DailyIQ
DailyIQ
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BDC·Belden Inc.

$98.26
+2.01 (+2.09%)
High
$99.53
Open
$98.16
Market Cap
4.11B
52W High
$159.99
Low
$94.81
P. Close
$98.26
P/E
16.84
52W Low
$94.75
Fwd P/E
9.60
DailyIQ Est.
$154.60
Inst. Own.
37.8%
Short Interest
8.86%
Days to Cover
11.2
Div. Yield
0.21%
Next Ex-Div
~Dec 16
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Oct 29, 2026tone -3.6 vs prior release · 42 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
30
BEARISH
News Sentiment
59
BULLISH
On the 1D view, BDC is trending bearish with a score of 30 and declining momentum. The SELL signal is technically clear, and price is compressed. The nuance is sentiment: at 59, it's diverging from the price action, suggesting news flow hasn't caught up to the selling yet. That gap between technicals and sentiment doesn't invalidate the chart-based read, but it does add a wildcard. If sentiment eventually turns to confirm the weakness, the move likely has further to run. If sentiment holds and draws in buyers near $92.27, a base could form before a recovery toward $102.09. Position sizing should reflect the unresolved nature of this split. One tell worth tracking here is whether volume expands on tests of $92.27 or dries up instead - expansion suggests the technical read is starting to attract confirming sellers, while a fade suggests sentiment's steadier tone is the more accurate signal. Until that resolves, $102.09 remains the level that would invalidate the bearish case outright.
LOW TARGET
$140 +42.6%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$151 +54.0%
4 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$170 +73.2%
6 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$140.00 - $170.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
2/7/1/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$154.60 (+57.5%)
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
1,900 shares
$217K
Lieser BrianEVP - Chief Comm. Officer
Sell1,900 shares2026-09-15
Anderson Brian EdwardEVP - Chief Legal Officer
Gift1,310 shares2026-08-12
Anderson Brian EdwardEVP - Chief Legal Officer
Gift385 shares2026-08-07
BALK LANCE C-
Gift10,000 shares2026-08-03
75/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
38.0%
Net Margin
8.7%
Revenue CAGR
1.8%
Current Ratio
1.93x
Debt / Equity
1.02x
Return on Equity
18.8%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.86$1.99$2.11$2.24$2.36Q3'25Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$2.30 - -
Q3'26$2.28$2.26-0.8%
Q3'25$1.92$1.97+2.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$656M$748M$839M$931M$1.0BQ3'25Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$980M - -
Q3'26$971M$966M-0.6%
Q3'25 - $698M -

Market Data

BDC Stock Snapshot

BEARISH30/100
$98.26+$2.01 (2.1%)
Market cap
4.11B
P/E ratio
16.8
Day range
$94.81 – $99.53
News sentiment
59/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$151.20 (+53.9%)
Consensus
Buy · 12 analysts
52-week range+3.7% off low · -38.6% from high
$94.75$159.99
Price $98.26 DailyIQ Est. $154.60

Price action on BDC is defensive - rallies are being sold rather than extended. At this size, a single catalyst moves the stock further than it would a larger peer.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into BDC?

RICH

At today's price, Belden Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 7.9% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 8.87% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 1.8% a year, so the market is asking for 6.0 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis BDC looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
7.9%
Growth trend
1.8%
Growth gap
+6.0 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
8.87%
Beta
1.18

Behaviour On Record

What BDC's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
43.6% 77th pct
Below its peak
-30.3%
vs 200-day average
-11.0%
Up days (1y)
51%

Belden Inc. is currently running 43.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against BDC's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 77th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 31.9%.

BDC is trading -30.3% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -29.3%, and the deepest was -55.5% in 2018. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -11.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 21st percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year BDC closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On November specifically: over 13 years of records, BDC finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +3.4% and an average of +5.0%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.0% on average, its weakest March at -3.3%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: BDC has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 242 of 3,267 sessions (7.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +26.6% and -12.0%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against BDC's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of BDC's sector?

Belden Inc. sits in the Software sector, currently ranked 11th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#11 of 12
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
18

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for BDC?

CallsPuts

For Belden Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-11-20, 14 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.47), with at-the-money implied volatility around 63.4%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±11.7% move by that expiry — a range of about $87.14–$110.30.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-20)
0.47
ATM implied volatility
63.4%
Total open interest
416
Expected move by 2026-11-20
±11.7% ($87.14–$110.30)

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect BDC to earn?

