DailyIQ
Last updated1 minute ago

IMO·Imperial Oil Limited

$122.26
-1.25 (-1.01%)
Overnight$122.19-0.07 (-0.06%)
High
$124.07
Open
$122.69
Market Cap
86.74B
52W High
$139.44
Low
$120.97
P. Close
$122.26
P/E
20.85
52W Low
$83.00
Fwd P/E
13.95
DailyIQ Est.
$106.69
Inst. Ownership
-
Short Interest
2.68%
Days to Cover
26.2
Technical Score (1D)
18
BEARISH
News Sentiment
58
BULLISH
On Oct 3, Imperial Oil announced that its Kearl oil sands operation had reached one billion barrels of cumulative production, a milestone that underscored the company’s scale and operational resilience. On Oct 3, the company noted that share price momentum remained strong, with a year‑to‑date return of 46.64% and a five‑year total shareholder return of 376.28%. On Oct 3, the milestone sharpened investor focus on the durability of Imperial Oil’s integrated energy model. On Oct 3, it reinforced confidence in the company’s long‑term growth prospects. On Oct 3, analysts highlighted the significance of the Kearl operation as a key asset in the company’s portfolio. On Oct 3, the achievement was cited as a testament to Imperial Oil’s operational efficiency and strategic positioning.
LOW TARGET
$107 -12.7%
8 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$107 -12.7%
9 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$107 -12.7%
8 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$106.69 - $106.69
SB / B / H / S / SS
1/1/10/11/2
DAILYIQ EST.
$106.69 (-12.7%)
30/ 100
Bearish
Overall: Bearish
✕Analyst target below current price

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.56$2.43$3.29$4.15$5.01Q3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$4.62 - -
Q3'25$1.96$2.17+10.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$10.7B$12.6B$14.5B$16.5B$18.4BQ3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$17.5B - -
Q3'25 - $11.6B -

Market Data

IMO Stock Snapshot

BEARISH18/100
$122.19−$0.07 (0.1%)
Market cap
86.74B
P/E ratio
20.9
Day range
$120.97 – $124.07
News sentiment
58/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$106.69 (-12.7%)
Consensus
Sell · 25 analysts
52-week range+47.2% off low · -12.4% from high
$83.00$139.44
Price $122.19 DailyIQ Est. $106.69

The trend on IMO is bearish, and the indicator set is confirming it rather than diverging. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Behaviour On Record

What IMO's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
31.1% 63rd pct
Below its peak
-10.7%
vs 200-day average
+3.2%
Up days (1y)
57%

Imperial Oil Limited is currently running 31.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against IMO's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 63rd percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 27.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

IMO is trading -10.7% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -25.1%, and the deepest was -71.4% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +3.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 52nd percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year IMO closed higher on 57% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, IMO finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +2.5% and an average of +3.2%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +6.8% on average, its weakest December at -2.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: IMO has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 222 of 3,267 sessions (6.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +18.2% and -10.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against IMO's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of IMO's sector?

Imperial Oil Limited sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 4th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#4 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
82

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for IMO?

CallsPuts

For Imperial Oil Limited's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 9 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.52), with at-the-money implied volatility around 51.4%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±7.0% move by that expiry — a range of about $113.32–$130.38.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.52
ATM implied volatility
51.4%
Total open interest
269
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±7.0% ($113.32–$130.38)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on IMO?

RBC Capital most recently downgraded Imperial Oil Limited to Underperform on Feb 23, 2026 with a price target of $116. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
RBC Capital — Underperform
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Feb 23, 2026RBC CapitalDowngradeSector Perform → Underperform$116
Sep 25, 2025RBC CapitalMaintainedSector Perform$108 → $115
Jul 23, 2025Wolfe ResearchDowngradeOutperform → Peer Perform-
Apr 3, 2025RBC CapitalReiteratedSector Perform$101
Jan 3, 2025Wolfe ResearchDowngradeOutperform → Peer Perform-
Sep 25, 2024ScotiabankDowngradeSector Outperform → Sector Perform$110
Jul 12, 2024ScotiabankMaintainedSector Outperform$111 → $110
Nov 2, 2023JP MorganMaintainedUnderweight$93 → $95
Aug 29, 2023CIBCMaintainedNeutral$75 → $76
Jul 17, 2023National Bank Financial IncMaintainedSector Perform$87 → $82
Jun 29, 2023National Bank Financial IncMaintainedSector Perform$88 → $87
Dec 5, 2022JP MorganDowngradeNeutral → Underweight-

