MTZ|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $2.96 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $2.23 | $2.22 | -0.6% |
| Q4'24 | $1.22 | $1.44 | +18.0% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $5.0B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $4.3B | $4.4B | +0.6% |
| Q4'24 | - | $3.4B | - |
MTZ|Monthly Returns
Market Data
MTZ Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 17.22B
- P/E ratio
- 34.8
- Day range
- $213.53 – $223.52
- News sentiment
- 63/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $416.95 (+86.9%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 28 analysts
The trend on MTZ is bearish, and the indicator set is confirming it rather than diverging. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into MTZ?
At today's price, MasTec, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 44.5% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.13% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 11.1% a year, so the market is asking for 33.4 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis MTZ looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 44.5%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 11.1%
- Growth gap
- +33.4 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 10.13%
- Beta
- 1.25
Behaviour On Record
What MTZ's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 48.6% 76th pct
- Below its peak
- -50.6%
- vs 200-day average
- -28.5%
- Up days (1y)
- 54%
MasTec, Inc. is currently running 48.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MTZ's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 76th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 36.9%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
MTZ is trading -50.6% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -32.3%, and the deepest was -62.9% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -28.5% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 5th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year MTZ closed higher on 54% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.
On September specifically: over 13 years of records, MTZ finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.9% and an average of -0.8%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +8.0% on average, its weakest July at -2.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: MTZ has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 287 of 3,267 sessions (8.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.6% and -18.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-23 and 2026-09-21, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MTZ's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of MTZ's sector?
MasTec, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 9th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).
- Sector rank
- #9 of 11
- Sector state
- Lagging
- Sector rotation score
- 50
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on MTZ?
Piper Sandler most recently initiated coverage on MasTec, Inc. to Overweight on Sep 9, 2026 with a price target of $321. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Piper Sandler — Overweight
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
MTZ Competitive Positioning
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