FIX|Analyst Targets
FIX|Company Info
FIX|Insider Trading
FIX|Fundamentals
FIX|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $14.10 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $12.98 | $13.91 | +7.2% |
| Q2'26 | $10.46 | $12.53 | +19.8% |
| Q4'25 | $6.82 | $9.37 | +37.3% |
| Q4'24 | $3.67 | $4.08 | +11.1% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $3.8B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $3.4B | $3.8B | +9.6% |
| Q2'26 | $3.0B | $3.3B | +8.0% |
| Q4'25 | $2.4B | $2.6B | +12.1% |
| Q4'24 | - | $1.9B | - |
FIX|Monthly Returns
Market Data
FIX Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 33.81B
- P/E ratio
- 20.7
- Day range
- $956.81 – $1055.97
- News sentiment
- 30/100 · Bearish
- Analyst target
- $1820.56 (+80.2%)
- Consensus
- Strong Buy · 18 analysts
FIX's technical picture is constructive, with trend and momentum pointing the same direction. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into FIX?
At today's price, Comfort Systems USA, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 26.5% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 11.43% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 31.0% a year, so the market is asking for 4.5 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis FIX looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 26.5%
- Growth trend
- 31.0%
- Growth gap
- -4.5 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 11.43%
- Beta
- 1.56
Behaviour On Record
What FIX's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 88.5% 98th pct
- Below its peak
- -48.5%
- vs 200-day average
- -33.8%
- Up days (1y)
- 53%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc. is currently running 88.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FIX's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 98th percentile — an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 31.8%.
FIX is trading -48.5% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -24.1%, and the deepest was -48.5% in 2026. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -33.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 0th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year FIX closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, FIX finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +2.5% and an average of +4.4%. Its strongest month historically has been October at +7.2% on average, its weakest December at -1.3%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: FIX has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 214 of 3,268 sessions (6.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +17.2% and -13.5%.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, FIX moved an average of 3.1% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -3.3% and a largest of -4.2%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FIX's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of FIX's sector?
Comfort Systems USA, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).
- Sector rank
- #8 of 12
- Sector state
- Weakening
- Sector rotation score
- 27
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect FIX to earn?
Analysts expect Comfort Systems USA, Inc. to earn $50.93 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $76.86 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 2 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on FIX?
UBS most recently reiterated its rating on Comfort Systems USA, Inc. to Buy on Oct 26, 2026 with a price target of $1900 (from $2225). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- UBS: Buy
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Comfort Systems USA, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
We also achieved remarkable cash flow exceeding $1 billion in a single quarter.
New this quarter - 2
Mr. Lane concluded, “Relentless demand, together with our competence and reputation, produced sequential backlog growth of $3.8 billion, and a year over year backlog increase exceeding $8.0 billion.
New this quarter - 3
Operating cash flow for the nine months ended September 30, 2026 was $2.54 billion, as compared to $717.8 million in 2025.
Peers & ETF holders
FIX peers & ETF holders
Engineering & ConstructionMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about FIX?
FIX fell 44.6% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 36 and 98 from Oct 6 to Nov 3, then dropped to 58 on Nov 4.
- Oct 22 -13.3%same day: Comfort Systems USA Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results
- Nov 4 -15.1%
- Nov 5 -11.6%same day: Implied Volatility Surging for Comfort Systems Stock Options
Technical analysis
How strong is FIX's momentum right now?
On the daily chart FIX ranks at the 92nd percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bullish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling FIX?
117 of the 224 tracked managers added to FIX in their latest 13F and 106 trimmed. Together they own 83.5% of the company, worth $54.5B. BlackRock and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 17.1%.
- 1BlackRock, Inc.10.18%$6.7B positionTrimmed 3.3% last quarter
- $4.6B positionAdded 0.5% last quarter
- $3.7B positionTrimmed 0.8% last quarter
- 4FMR LLC (Fidelity)4.97%$3.3B positionAdded 14.5% last quarter
- 5State Street Corp4.61%$3.0B positionAdded 4.4% last quarter
- $2.3B positionTrimmed 7.0% last quarter
- $2.1B positionTrimmed 5.1% last quarter
- 8JPMorgan Chase & Co2.51%$1.6B positionTrimmed 5.8% last quarter
- 9Capital World Investors2.16%$1.4B positionTrimmed 16.8% last quarter
- 10Invesco Ltd.1.97%$1.3B positionAdded 8.5% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading FIX?
3 members of Congress disclosed 3 FIX trades between Jan 13, 2025 and Mar 27, 2026: 2 buys and 1 sell, about $24.0K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has FIX done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, FIX returned −49.6%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, all did better, led by CTAS at +32.0%.
- 1CTASCintas Corporationup 32.0%+81.7 pts
- 2MMM3M Companyup 27.2%+76.8 pts
- 3DEDeere & Companyup 13.8%+63.4 pts
- 4CNICanadian National Railway Companyup 11.2%+60.8 pts
- 5EMREmerson Electric Co.up 10.6%+60.2 pts
- 6CSXCSX Corporationup 10.0%+59.7 pts
- 7UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc.up 9.6%+59.2 pts
- 8UNPUnion Pacific Corporationup 8.8%+58.4 pts
- 16FIXThis stockdown 49.6%