MTZ|Analyst Targets
MTZ|Company Info
MTZ|Insider Trading
MTZ|Fundamentals
MTZ|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $2.66 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $2.98 | $2.96 | -0.7% |
| Q2'26 | $2.23 | $2.22 | -0.6% |
| Q4'24 | $1.22 | $1.44 | +18.0% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $5.0B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $5.0B | $5.2B | +3.3% |
| Q2'26 | $4.3B | $4.4B | +0.6% |
| Q4'24 | - | $3.4B | - |
MTZ|Monthly Returns
Market Data
MTZ Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 12.76B
- P/E ratio
- 25.8
- Day range
- $158.91 – $172.80
- News sentiment
- 54/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $318.38 (+84.4%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 29 analysts
MasTec, Inc. is consolidating: price is near its 52-week low without a decisive push either way. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into MTZ?
At today's price, MasTec, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 18.0% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 9.02% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 15.1% a year, so the market is asking for 2.9 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis MTZ looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.
- Implied FCF growth
- 18.0%
- Growth trend
- 15.1%
- Growth gap
- +2.9 pts
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 9.02%
- Beta
- 1.26
Behaviour On Record
What MTZ's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 75.4% 97th pct
- Below its peak
- -62.1%
- vs 200-day average
- -44.6%
- Up days (1y)
- 53%
MasTec, Inc. is currently running 75.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MTZ's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 97th percentile — an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 37.4%.
MTZ is trading -62.1% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -33.5%, and the deepest was -62.9% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -44.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 1st percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year MTZ closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, MTZ finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +6.1% and an average of +8.0%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +8.0% on average, its weakest July at -2.8%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: MTZ has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 288 of 3,267 sessions (8.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.6% and -18.6%.
All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MTZ's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of MTZ's sector?
MasTec, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).
- Sector rank
- #8 of 12
- Sector state
- Weakening
- Sector rotation score
- 27
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect MTZ to earn?
Analysts expect MasTec, Inc. to earn $9.13 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $15.98 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 3 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on MTZ?
Roth Capital most recently reiterated its rating on MasTec, Inc. to Buy on Nov 2, 2026 with a price target of $380 (from $500). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Roth Capital: Buy
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Earnings Release, Scored
What did MasTec, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
Backlog of $24.5 billion was ~46% higher year-over-year.
New this quarter - 2
We’re seeing this demand set play out, with Pipeline Infrastructure backlog growing ~26% sequentially in the quarter.”
New this quarter - 3
Mr. Mas continued, “In Communications, as discussed in our second quarter earnings call, we saw certain customers defer spending in the second half of 2026, impacting our full-year revenue expectations.
New this quarterNegative tone
Peers & ETF holders
MTZ peers & ETF holders
Engineering & ConstructionMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about MTZ?
MTZ fell 24.2% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 52 and 92 from Oct 6 to Oct 13, then dropped to 40 on Oct 15.
- Oct 30 +8.2%same day: MasTec, Inc. Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary
- Nov 4 -16.2%
- Nov 6 +8.6%
Technical analysis
How strong is MTZ's momentum right now?
On the daily chart MTZ ranks at the 53rd percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a neutral reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling MTZ?
109 of the 202 tracked managers added to MTZ in their latest 13F and 89 trimmed. Together they own 56.8% of the company, worth $17.0B. BlackRock and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 14.1%.
- 1BlackRock, Inc.10.27%$3.2B positionAdded 4.5% last quarter
- $1.2B positionAdded 1.0% last quarter
- $1.2B positionAdded 1.5% last quarter
- 4State Street Corp3.02%$934.0M positionAdded 20.1% last quarter
- 5Lone Pine Capital LLC1.81%$559.7M positionTrimmed 12.1% last quarter
- 6Bank of America Corp1.80%$555.8M positionAdded 0.4% last quarter
- 7First Trust Advisors LP1.79%$552.7M positionTrimmed 5.9% last quarter
- 8JPMorgan Chase & Co1.77%$566.8M positionAdded 552.5% last quarter
- $530.4M positionTrimmed 6.8% last quarter
- 10Invesco Ltd.1.67%$516.5M positionAdded 1.3% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading MTZ?
2 members of Congress disclosed 5 MTZ trades between Jun 11, 2025 and Aug 21, 2026: 3 buys and 2 sells, about $40.0K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has MTZ done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, MTZ returned −60.2%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, all did better, led by CTAS at +32.2%.
- 1CTASCintas Corporationup 32.2%+92.3 pts
- 2MMM3M Companyup 27.0%+87.2 pts
- 3DEDeere & Companyup 14.2%+74.3 pts
- 4CNICanadian National Railway Companyup 11.3%+71.4 pts
- 5EMREmerson Electric Co.up 10.0%+70.1 pts
- 6CSXCSX Corporationup 9.7%+69.9 pts
- 7UNPUnion Pacific Corporationup 9.0%+69.1 pts
- 8UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc.up 8.8%+68.9 pts
- 16MTZThis stockdown 60.2%