DailyIQ
Last updated3 minutes ago

OVV·Ovintiv Inc. (DE)

$61.50
+0.55 (+0.90%)
Overnight$61.13-0.37 (-0.60%)
High
$61.89
Open
$60.48
Market Cap
16.98B
52W High
$67.51
Low
$60.13
P. Close
$61.50
P/E
18.46
52W Low
$35.01
Fwd P/E
8.23
DailyIQ Est.
$80.16
Inst. Ownership
0.6%
Short Interest
4.07%
Days to Cover
3.3
Technical Score (1D)
41
BEARISH
News Sentiment
77
BULLISH
On Oct 4, a news piece reported that rising energy prices were boosting Ovintiv’s upstream exposure, with the company generating approximately US$6.0 billion from U.S. operations and US$3.6 billion from Canadian operations. The article noted that Ovintiv’s focus on large shale plays such as the Permian, Anadarko, and Montney positioned it to benefit from commodity price swings. It highlighted that retail investors were increasingly interested in Ovintiv amid broader sector momentum. The piece suggested a favorable outlook for the company given the current market dynamics. No other developments were reported for that date.
LOW TARGET
$55 -10.5%
1 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$77 +24.8%
16 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$92 +49.6%
14 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$55.00 - $92.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
8/16/5/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$80.16 (+30.4%)
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
11,175 shares
$773K
Givens Gregory DeanEVP & COO
Award/Grant397 shares2026-09-29
McCracken Brendan MichaelPresident & CEO
Award/Grant1,143 shares2026-09-29
Code Corey DouglasEVP & CFO
Award/Grant14 shares2026-09-29
Code Corey DouglasEVP & CFO
Award/Grant345 shares2026-09-29
Moore Rachel MaureenEVP, Corporate Services
Award/Grant187 shares2026-09-29
74/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✕Revenue declining year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
14.3%
Revenue CAGR
10.5%
Current Ratio
0.54x
Debt / Equity
0.46x
Return on Equity
11.1%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.83$1.11$1.39$1.66$1.94Q3'25Q4'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'25$1.82 - -
Q3'25$0.96$1.03+8.1%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.0B$2.1B$2.2B$2.3B$2.4BQ3'25Q4'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'25$2.4B - -
Q3'25 - $2.1B -

Market Data

OVV Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL41/100
$61.13−$0.37 (0.6%)
Market cap
16.98B
P/E ratio
18.5
Day range
$60.13 – $61.89
News sentiment
77/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$76.71 (+25.5%)
Consensus
Buy · 31 analysts
52-week range+74.6% off low · -9.5% from high
$35.01$67.51
Price $61.13 DailyIQ Est. $80.16

The setup on Ovintiv Inc. (DE) is patient: consolidation, not accumulation or distribution. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into OVV?

CHEAP

At today's price, Ovintiv Inc. (DE) needs to grow free cash flow about 0.1% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 9.24% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 35.3% a year, so the market is asking for 35.2 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis OVV looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
0.1%
Historical FCF CAGR
35.3%
Growth gap
-35.2 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
9.24%
Beta
0.96

Behaviour On Record

What OVV's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
41.4% 43rd pct
Below its peak
-50.3%
vs 200-day average
+11.4%
Up days (1y)
57%

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) is currently running 41.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against OVV's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 43rd percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 44.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

OVV is trading -50.3% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -41.9%, and the deepest was -90.2% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +11.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 69th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year OVV closed higher on 57% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, OVV finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.8% and an average of -0.7%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +12.2% on average, its weakest December at -4.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: OVV has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 443 of 3,266 sessions (13.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +15.5% and -57.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,267 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against OVV's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of OVV's sector?

Ovintiv Inc. (DE) sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 5th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#5 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
82

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for OVV?

CallsPuts

For Ovintiv Inc. (DE)'s nearest expiry (2027-03-19, 163 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.00), with at-the-money implied volatility around 0.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±0.5% move by that expiry — a range of about $59.35–$59.97.

Put/call ratio (2027-03-19)
0.00
ATM implied volatility
0.8%
Total open interest
15
Expected move by 2027-03-19
±0.5% ($59.35–$59.97)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on OVV?

