NTNX·Nutanix Inc. Class A

Realized volatility (21d)

27.6% 4th pct

Below its peak

-11.8%

vs 200-day average

+44.9%

Up days (1y)

52%

Nutanix Inc. Class A is currently running 27.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against NTNX's own 10 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 4th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 46.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

NTNX is trading -11.8% below its running peak. Across 9 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -43.9%, and the deepest was -66.4% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +44.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 91st percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year NTNX closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 7 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 10 years of records, NTNX finished the month higher 6 of 10 times, with a median return of +4.6% and an average of +1.6%. Its strongest month historically has been August at +14.5% on average, its weakest March at -6.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: NTNX has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 291 of 2,516 sessions (11.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +18.2% and -8.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 2,517 daily closes between 2016-09-30 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against NTNX's own 10-year history, not a peer group or index.