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

58/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MODERATELY BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10 articles
What did this article say?
Imperial Oil reported that its Kearl oil sands operation had reached one billion barrels of cumulative production, a milestone that underscored the company’s scale and operational resilience. The achievement arrived amid strong share price momentum, with a year‑to‑date return of 46.64% and a five‑year total shareholder return of 376.28%. The milestone sharpened investor focus on the durability of Imperial Oil’s integrated energy model and reinforced confidence in its long‑term growth prospects.
What did this article say?
The article compared the year‑to‑date performance of Imperial Oil (IMO) with Marathon Petroleum (MPC) within the oils‑energy sector. It noted that both companies are part of the same 250‑stock group and that the sector ranks third in the Zacks Sector Rank. The analysis highlighted MPC’s strong buy rating but did not indicate any material change for IMO. No new guidance or earnings announcements were mentioned for IMO, leaving its outlook unchanged.
What did this article say?
Imperial Oil (IMO) achieved an annualized return of 30.04% over the past five years, outperforming the broader market by 17.94%. The company’s market capitalization stands at $59.71 billion. This performance reflects sustained profitability and effective capital allocation. The data underscores IMO’s resilience amid fluctuating oil prices and positions it favorably for long‑term investors. The company’s growth trajectory remains a key driver of shareholder value.
What did this article say?
Imperial Oil’s recent performance has driven a significant share price climb, prompting analysts to evaluate whether the company’s cash generation can sustain the valuation. Over the past five years, the stock has returned nearly 400%, raising questions about whether this growth is supported by durable cash flows or merely market sentiment. Recent reports indicate the company more than doubled net income while managing refinery turnaround work, suggesting its integrated upstream, refining, and chemicals operations can enhance future cash flow. A discounted‑cash‑flow analysis projects substantial shareholder returns, implying the current price may still be justified. The analysis concludes that Imperial Oil’s cash flow strength positions it as a potentially undervalued investment relative to its peers.
What did this article say?
Imperial Oil (IMO) has delivered a 24.85% annualized return over the past five years, outperforming the broader market. The company’s market capitalization stands at $63.01 billion. No new guidance, contracts, or catalysts are disclosed in the article, so the information reflects historical performance rather than forward‑looking momentum.
What did this article say?
UBS has increased its price target for Imperial Oil (IMO) to CA$205 from CA$195 while keeping a buy rating, reflecting confidence in the company’s near‑term prospects. The upgrade comes amid a broader positive market sentiment for the Canadian oil sector and improved earnings guidance from IMO. Analysts cite stronger upstream production numbers and a favorable commodity price outlook as key drivers. The move suggests that investors may see a material upside in IMO’s valuation if the company continues to deliver on its operational targets.
What did this article say?
Imperial Oil is riding a robust uptrend while its earnings trajectory accelerates, signaling a positive momentum build. The company has met Minervini’s Trend Template criteria, indicating a potentially strong technical foundation. Analysts note that the firm is awaiting a clearer entry point, suggesting a cautious yet optimistic outlook. This combination of technical strength and improving fundamentals points to a favorable short‑term bias for the stock.
What did this article say?
Imperial Oil (IMO) has delivered a 38.01% annualized return over the past five years, outperforming the broader market by 26.68%. The company’s market cap stands at $63.90 billion. While the data highlights strong historical performance, it does not signal an imminent change in guidance or strategy.
What did this article say?
Imperial Oil’s Q2 2026 earnings call revealed solid profitability, with operating earnings per share surpassing expectations. The company cited robust downstream margins and higher upstream price realizations as key drivers. Management emphasized continued focus on refining capacity and product sales volumes, while noting the importance of maintaining cost discipline.
End of results

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

18
BEARISH
Technical indicators reflect the latest computed signal mix for this timeframe.
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Congressional Trading Activity
2 disclosed trades · ~$16.0K est. traded value · 1 buys, 1 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
Valerie HoyleHouseOR04▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-09-232025-10-10
Valerie HoyleHouseOR04▲ Buy$1K - $15K2024-10-292025-09-12