 11
Sector state: Lagging
Sector rotation score: 50

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for FIX?

CallsPuts

For Comfort Systems USA, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 25 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.82), with at-the-money implied volatility around 55.0%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±14.0% move by that expiry — a range of about $1408.24–$1865.78.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16): 1.82
ATM implied volatility: 55.0%
Total open interest: 4,529
Expected move by 2026-10-16: ±14.0% ($1408.24–$1865.78)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on FIX?

DA Davidson most recently initiated coverage on Comfort Systems USA, Inc. to Buy on Aug 21, 2026 with a price target of $2100. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action: DA Davidson — Buy
90-day upgrades: 0
90-day downgrades: 0
Net rating momentum: 0

Date	Firm	Action	Rating	Price target
Aug 21, 2026	DA Davidson	Initiated	Buy	$2100
Jul 27, 2026	UBS	Maintained	Buy	$2125 → $2225
Jul 27, 2026	Keybanc	Maintained	Overweight	$2004 → $2110
Jul 9, 2026	Goldman Sachs	Initiated	Buy	$2159
Jun 8, 2026	UBS	Maintained	Buy	$1992 → $2125
May 28, 2026	Oppenheimer	Initiated	Outperform	$2200
Apr 27, 2026	UBS	Maintained	Buy	$1680 → $1992
Apr 24, 2026	Keybanc	Upgrade	Sector Weight → Overweight	$2004
Apr 21, 2026	GLJ Research	Initiated	Buy	$2001
Feb 23, 2026	DA Davidson	Maintained	Buy	$1200 → $1800
Jan 26, 2026	Stifel	Maintained	Buy	$1155 → $1196
Dec 19, 2025	DA Davidson	Maintained	Buy	$1200

FIX Competitive Positioning

Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (FIX) is tracked alongside these names in Engineering & Construction on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.

FIXyou're hereComfort Systems USA, Inc.$58.1B-0.88%
PWRQuanta Services, Inc.$95.7B+1.25%
JJacobs Solutions Inc.$16.8B+0.29%
IESCIES Holdings Inc.$12.8B+0.73%

Held by These ETFs

FIX is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

61/100

Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive

MODERATELY BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles

What did this article say?

Comfort Systems (FIX) has been highlighted as a top performer within the construction sector, receiving a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy). Analysts have increased the full‑year earnings estimate by 11% over the past 90 days, reflecting a more optimistic outlook. The company’s sector rank and positive earnings revisions suggest a favorable short‑term trajectory. Traders should monitor upcoming earnings releases and any further analyst upgrades for confirmation of this upside.

What did this article say?

Comfort Systems (FIX) is highlighted as a top pick due to its robust sales pipeline, with a 56% backlog growth over two years, and a significant improvement in free cash flow margin of 15.1 percentage points over five years. The company’s operating margin of 16.5% and rising returns on capital suggest efficient capital deployment and potential for shareholder returns. Valuation at 29.8x forward P/E indicates a reasonable premium for its growth prospects, positioning FIX as an attractive investment opportunity for traders seeking resilient, profit‑generating firms.

What did this article say?

Comfort Systems (FIX) is highlighted as a compelling growth play by analysts, citing its high Zacks Growth Score and top Zacks Rank. The company’s financials show above‑average growth metrics that have historically outperformed peers. Analysts emphasize the combination of a Growth Score of A or B with a Rank #1 or #2 as a strong indicator of future performance. The recommendation suggests that investors should consider adding FIX to a growth‑focused portfolio. Watch for quarterly earnings to confirm the growth trajectory and any guidance updates that could reinforce the positive outlook.

What did this article say?

Comfort Systems USA (FIX) is highlighted in Parnassus Growth Equity Fund’s Q2 2026 letter as a key AI infrastructure play. The fund’s bullish stance on AI growth suggests FIX could see increased demand for its HVAC and building automation solutions. The mention comes amid broader market optimism for AI-enabled infrastructure, positioning FIX for potential upside. Investors should monitor how the company’s AI initiatives translate into revenue growth and market share gains.

What did this article say?

Analysts have converged on a bullish outlook for FIX, issuing a cluster of Strong Buy ratings and raising earnings estimates. The upgrades are driven by expectations of continued backlog growth in data centers, healthcare, and modular construction. While the sentiment is positive, it does not represent a transformative catalyst or a new contract. The market is pricing in a modest upside to near‑term earnings, but the core risk of a slowdown in tech buildout remains unchanged.

