DailyIQ
Last updatedjust now

AM·Antero Midstream Corporation

$20.87
-0.21 (-1.00%)
High
$21.18
Open
$21.12
Market Cap
10.02B
52W High
$23.87
Low
$20.84
P. Close
$20.87
P/E
25.06
52W Low
$16.73
Fwd P/E
13.08
DailyIQ Est.
$23.30
Inst. Ownership
30.6%
Short Interest
2.56%
Days to Cover
4.2
Div. Yield
4.32%
Next Ex-Div
~Oct 28
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Jul 29, 2026Guidance reaffirmed · tone -8.3 vs prior release · 56 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
50
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
53
MIXED
AM scores 50 on the 1D technical view with a NEUTRAL signal and mixed momentum. Price action is in a neutral range - the market is coiling, and neither side has been willing to push to a definitive break. Sentiment at 53 is diverging from the flat technical backdrop, removing sentiment as a directional catalyst for now. Consolidations like this are often a sign that the market is waiting for new information before committing capital in either direction. The range between $20.27 and $21.95 is well-defined. When this kind of compression resolves - particularly if it resolves with a gap or range-expansion bar - the follow-through tends to be more sustained than a typical breakout because of the energy that builds during the quiet phase. Coiled setups like this are as much about time as they are about price - the longer AM compresses between $20.27 and $21.95 without a catalyst, the more the eventual move tends to compensate. Watching for a volume spike on the actual break, rather than trying to anticipate direction from the shape of the range, has historically been the more reliable approach.
LOW TARGET
$22 +5.4%
5 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$24 +15.0%
11 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$26 +24.6%
2 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$22.00 - $26.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
1/1/9/4/3
DAILYIQ EST.
$23.30 (+11.6%)
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
21,000 shares
$459K
KEYTE DAVID H-
Award/Grant3,408 shares2026-10-10
KLIMLEY BROOKS J-
Award/Grant2,015 shares2026-10-10
Keenan W Howard JR-
Award/Grant2,015 shares2026-10-10
DEA PETER A-
Award/Grant2,015 shares2026-10-10
Chisholm Nancy-
Award/Grant2,015 shares2026-10-10
55/ 100
Neutral / mixed
Overall: Neutral
✓Revenue growing year over year
✕Negative net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
-10.3%
Revenue CAGR
98.3%
Current Ratio
3.41x
Debt / Equity
1.63x
Return on Equity
-6.2%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.26$0.29$0.32$0.35$0.38Q3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.36 - -
Q3'25$0.29$0.27-7.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$306M$320M$333M$346M$360MQ3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$354M - -
Q3'25 - $312M -

Market Data

AM Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL50/100
$20.87−$0.21 (1.0%)
Market cap
10.02B
P/E ratio
25.1
Day range
$20.84 – $21.18
News sentiment
53/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$24.00 (+15.0%)
Consensus
Hold · 18 analysts
52-week range+24.7% off low · -12.6% from high
$16.73$23.87
Price $20.87 DailyIQ Est. $23.30

Neither side has the upper hand on AM right now, and its momentum ranks near the middle of DailyIQ's universe. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into AM?

CHEAP

At today's price, Antero Midstream Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about -2.7% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.38% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 20.1% a year, so the market is asking for 22.8 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis AM looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
-2.7%
Historical FCF CAGR
20.1%
Growth gap
-22.8 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
7.38%
Beta
0.59

Behaviour On Record

What AM's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
22.9% 24th pct
Below its peak
-10.7%
vs 200-day average
-1.2%
Up days (1y)
52%

Antero Midstream Corporation is currently running 22.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against AM's own 9 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 24th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 28.5%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

AM is trading -10.7% below its running peak. Across 8 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -21.8%, and the deepest was -73.7% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -1.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 31st percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year AM closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 9 years of records, AM finished the month higher 3 of 9 times, with a median return of -5.5% and an average of -2.3%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +11.2% on average, its weakest March at -4.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: AM has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 163 of 2,373 sessions (6.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +17.0% and -10.3%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 2,374 daily closes between 2017-05-04 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against AM's own 9-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of AM's sector?

