DailyIQ
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DailyIQ
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Last updated3 minutes ago

PAYP·PayPay Corporation

$14.54
-0.22 (-1.51%)
Overnight$14.32-0.22 (-1.51%)
High
$14.32
Open
$0.00
Market Cap
9.84B
52W High
$27.50
Low
$14.32
P. Close
$14.54
P/E
12.68
52W Low
$12.07
Fwd P/E
19.59
DailyIQ Est.
$25.56
Inst. Own.
1.5%
Short Interest
0.45%
Days to Cover
5.6
Technical Score (1D)
50
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
72
BULLISH
On Nov 4, PayPay Corp announced a second upgrade to its FY2026 guidance after reporting a 28 % year‑on‑year rise in H1 revenue to JPY227.9 bn and a 57 % jump in adjusted EBITDA to JPY79.5 bn. The company also lifted its Q3 revenue outlook and highlighted a 41 % increase in financial services revenue driven by higher deposits, loans and interest rates. In a separate report on the same day, PayPay said that its Q2 revenue and earnings grew, supported by higher‑margin online payment activity and expanding credit balances, and that the company had broadly revised its full‑year outlook upward. Both sources noted that the revisions reflected robust payment and financial services performance, positioning PayPay for continued growth.
LOW TARGET
$17 +16.6%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$24 +65.3%
8 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$32 +118.1%
10 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$16.95 - $31.71
SB / B / H / S / SS
5/10/3/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$25.56 (+75.8%)
100/ 100
Strong bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Analyst target above current price
View full financials →

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$19.27$22.97$26.68$30.38$34.09Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$32.38 - -
Q2'26$31.02$25.42-18.1%
Q1'26$23.33$20.98-10.1%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$617M$660M$703M$747M$790MQ1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$770M - -
Q2'26$637M$746M+17.0%
Q1'26 - $647M -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

PAYP Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL50/100
$14.32−$0.22 (1.5%)
Market cap
9.84B
P/E ratio
12.7
Day range
$14.32 – $14.32
News sentiment
72/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$24.03 (+67.8%)
Consensus
Buy · 20 analysts
52-week range+18.6% off low · -47.9% from high
$12.07$27.50
Price $14.32 DailyIQ Est. $25.56

The technical read on PAYP is balanced, which usually means the market is waiting on a catalyst. Position sizing matters more than usual in a name this size, where volatility is structural.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of PAYP's sector?

PayPay Corporation sits in the Software sector, currently ranked 11th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging). Within its narrower Software industry group, PAYP ranks 13th of 15 tracked industries, lagging.

Sector rank
#11 of 12
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
9
Industry rank
#13 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for PAYP?

CallsPuts

For PayPay Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-11-20, 14 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 2.06), with at-the-money implied volatility around 72.1%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±22.0% move by that expiry — a range of about $11.72–$18.32.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-20)
2.06
ATM implied volatility
72.1%
Total open interest
147
Expected move by 2026-11-20
±22.0% ($11.72–$18.32)

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect PAYP to earn?

Analysts expect PayPay Corporation to earn $0.80 per share in the fiscal year ending Mar 2027 and $1.31 in the fiscal year ending Mar 2029, from 3 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Mar 2027$0.80$0.74 to $0.883--
Mar 2028$1.04$1.00 to $1.113--
Mar 2029$1.31$1.26 to $1.373--

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on PAYP?

Wolfe Research most recently reiterated its rating on PayPay Corporation to Outperform on Aug 25, 2026 with a price target of $21 (from $18). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Wolfe Research: Outperform
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 25, 2026Wolfe ResearchMaintainedOutperform$18 → $21
Aug 4, 2026MizuhoMaintainedOutperform$26 → $23
Aug 3, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$23 → $18
Jul 23, 2026Morgan StanleyUpgradeEqual-Weight → Overweight$24 → $23
Apr 7, 2026Goldman SachsInitiatedBuy$29
Apr 6, 2026Deutsche BankInitiatedHold$20
Apr 6, 2026CitigroupInitiatedNeutral$23
Apr 6, 2026JefferiesInitiatedBuy$28
Apr 6, 2026BenchmarkInitiatedBuy$31
Apr 6, 2026B of A SecuritiesInitiatedBuy$26
Apr 6, 2026Morgan StanleyInitiatedEqual-Weight$24
Apr 6, 2026MizuhoInitiatedOutperform$26

Corporate Stakes

Which companies own a stake in PAYP?

