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MTZ·MasTec, Inc.

$227.70
-12.71 (-5.29%)
Pre-Market
High
$227.25
Open
$227.25
Market Cap
18.31B
52W High
$448.47
Low
$227.25
P. Close
$227.70
P/E
37.03
52W Low
$182.34
Fwd P/E
18.14
DailyIQ Est.
$440.24
Inst. Ownership
33.0%
Short Interest
6.59%
Days to Cover
3.6
Technical Score (1D)
23
SELL
News Sentiment
55
BULLISH
MTZ’s share price has surged 22.7 % over the past year, a performance that stands in stark contrast to the utilities sector’s 75.6 % decline and the weaker gains of peers such as MYRG, EMCOR, and Dycom. The rally is driven by a robust backlog of infrastructure projects that continues to generate demand for MTZ’s services, giving the company a competitive edge in a contracting market. However, analysts caution that sustaining this momentum will hinge on the company’s ability to maintain project pipeline strength and avoid cost overruns. For the next 1–10 trading days, traders should monitor MTZ’s upcoming earnings release for any signs of earnings pressure or changes in project volume. A tightening of project pipeline or a spike in construction costs could temper the current upside. Additionally, any shift in regulatory policy affecting utility infrastructure could alter demand dynamics. Watch for the company’s guidance on new contracts and any commentary on cost management. Finally, keep an eye on broader market sentiment toward utilities, as a broader sell‑off could weigh on even resilient names like MTZ.
Earnings Summary
MasTec, Inc. is a prominent infrastructure construction firm that designs, builds, and maintains critical networks across North America, operating through Communications, Clean Energy and Infrastructure, Power Delivery, Pipeline Infrastructure, and Other segments. As a key player in the engineering and construction industry, MasTec serves telecommunications providers, energy companies, and government entities, delivering end‑to‑end solutions that support the evolving infrastructure needs of the United States and Canada. In Q4 2024 the company reported EPS of $1.44 versus an estimate of $1.22 and revenue of $3.40 billion, while Q2 2026 EPS of $2.22 versus an estimate of $2.23 and revenue of $4.37 billion versus an estimate of $4.35 billion demonstrated a continued upward trend in earnings and revenue, with the company beating estimates in both quarters. Historically, MasTec has maintained a consistent pattern of revenue growth and EPS near or slightly below analyst expectations, with a YoY revenue increase from $3.40 billion in Q4 2024 to $4.37 billion in Q2 2026, reflecting a 28 % growth over the two‑year span. Recent news indicates that MasTec’s nine mega‑projects totaling $16 billion are driving higher operating margins, with the Civil segment reporting a 15.3 % margin and Specialty Contractors’ margin rising from 0.3 % to 2.2 %, and the company’s backlog approaching $19.9 billion, providing clearer revenue and earnings visibility. Investors should watch for the next earnings release to assess how the high‑margin projects translate into sustained earnings growth, monitor any changes in project pipeline strength or cost overruns, and observe guidance updates that may reflect macro‑economic or regulatory shifts affecting infrastructure demand.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.96$1.52$2.09$2.66$3.22Q4'24Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.96 - -
Q2'26$2.23$2.22-0.6%
Q4'24$1.22$1.44+18.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.2B$3.7B$4.2B$4.7B$5.2BQ4'24Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$5.0B - -
Q2'26$4.3B$4.4B+0.6%
Q4'24 - $3.4B -

Market Data

MTZ Stock Snapshot

SELL23/100
$227.25$3.65 (1.6%)
Market cap
18.31B
P/E ratio
37.0
Day range
$227.25 – $227.25
News sentiment
55/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$416.95 (+83.5%)
Consensus
Buy · 28 analysts
52-week range+24.6% off low · -49.3% from high
$182.34$448.47
Price $227.25 DailyIQ Est. $440.24

The trend on MTZ is bearish, and the indicator set is confirming it rather than diverging. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into MTZ?

RICH

At today's price, MasTec, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 47.2% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.32% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 11.1% a year, so the market is asking for 36.1 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis MTZ looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
47.2%
Historical FCF CAGR
11.1%
Growth gap
+36.1 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
10.32%
Beta
1.26

Behaviour On Record

What MTZ's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
49.7% 77th pct
Below its peak
-48.4%
vs 200-day average
-25.3%
Up days (1y)
54%

MasTec, Inc. is currently running 49.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MTZ's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 77th percentile elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 36.9%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

MTZ is trading -48.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -32.3%, and the deepest was -62.9% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -25.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 7th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year MTZ closed higher on 54% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, MTZ finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.9% and an average of -0.3%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +8.0% on average, its weakest July at -2.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: MTZ has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 286 of 3,267 sessions (8.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.6% and -18.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MTZ's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of MTZ's sector?

MasTec, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 11th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#11 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
10

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for MTZ?

CallsPuts

For MasTec, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 3 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 3.00), with at-the-money implied volatility around 12.5%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±1.1% move by that expiry — a range of about $239.90–$245.40.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
3.00
ATM implied volatility
12.5%
Total open interest
4
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±1.1% ($239.90–$245.40)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on MTZ?

Piper Sandler most recently initiated coverage on MasTec, Inc. to Overweight on Sep 9, 2026 with a price target of $321. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Piper SandlerOverweight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 9, 2026Piper SandlerInitiatedOverweight$321
Aug 12, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedBuy$508 → $409
Aug 4, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$453 → $410
Aug 4, 2026MizuhoMaintainedOutperform$502 → $457
Aug 3, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$483 → $408
Aug 3, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$470 → $420
Aug 3, 2026Truist SecuritiesReiteratedBuy$550 → $428
Aug 3, 2026KeybancMaintainedOverweight$500 → $371
Aug 3, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$475 → $363
Jul 22, 2026GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$480 → $518
Jul 13, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$445 → $470
Jul 9, 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainedOverweight$545 → $581

MTZ Competitive Positioning

MasTec, Inc. (MTZ) is tracked alongside these names in Engineering & Construction on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.