Antero Midstream Corporation sits in the Utilities sector, currently ranked 6th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#6 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
55

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for AM?

CallsPuts

For Antero Midstream Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 2 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.06), with at-the-money implied volatility around 46.1%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±2.9% move by that expiry — a range of about $20.32–$21.53.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.06
ATM implied volatility
46.1%
Total open interest
10,365
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±2.9% ($20.32–$21.53)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on AM?

UBS most recently reiterated its rating on Antero Midstream Corporation to Neutral on Sep 21, 2026 with a price target of $22 (from $24). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
UBS — Neutral
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 21, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$24 → $22
Aug 3, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$23 → $24
Mar 25, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$22 → $24
Mar 13, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$21 → $23
Feb 24, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedNeutral$18 → $23
Feb 13, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$20 → $21
Dec 23, 2025Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$19 → $20
Nov 12, 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainedUnderweight$19 → $20
Aug 18, 2025Goldman SachsMaintainedNeutral$16 → $18
Aug 6, 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainedUnderweight$17 → $19
Aug 1, 2025Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$17 → $19
Jun 3, 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainedUnderweight$16 → $17

Earnings Release, Scored

What did Antero Midstream Corporation's latest earnings release say?

Filed Jul 29, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Guidance reaffirmed
Tone57.5/ 100-8.3 vs prior release
Hedging words0.50per 100 words+0.28 vs prior release
Tone, last 2 releasesScale 50–71

Most important lines

  1. 1

    Michael Kennedy, CEO and President of Antero Midstream said, “During the quarter, Antero Midstream gathered over 4.1 Bcf/d of production, which was a 19% increase year-over-year and a new company record.

    New this quarter
  2. 2

    Mr. Agnew further added, “In July, Antero Midstream received approximately $371 million of proceeds from Veolia, which allowed us to reduce absolute debt and be below our 3-times leverage target ahead of expectations.

    New this quarter
  3. 3

    Gathering and compression volumes increased by 19% and 17%, respectively, compared to the prior year quarter.

    New this quarter

ETF holders

ETFs holding AM

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

53/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MIXED

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10 articles
What did this article say?
On October 6, Antero Midstream Corporation (AM) experienced a sharp rise in implied volatility for its Jan. 15, 2027 $3.00 call option, reaching one of the highest levels among equity options that day. The spike indicates that market participants anticipate a significant price movement in AM shares, either upward or downward, possibly due to an upcoming event. Analysts noted that while the company holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), the consensus earnings estimate for the upcoming quarter has modestly increased from 29 to 30 cents per share over the past 60 days. The heightened volatility reflects market uncertainty rather than a clear directional bias.
What did this article say?
UBS has reduced its price target for Antero Midstream (AM) from $24 to $22 while keeping a neutral rating. The downgrade reflects a reassessment of the company’s valuation relative to peers. The move signals a modest headwind for AM’s share price, though the rating remains unchanged.
What did this article say?
UBS analyst Manav Gupta has lowered Antero Midstream’s (NYSE:AM) price target from $24 to $22 while maintaining a Neutral stance, indicating a modest negative view of the company’s near‑term prospects. The downgrade reflects concerns over the company’s earnings outlook and competitive pressures in the midstream sector.
What did this article say?
Antero Midstream (AM) is positioned for a potential breakout after a period of tight consolidation, with a target entry level near $23.20 and a stop at $21.68. Technical indicators suggest a 7/9 setup score, indicating moderate confidence in a short‑term rally. The move could signal renewed buying interest if the price clears the breakout point, but the narrow range also implies a risk of a quick reversal.
What did this article say?
Antero Midstream (AM) disclosed that it secured more than $300 million in cash from a long‑running court case, a one‑time influx that is expected to be directed toward reducing its debt load. The windfall improves AM’s balance sheet, lowering interest expense and enhancing liquidity for future capital expenditures or opportunistic acquisitions. The move is viewed as a material positive catalyst, strengthening the company’s financial flexibility and potentially supporting a higher valuation multiple.
What did this article say?
Antero Midstream’s Q2 2026 earnings fell 7.7% YoY to $0.24 per share, missing consensus by 11.1%, while revenue rose 7.1% to $327.24 million, beating estimates by 1.5%. Higher gathering and compression volumes drove top‑line growth, but elevated operating and interest expenses eroded profitability. The company’s processing and fractionation capacity remains fully utilized, suggesting continued throughput support. Investors are weighing the impact of rising costs against a solid revenue base as the next earnings cycle approaches.
What did this article say?
Antero Midstream (AM) posted record EBITDA, and the launch of Eastside Express is expected to enhance cash flow and expand its midstream footprint, positioning the company for stronger future earnings.
What did this article say?
Antero Midstream’s Q2 2026 earnings call revealed solid operating performance and reiterated guidance, underscoring continued pipeline expansion and asset acquisitions.
What did this article say?
AM reported Q2 earnings that fell short of analyst expectations due to higher operating costs, while revenue surpassed forecasts. The company cited increased spending on research and development and supply chain expenses as the primary cost drivers. Despite the earnings miss, the revenue growth suggests underlying demand remains robust. The market reaction reflects concerns over cost management and the sustainability of the earnings gap.
End of results

