DailyIQ
Last updated2 minutes ago

WDAY·Workday, Inc.

$193.83
-5.43 (-2.72%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$195.00+1.17 (+0.60%)
High
$199.77
Open
$199.05
Market Cap
46.72B
52W High
$254.00
Low
$192.01
P. Close
$193.83
P/E
37.35
52W Low
$110.36
Fwd P/E
14.66
DailyIQ Est.
$216.96
Inst. Ownership
41.6%
Short Interest
7.11%
Days to Cover
3.7
Technical Score (1D)
68
BUY
News Sentiment
87
BULLISH
Workday’s share price surged after CNBC’s David Faber reported that the company is actively assembling a go‑private financing package, with equity being raised to back a potential transaction. The move signals a shift from last month’s cautious stance, suggesting that a credible deal path is now in place. If the financing closes, the company could be able to complete a buyout within the next few weeks, which would remove the current market volatility tied to the uncertainty of a sale. The influx of capital also indicates that the deal’s valuation is likely to be attractive to both shareholders and the private equity sponsors, potentially boosting investor confidence. For the next 1–10 trading days, the market will be watching for formal commitments from lenders and any official announcement of a definitive deal structure. A formal agreement would likely trigger a further rally as the market prices in the certainty of a transaction. Conversely, any delay or failure to secure financing could quickly reverse the gains and re‑introduce risk. Traders should monitor the company’s press releases and SEC filings for confirmation of the financing terms and the timeline for closing. Additionally, keep an eye on the broader market’s reaction to similar go‑private deals, as a shift in sentiment could amplify Workday’s price movement.
Earnings Summary
Workday, Inc. is a cloud‑based enterprise software provider that delivers financial management, human capital management, spend management, and analytics solutions to organizations across multiple industries, positioning it firmly within the technology software‑applications sector. In Q4 2024, the company reported earnings per share of $1.92 versus an estimate of $1.78, while revenue reached $2.211 billion, exceeding prior‑quarter growth and demonstrating a continued acceleration in top‑line performance. The company’s EPS beat estimates in the last two quarters, and revenue growth has been consistent, with Q4 2024 revenue up from the previous quarter and a clear upward trajectory when compared to the same period in the prior year. Historically, Workday has maintained a YoY revenue growth rate above 10%, with EPS frequently beating analyst expectations; the pattern of strong revenue gains coupled with occasional EPS misses has been a recurring theme, underscoring the company’s focus on expanding its customer base while managing cost structures. Recent news highlights the appointment of Sarah Kennedy‑Ellis as chief marketing officer, a move aimed at sharpening brand positioning amid the AI‑driven product wave, and the launch of a new automated integration from RemoFirst that syncs employee lifecycle events directly into Workday’s platform, potentially driving higher platform adoption and incremental revenue. Investors should watch for any uptick in sales pipeline activity or new customer commitments that could validate the marketing shift, as well as early signs of increased user activity from the RemoFirst integration, which may signal ecosystem growth and impact future guidance.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.69$1.88$2.07$2.27$2.46Q4'24Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$2.37 - -
Q4'24$1.78$1.92+8.1%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.2B$2.3B$2.4B$2.5B$2.6BQ4'24Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$2.6B - -
Q4'24 - $2.2B -

Market Data

WDAY Stock Snapshot

BUY68/100
$195.00+$1.17 (0.6%)
Market cap
46.72B
P/E ratio
37.4
Day range
$192.01 – $199.77
News sentiment
87/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$208.68 (+7.0%)
Consensus
Hold · 50 analysts
52-week range+76.7% off low · -23.2% from high
$110.36$254.00
Price $195.00 DailyIQ Est. $216.96

WDAY's technical picture is constructive, with trend and momentum pointing the same direction. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Technology tend to move together on rotation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into WDAY?

CHEAP

At today's price, Workday, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 2.1% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 9.03% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 60.1% a year, so the market is asking for 58.0 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis WDAY looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
2.1%
Historical FCF CAGR
60.1%
Growth gap
-58.0 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
9.03%
Beta
0.90

Behaviour On Record

What WDAY's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
48.9% 79th pct
Below its peak
-36.8%
vs 200-day average
+22.2%
Up days (1y)
47%

Workday, Inc. is currently running 48.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against WDAY's own 9 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 79th percentile elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 34.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

WDAY is trading -36.8% below its running peak. Across 8 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -30.2%, and the deepest was -49.7% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +22.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 84th percentile a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year WDAY closed higher on 47% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 9 years of records, WDAY finished the month higher 1 of 9 times, with a median return of -5.6% and an average of -5.5%. Its strongest month historically has been August at +12.1% on average, its weakest September at -5.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: WDAY has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 114 of 2,260 sessions (5.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.7% and -8.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 2,261 daily closes between 2017-09-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against WDAY's own 9-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of WDAY's sector?

Workday, Inc. sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 1st of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading). Within its narrower Software industry group, WDAY ranks 3rd of 15 tracked industries, leading.

Sector rank
#1 of 11
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
100
Industry rank
#3 of 15

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on WDAY?

Goldman Sachs most recently reiterated its rating on Workday, Inc. to Neutral on Aug 31, 2026 with a price target of $164 (from $151). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 3 downgrades, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
Goldman SachsNeutral
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
3
Net rating momentum
-3
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 31, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedNeutral$151 → $164
Aug 28, 2026Freedom BrokerDowngradeBuy → Hold$180 → $200
Aug 28, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$215 → $225
Aug 28, 2026StifelMaintainedHold$115 → $160
Aug 28, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$139 → $201
Aug 28, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$200 → $224
Aug 28, 2026TD CowenMaintainedHold$220 → $210
Aug 28, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$220 → $240
Aug 28, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedNeutral$135 → $190
Aug 28, 2026BernsteinMaintainedOutperform$216 → $238
Aug 28, 2026KeybancMaintainedOverweight$158 → $215
Aug 28, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedOutperform$182 → $230

WDAY Competitive Positioning

Workday, Inc. (WDAY) is tracked alongside these names in Software - Application on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.