0.45%held by GOOGL

Alphabet Inc. reports a stake in PayPay Corporation on SEC Form 13F: 3.1M shares, about 0.45% of the company, worth $44.8M at the end of Q2 2026. At today's price that stake is worth $44.8M, about 0.00% of GOOGL's own market value.

Holder
GOOGL
Shares held
3.1M
Stake
0.45%
Value
$44.8M
HolderLast quarterShares% of PAYPValue at filingValue nowChange
Alphabet Inc. GOOGLUnchanged3.1M0.45%$44.8M$44.8M-0.1%

Form 13F lists US-listed shares held at quarter-end and is filed up to 45 days later. Stakes in private companies are not on it. Value now and Change put those same shares, adjusted for any stock split, at today's price against their reported quarter-end value, so they do not reflect buying or selling since.

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about PAYP?

PAYP fell 5.5% over the month to Nov 5. Daily news tone ranged from 61 to 90 and read 76 on Nov 5.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 5 to Nov 5
$15$16Oct 5Oct 6Oct 7Oct 8Oct 9Oct 12Oct 13Oct 14Oct 15Oct 16Oct 19Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 26Oct 27Oct 28Oct 29Oct 30Nov 2Nov 3: tone 61Nov 4: tone 90Nov 5: tone 76Oct 5News toneNov 5123
  1. Oct 16 +5.6%
  2. Nov 4 +8.5%same day: What PayPay (PAYP) Said on Its Q2 Earnings Call
  3. Nov 5 -8.9%same day: PayPay Corp (PAYP) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Raised Guidance and Surging Financial ...
Latest stories naming PayPay

Technical analysis

How strong is PAYP's momentum right now?

On the daily chart PAYP ranks at the 50th percentile for momentum against the stocks and ETFs DailyIQ tracks, a neutral reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling PAYP?

11 of the 17 tracked managers added to PAYP in their latest 13F and 6 trimmed. Together they own 1.1% of the company, worth $107.5M. Holocene Advisors and WCM Investment Management alone hold 0.5%.

11adding6trimming
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of PAYP
  1. 1Holocene Advisors, LP0.28%
    $27.2M positionAdded 6.4% last quarter
  2. 2WCM Investment Management, LLC0.22%
    $22.3M positionAdded 30.3% last quarter
  3. 3Schroder Investment Management Group0.22%
    $21.8M positionAdded 199.2% last quarter
  4. 4Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group, Inc.0.12%
    $12.6M positionTrimmed 4.1% last quarter
  5. 5UBS Group AG0.10%
    $10.3M positionTrimmed 72.6% last quarter
  6. 6ARK Investment Management LLC0.04%
    $3.5M positionTrimmed 8.5% last quarter
  7. 7Mackenzie Financial Corp0.03%
    $3.7M positionAdded 498.4% last quarter
  8. 8Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V.0.02%
    $2.4M positionAdded 55.0% last quarter
  9. 9Voya Investment Management LLC0.02%
    $2.1M positionTrimmed 38.8% last quarter
  10. 10Legal & General Group Plc<0.01%
    $908.2K positionNew position last quarter
Full holdings history

Discover more

How has PAYP done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 5, PAYP returned −30.9%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, all did better, led by MA at +31.8%.

Change since May 5, through Nov 5
−50%0%+50%+100%May 5JunJulAugSepOctNov 5MA +31.8%PAYP −30.9%