What did this article say?

Comfort Systems USA (FIX) is positioning its service division to capture maintenance demand from the expanding U.S. data center market. Service revenue rose 7% in the first half of 2026, now representing 10% of total sales, and the company expects continued growth as new facilities come online. While regulatory hurdles and warranty coverage may delay some opportunities, the firm has already secured a foothold with a hyperscaler and is targeting geographies with deployable technicians to optimize service delivery.

What did this article say?

Wall Street analysts have pushed Comfort Systems (FIX) toward a strong buy stance, with an average brokerage recommendation of 1.31 on a 1‑5 scale, driven by 11 of 13 analysts issuing strong buy ratings. The consensus reflects optimism about the company’s growth prospects and product pipeline, suggesting a bullish view for investors. Traders should monitor upcoming earnings for confirmation of revenue and margin targets, and watch for any changes in analyst coverage or target prices that could shift sentiment.

What did this article say?

Comfort Systems USA (FIX) demonstrates robust growth, meeting most of Louis Navellier’s growth criteria. Earnings, sales, and margins have improved, while cash flow and ROE remain healthy. The company’s valuation risk is low, suggesting a favorable risk‑return profile for investors. This performance supports a bullish outlook for the stock.

What did this article say?

Comfort Systems (FIX) is highlighted as a top cash‑producing stock due to its robust free cash flow margin and significant backlog expansion. The company’s free cash flow margin has risen 15.1 percentage points over five years, giving it flexibility for investments and shareholder returns. A 56% backlog growth over the past two years signals a healthy sales pipeline that should support future order flow. The analysis positions FIX as a solid buy opportunity for investors seeking cash‑rich, growth‑oriented businesses.

What did this article say?

Comfort Systems USA (FIX) has delivered an annualized return of 86.99% over the past five years, outperforming the broader market by 75.71%. The company’s robust growth has driven its market capitalization upward, reinforcing its position as a leading player in the HVAC and building automation sector. Investors should note the sustained performance trend and the company’s expanding product portfolio as key drivers of continued upside.

Technical Analysis

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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership

5 tracked managers · $2.81B combined position · 2 adding, 2 trimming, 1 unchanged (latest 13F filings)

Manager	Trend	Shares Held	% of Co.	Position Value	Filed
Geode Capital Management, LLC	▼ Sell	1,151,350	3.25%	$2.29B	2026-08-12
Baillie Gifford & Co	▼ Sell	212,655	0.60%	$421.47M	2026-08-06
Neuberger Berman Group LLC	▲ Buy	48,630	0.14%	$96.38M	2026-08-13
Marshall Wace, LLP	• Hold	2,079	0.01%	$2.87M	2026-05-15
Loomis Sayles & Co L P	▲ Buy	455	0.00%	$901.8K	2026-08-14

Q2 2026 flow:8.3K sh bought ($16.49M)99.7K sh sold ($197.93M)net -91.4K sh (−$181.43M)

Congressional Trading Activity

2 disclosed trades · ~$16.0K est. traded value · 1 buys, 1 sells

Member	Chamber	State	Type	Amount	Traded	Filed
Byron Donalds	House	FL19	▲ Buy	$1K - $15K	2025-12-04	2026-01-07
Rob Bresnahan	House	PA08	▼ Sell	$1K - $15K	2025-01-13	2025-02-13

FIX·Comfort Systems USA, Inc.

EPS

Revenue

FIX Stock Snapshot

What growth is priced into FIX?

What FIX's own history says about today's numbers

Is money rotating into or out of FIX's sector?

What is the options market pricing for FIX?

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on FIX?

FIX Competitive Positioning

Held by These ETFs

News Sentiment Analysis

Recent News Coverage

Technical Analysis

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News Sentiment Analysis

Recent News Coverage

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

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FIX·Comfort Systems USA, Inc.

EPS

Revenue

FIX Stock Snapshot

What growth is priced into FIX?

What FIX's own history says about today's numbers

Is money rotating into or out of FIX's sector?

What is the options market pricing for FIX?

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on FIX?

FIX Competitive Positioning

Held by These ETFs

News Sentiment Analysis

Recent News Coverage

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

Discover More

News Sentiment Analysis

Recent News Coverage

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

Discover More

Recently Viewed

Portfolio

Email Alerts

Portfolio News

Economic Events

Earnings Events

Economic News