Analysts expect Belden Inc. to earn $8.66 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $10.03 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2027, from 5 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$2.29$2.28 to $2.315$974M5
Mar 2027$2.05$1.82 to $2.155$929M5
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$8.66$8.65 to $8.685$3.39B5
Dec 2027$10.03$9.91 to $10.105$4.01B5

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on BDC?

Needham most recently initiated coverage on Belden Inc. to Buy on Sep 23, 2026 with a price target of $140. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Needham: Buy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 23, 2026NeedhamInitiatedBuy$140
Aug 19, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedBuy$155 → $170
Jul 31, 2026Truist SecuritiesReiteratedBuy$155 → $145
Jul 2, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$150 → $155
Jun 26, 2026CitigroupInitiatedBuy$150
Jun 16, 2026DA DavidsonInitiatedBuy$155
Feb 13, 2026BenchmarkMaintainedBuy$145 → $175
Dec 19, 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$149 → $150
Aug 1, 2025BenchmarkMaintainedBuy$130 → $145
Jun 17, 2025BenchmarkMaintainedBuy$120 → $130
May 5, 2025BenchmarkReiteratedBuy$120
Apr 17, 2025BenchmarkMaintainedBuy$130 → $120

Corporate Stakes

Which companies own a stake in BDC?

0.42%held by IESC

IES Holdings Inc. reports a stake in Belden Inc. on SEC Form 13F: 174.8K shares, about 0.42% of the company, worth $21.0M at the end of Q2 2026, a position it opened that quarter. At today's price that stake is worth $17.2M, about 0.29% of IESC's own market value.

Holder
IESC
Shares held
174.8K
Stake
0.42%
Value
$21.0M
HolderLast quarterShares% of BDCValue at filingValue nowChange
IES Holdings Inc. IESCNew174.8K0.42%$21.0M$17.2M-18.1%

Form 13F lists US-listed shares held at quarter-end and is filed up to 45 days later. Stakes in private companies are not on it. Value now and Change put those same shares, adjusted for any stock split, at today's price against their reported quarter-end value, so they do not reflect buying or selling since.

Earnings Release, Scored

What did Belden Inc.'s latest earnings release say?

Filed Oct 29, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Tone76.5/ 100-3.6 vs prior release
Hedging words0.00per 100 words-0.20 vs prior release
Tone, last 3 releasesScale 50–88

Most important lines

  1. 1

    Reached agreement to supply $100 million of fiber solutions to major US data center customer in 2027

    New this quarter
  2. 2

    Our data center business reached an important milestone, with a signed agreement to supply $100 million of fiber assemblies in 2027.

    New this quarter
  3. 3

    With this announcement, we now expect our data center business to grow by more than 50% next year.

    New this quarter

ETF holders

ETFs holding BDC

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about BDC?

BDC fell 13.8% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 44 and 93 from Oct 14 to Oct 22, then dropped to 62 on Oct 23.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 6 to Nov 6
$100$110Oct 6Oct 7Oct 8Oct 9Oct 12Oct 13Oct 14: tone 92Oct 15: tone 44Oct 16Oct 19Oct 20Oct 21: tone 93Oct 22: tone 92Oct 23: tone 62Oct 26: tone 50Oct 27Oct 28: tone 75Oct 29: tone 53Oct 30: tone 76Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6Oct 6News toneNov 6123
  1. Oct 30 -4.6%same day: What Belden (BDC) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call
  2. Nov 2 +4.7%
  3. Nov 5 -8.5%

Technical analysis

How strong is BDC's momentum right now?

On the daily chart BDC ranks at the 30th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling BDC?

57 of the 102 tracked managers added to BDC in their latest 13F and 38 trimmed. Together they own 37.3% of the company, worth $1.8B. Vanguard Portfolio Management and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 10.8%.

57adding38trimming7unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of BDC
  1. $330.8M positionAdded 2.1% last quarter
  2. $210.3M positionAdded 0.6% last quarter
  3. $180.5M positionAdded 1.6% last quarter
  4. $141.0M positionAdded 12.0% last quarter
  5. $122.4M positionAdded 0.6% last quarter
  6. $71.9M positionTrimmed 0.3% last quarter
  7. $65.6M positionTrimmed 1.8% last quarter
  8. $60.0M positionAdded 4.6% last quarter
  9. $59.9M positionAdded 0.8% last quarter
  10. $52.5M positionAdded 140.8% last quarter
Full holdings history

Discover more

How has BDC done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 6, BDC returned −15.4%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 9 did better, led by PANW at +70.0%.

Change since May 6, through Nov 6
−100%−50%0%+50%+100%+150%May 6JunJulAugSepOctNov 6PANW +70.0%BDC −15.4%INTC −48.9%