LPLA·LPL Financial Holdings Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

38.8% 77th pct

Below its peak

-18.6%

vs 200-day average

-0.2%

Up days (1y)

52%

LPL Financial Holdings Inc. is currently running 38.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against LPLA's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 77th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 28.9%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

LPLA is trading -18.6% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -26.2%, and the deepest was -60.8% in 2016. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -0.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 30th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year LPLA closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, LPLA finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +4.7% and an average of +5.3%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.6% on average, its weakest March at -4.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: LPLA has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 236 of 3,267 sessions (7.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.8% and -20.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against LPLA's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.