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

50
NEUTRAL
Momentum rank against about 1,000 stocks and ETFs for this timeframe.
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $3.15B combined position · 18 adding, 7 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
BlackRock, Inc.▲ Buy38,199,7837.95%$869.05M2026-08-07
Vanguard Group Inc▼ Sell36,075,9107.51%$641.79M2026-01-29
Invesco Ltd.▼ Sell20,746,9814.32%$471.99M2026-08-14
Geode Capital Management, LLC▲ Buy10,358,8672.16%$235.70M2026-08-12
Neuberger Berman Group LLC▲ Buy7,434,8481.55%$169.15M2026-08-13
Morgan Stanley▲ Buy6,702,2431.39%$152.48M2026-08-13
Northern Trust Corp▲ Buy3,742,3330.78%$85.14M2026-08-13
AllianceBernstein L.P.▼ Sell3,625,6970.75%$82.67M2026-08-14
Norges Bank▼ Sell3,413,5270.71%$77.66M2026-08-12
Gotham Asset Management, LLC▲ Buy2,644,3710.55%$60.16M2026-08-14
Blackstone Inc.▼ Sell2,612,8750.54%$59.44M2026-08-14
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▲ Buy2,446,9540.51%$55.67M2026-08-14
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▲ Buy1,875,0730.39%$42.66M2026-08-13
JPMorgan Chase & Co▲ Buy1,516,7390.32%$34.92M2026-08-12
Bank of America Corp▼ Sell927,0250.19%$21.09M2026-08-14
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.▲ Buy644,8900.13%$14.67M2026-08-14
Wellington Management Group LLP▲ Buy571,1560.12%$12.99M2026-08-14
AQR Capital Management LLC▲ Buy420,4530.09%$9.57M2026-08-14
Prudential Financial Inc▼ Sell401,0280.08%$9.12M2026-08-12
Artisan Partners Limited Partnership▲ New395,0080.08%$8.99M2026-08-13
Caxton Associates LLP▲ Buy394,9550.08%$8.99M2026-08-14
Wells Fargo & Company▲ Buy361,2400.08%$8.22M2026-08-14
Janus Henderson Group plc▲ Buy273,7720.06%$6.24M2026-05-18
Two Sigma Investments, LP▲ Buy192,8420.04%$4.39M2026-08-14
Bridgewater Associates, LP▲ Buy178,6640.04%$4.06M2026-08-14
Q2 2026 flow:5.31M sh bought ($120.71M)4.05M sh sold ($92.09M)net +1.26M sh (+$28.62M)