WB·Weibo Corporation
WB|Analyst Targets
WB|Insider Trading
WB|Fundamentals
WB|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $0.23 | - | - |
| Q3'25 | $0.42 | $0.42 | +1.1% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $422M | - | - |
| Q3'25 | - | $442M | - |
WB|Monthly Returns
Market Data
WB Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 1.59B
- P/E ratio
- 4.9
- Day range
- $6.46 – $6.46
- News sentiment
- 26/100 · Bearish
- Analyst target
- $8.05 (+24.6%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 17 analysts
The trend on WB is bearish, and its momentum ranks in the lower part of DailyIQ's universe. Company-specific news dominates here; sector-level flows matter less than for larger names.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into WB?
At today's price, Weibo Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about -20.0% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 6.00% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at -5.3% a year, so the market is asking for 14.7 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis WB looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- -20.0% (capped)
- Growth trend
- -5.3%
- Growth gap
- -14.7 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 6.00%
- Beta
- 0.75
Behaviour On Record
What WB's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 22.7% 3rd pct
- Below its peak
- -95.4%
- vs 200-day average
- -20.0%
- Up days (1y)
- 41%
Weibo Corporation is currently running 22.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against WB's own 12 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 3rd percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 46.6%.
WB is trading -95.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -48.1%, and the deepest was -69.5% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -20.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 29th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year WB closed higher on 41% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.
On November specifically: over 12 years of records, WB finished the month higher 6 of 12 times, with a median return of +0.3% and an average of +1.2%. Its strongest month historically has been August at +5.0% on average, its weakest March at -4.6%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: WB has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 455 of 3,156 sessions (14.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.1% and -10.2%.
All figures computed from 3,157 daily closes between 2014-04-17 and 2026-11-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against WB's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of WB's sector?
Weibo Corporation sits in the Communication Services sector, currently ranked 10th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).
- Sector rank
- #10 of 12
- Sector state
- Improving
- Sector rotation score
- 36
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect WB to earn?
Analysts expect Weibo Corporation to earn $1.22 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $1.27 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2027, from 14 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on WB?
Citigroup most recently downgraded Weibo Corporation to Neutral on Aug 21, 2026 with a price target of $8 (from $9). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.
- Latest action
- Citigroup: Neutral
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 1
- Net rating momentum
- -1
Corporate Stakes
Which companies own a stake in WB?
Alibaba Group Holding Limited reports a stake in Weibo Corporation on SEC Form 13F: 9.0M shares, about 3.66% of the company, worth $65.3M at the end of Q2 2026. At today's price that stake is worth $58.1M, about 0.02% of BABA's own market value.
- Holder
- BABA
- Shares held
- 9.0M
- Stake
- 3.66%
- Value
- $65.3M
| Holder | Last quarter | Shares | % of WB | Value at filing | Value now | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alibaba Group Holding Limited BABA | 9.0M | 3.66% | $65.3M | $58.1M | -11.0% |
Form 13F lists US-listed shares held at quarter-end and is filed up to 45 days later. Stakes in private companies are not on it. Value now and Change put those same shares, adjusted for any stock split, at today's price against their reported quarter-end value, so they do not reflect buying or selling since.
ETF holders
ETFs holding WB
Top ETF holdersWeight
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about WB?
WB rose 0.5% over the month to Nov 5. Daily news tone ranged from 17 to 50 and read 34 on Oct 30.
- Oct 21 -3.4%
- Oct 23 -2.0%
- Nov 4 +3.0%
Technical analysis
How strong is WB's momentum right now?
On the daily chart WB ranks at the 8th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling WB?
17 of the 45 tracked managers added to WB in their latest 13F and 18 trimmed. Together they own 4.2% of the company, worth $73.9M. Fidelity International and Nomura Asset Management International alone hold 1.3%.
- $12.6M positionTrimmed 3.5% last quarter
- $11.0M positionTrimmed 2.8% last quarter
- 3UBS Group AG0.40%$7.1M positionAdded 33.2% last quarter
- $5.7M positionAdded 38.5% last quarter
- $5.0M positionTrimmed 4.5% last quarter
- 6SEI Investments Co0.27%$4.8M positionAdded 14.0% last quarter
- 7State Street Corp0.25%$4.4M positionTrimmed 32.4% last quarter
- 8First Trust Advisors LP0.17%$3.1M positionAdded 20.3% last quarter
- 9Linden Advisors LP0.16%$2.8M positionNew position last quarter
- 10Legal & General Group Plc0.15%$2.7M positionAdded 50.4% last quarter
Discover more
How has WB done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 5, WB returned −22.9%. Of the 7 related stocks, 5 did better, led by MTCH at +1.9%.
