DailyIQ
|
Sector:Financial ServicesAll sectors
Last updated1 minute ago

IBKR·Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.

$90.69
+2.29 (+2.59%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$90.69+0.00 (+0.00%)
High
$91.06
Open
$89.64
Market Cap
153.83B
52W High
$99.00
Low
$88.50
P. Close
$90.69
P/E
136.62
52W Low
$58.95
Fwd P/E
28.46
DailyIQ Est.
$110.86
Inst. Ownership
11.1%
Short Interest
0.61%
Days to Cover
2.7
Technical Score (1D)
41
SELL
News Sentiment
71
BULLISH
Interactive Brokers’ net interest income is set to rise by roughly $81 million a year after the Federal Reserve’s 0.25‑percentage‑point hike, which pushed the federal funds range to 3.75%‑4%. The brokerage’s automated platform earns interest on customers’ idle cash and margin loans, so the higher rates directly translate into a modest but tangible boost to its largest revenue line. Over the next 1–10 trading days this incremental income will help smooth earnings volatility and reinforce the firm’s positive outlook, potentially supporting its guidance for the remainder of the year. The move also signals that the firm’s interest‑income model remains sensitive to policy shifts, a factor that could become more pronounced if the Fed continues to tighten. Watch for any subsequent Fed policy announcements or changes in the federal funds range, as they will immediately affect IBKR’s interest‑income trajectory. Also monitor the firm’s margin loan balances, which could amplify or dampen the impact of the rate hike depending on customer borrowing activity.
Earnings Summary
Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. is a global electronic brokerage firm that offers execution, clearing, and settlement services across stocks, options, futures, and foreign exchange, while also providing custody and prime brokerage to institutional clients. Operating in the capital markets sector, the company differentiates itself through a fee‑based model that delivers broad market access to both retail and professional traders. In Q1 2025 Interactive Brokers reported earnings per share of $0.47, slightly below the $0.4832 estimate, and revenue of $1.396 billion, a modest increase from prior periods. The following quarter, Q1 2026, saw a higher revenue estimate of $1.692 billion, though actual earnings data for that period are not yet available; Q2 2026 EPS rose to $0.69, surpassing the $0.651 estimate, and revenue reached $1.883 billion against an estimate of $1.797 billion, indicating a strong beat in both metrics. Compared to the two quarters preceding Q1 2025, the company has maintained a consistent upward trajectory in revenue, while EPS growth has accelerated from $0.47 to $0.69 over the two most recent quarters, reflecting improved profitability. Historically, Interactive Brokers has posted year‑over‑year revenue growth in each quarter of the past year, with EPS beating estimates in three of the last four quarters, underscoring a pattern of solid earnings performance despite occasional guidance revisions. Recent news highlights a white‑label partnership with Daol Investment & Securities in Korea, which expands the firm’s indirect customer base but is expected to have a modest near‑term revenue impact; a 23% year‑over‑year rise in client DARTs for August 2026 signals increased trading activity that could support future earnings guidance. Investors should watch for the next earnings release to assess any guidance updates, monitor the progression of the Korean partnership into actual trading volume, and observe sequential trading activity for signs of sustained fee‑income lift, as these factors will be key to understanding the firm’s near‑term earnings trajectory.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.44$0.51$0.58$0.65$0.72Q1'25Q2'26Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$0.59 - -
Q2'26$0.65$0.69+6.0%
Q1'25$0.48$0.47-2.7%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.3B$1.5B$1.6B$1.8B$2.0BQ1'25Q2'26Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$1.7B - -
Q2'26$1.8B$1.9B+4.8%
Q1'25 - $1.4B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

IBKR Stock Snapshot

HOLD41/100
$90.69+$0.00 (0.0%)
Market cap
153.83B
P/E ratio
136.6
Day range
$88.50 – $91.06
News sentiment
71/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$105.74 (+16.6%)
Consensus
Buy · 23 analysts
52-week range+53.8% off low · -8.4% from high
$58.95$99.00
Price $90.69 DailyIQ Est. $110.86

Momentum has flattened on IBKR, leaving the next move dependent on news rather than the chart. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Behaviour On Record

What IBKR's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
45.7% 91st pct
Below its peak
-8.0%
vs 200-day average
+13.4%
Up days (1y)
51%

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. is currently running 45.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against IBKR's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 91st percentile — an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 28.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

IBKR is trading -8.0% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -24.4%, and the deepest was -41.3% in 2018. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +13.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 61st percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year IBKR closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, IBKR finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.7% and an average of +0.9%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +6.0% on average, its weakest March at -3.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: IBKR has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 151 of 3,265 sessions (4.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.4% and -15.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,267 daily closes between 2013-09-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against IBKR's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of IBKR's sector?

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. sits in the Financials sector, currently ranked 5th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#5 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
50

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for IBKR?

CallsPuts

For Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-25, 5 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 1.07), with at-the-money implied volatility around 56.9%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±7.4% move by that expiry — a range of about $87.00–$100.90.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-25)
1.07
ATM implied volatility
56.9%
Total open interest
2,520
Expected move by 2026-09-25
±7.4% ($87.00–$100.90)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on IBKR?

Goldman Sachs most recently reiterated its rating on Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. to Buy on Sep 2, 2026 with a price target of $113 (from $114). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Goldman Sachs — Buy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 2, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedBuy$114 → $113
Aug 27, 2026Raymond JamesInitiatedMarket Perform-
Jul 22, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedOutperform$105 → $110
Jul 22, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$108 → $114
Jul 15, 2026Piper SandlerMaintainedOverweight$88 → $105
Jul 14, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$83 → $106
Jul 9, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$93 → $108
Apr 22, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedBuy$89 → $98
Apr 22, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedOutperform$80 → $93
Apr 22, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$85 → $93
Apr 22, 2026Piper SandlerMaintainedOverweight$80 → $88
Apr 8, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$83 → $85

IBKR Competitive Positioning

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) is tracked alongside these names in Capital Markets on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.

Held by These ETFs

IBKR is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.