Scotiabank most recently reiterated its rating on Ovintiv Inc. (DE) to Sector Outperform on Oct 2, 2026 with a price target of $75 (from $70). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Scotiabank — Sector Outperform
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 2, 2026ScotiabankMaintainedSector Outperform$70 → $75
Sep 3, 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatedNeutral-
Sep 2, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$78 → $79
Aug 13, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$80 → $78
Jul 28, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$71 → $74
Jul 27, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$70 → $85
Jul 27, 2026Truist SecuritiesReiteratedBuy$66 → $73
Jul 17, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$70 → $66
Jul 17, 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainedEqual-Weight$71 → $68
Jul 13, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$70 → $66
Jun 29, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$68 → $65
Jun 24, 2026Roth CapitalMaintainedNeutral$50 → $55

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

77/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
The article highlights that rising energy prices are benefiting Ovintiv (OVV), a North American oil and gas producer focused on large shale plays such as the Permian, Anadarko, and Montney. It notes that Ovintiv’s upstream operations generate approximately US$6.0 billion from U.S. operations and US$3.6 billion from Canadian operations, positioning the company to capitalize on commodity price swings. The piece underscores that the broader energy sector’s positive exposure is attracting retail investors, suggesting a favorable outlook for Ovintiv amid current market dynamics.
What did this article say?
Scotiabank analyst Kevin Fisk retained Ovintiv (OVV) as a Sector Outperform and increased the price target from $70 to $75. The upgrade signals confidence in the company’s operational performance and growth prospects. The higher target reflects expectations of improved earnings and a favorable market outlook for the oil and gas sector.
What did this article say?
Ovintiv (OVV) received TSX approval to renew its normal course issuer bid, allowing the company to repurchase up to 26.97 million shares over the next 12 months. The renewal also extends the automatic share purchase plan, giving the broker authority to buy shares during periods normally restricted by regulations. In the prior year, Ovintiv had already repurchased and cancelled 13.93 million shares under the expiring bid. The move signals continued confidence in the company’s valuation and provides a mechanism to return capital to shareholders.
What did this article say?
Ovintiv on October 1 announced the renewal of its annual share buy‑back program, indicating the company’s intent to return capital to shareholders. The move reflects confidence in the firm’s cash flow and a commitment to supporting the share price. No additional financial guidance or operational updates were disclosed.
What did this article say?
Ovintiv Inc. announced that it had secured regulatory approval to renew its share buy‑back program, allowing the company to repurchase up to 26.97 million shares through October 4, 2027. The renewal aligns with the firm’s capital allocation strategy and signals confidence in its cash flow generation. By extending the buyback, Ovintiv aims to enhance shareholder value and support its stock price. The move is viewed as a positive development for investors, reflecting the company’s commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
What did this article say?
OVV was highlighted as a strong free‑cash‑flow performer in a list of energy stocks positioned to benefit from elevated oil prices and tightening monetary policy. The company’s upstream portfolio is closely tied to crude and gas price movements, giving it a favorable exposure to the current market backdrop. Analysts noted that the combination of high Treasury yields and robust commodity prices could create a win‑win scenario for firms like OVV that maintain solid cash‑flow generation. The article positioned OVV as a potential upside play within the broader energy sector, though it did not indicate any immediate catalyst beyond the existing market conditions.
What did this article say?
Ovintiv (OVV) is featured in a U.S. energy screener that focuses on companies whose cash flow is tied to oil prices. The article outlines Ovintiv’s production mix, noting its large shale operations in the U.S. and Canada, and highlights how higher oil prices could benefit the company’s revenue. It also discusses the broader market context of rising rates and inflation, suggesting that commodity‑sensitive producers like Ovintiv may see increased volatility. No immediate earnings guidance or material events are disclosed, so the piece serves mainly as a thematic overview rather than a catalyst announcement.
What did this article say?
Ovintiv Inc (OVV) has declared a $0.30 per share dividend, payable on September 29, 2026, with an ex‑dividend date of September 15. The payout reflects the company’s ongoing dividend policy and aligns with its historical dividend trajectory. While the amount is modest and unlikely to shift the firm’s valuation materially, it provides a predictable income stream for investors. The announcement underscores OVV’s focus on shareholder returns amid a volatile energy market.
What did this article say?
Stifel Nicolaus has begun coverage of Ovintiv (OVV) with a buy recommendation and a $92 price target, signaling confidence in the company’s near‑term prospects. The firm’s rating reflects expectations of improved earnings and a favorable commodity outlook. The new target represents a significant upside from the current market price, suggesting potential upside for investors. This coverage may influence short‑term trading activity as analysts’ views are disseminated.
What did this article say?
Seaport Global has begun coverage of Ovintiv (OVV), assigning a neutral rating and a target price that aligns with the current market level. The firm cites the company’s stable cash flow and modest dividend policy as reasons for the neutral stance, noting that recent operational metrics remain within expected ranges. No significant catalysts or risks were highlighted, and the outlook does not suggest an immediate upside or downside move.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

41
NEUTRAL
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
1 tracked managers · $93.57M combined position · 0 adding, 0 trimming, 1 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Citadel Advisors LLC• Hold1,777,1180.64%$93.57M2026-09-02
Q2 2026 flow:1.78M sh bought ($93.57M)0 sh sold ($0)net +1.78M sh (+$93.57M)