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Last updatedjust now

BJ·BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc.

$95.91
+0.29 (+0.30%)
Overnight$95.90-0.01 (-0.01%)
High
$97.59
Open
$96.47
Market Cap
11.92B
52W High
$105.78
Low
$95.60
P. Close
$95.91
P/E
20.05
52W Low
$83.21
Fwd P/E
19.20
DailyIQ Est.
$107.96
Inst. Ownership
-
Short Interest
7.88%
Days to Cover
6.4
Technical Score (1D)
55
BULLISH
News Sentiment
42
BEARISH
BJ is pressing the upper end of its range on the 1D chart, scoring 55 with NEUTRAL and mixed momentum. Sentiment at 42 is diverging from the improving setup, which helps breakout attempts attract follow-through buyers. $99.42 is the confirmation level; $91.78 is where a failed breakout would snap back. Momentum-driven buyers tend to show up only after $99.42 actually breaks, which means the setup can look identical for days before anything changes on the tape. That's the nature of breakout-watch conditions: the NEUTRAL read and mixed momentum describe the pressure building, not the timing of when it releases.
LOW TARGET
$82 -14.5%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$106 +10.3%
19 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$120 +25.1%
12 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$82.00 - $120.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
9/9/13/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$107.96 (+12.6%)
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
146,264 shares
$14.1M
Werner William C.EVP, Strategy & Development
Sell3,000 shares2026-10-01
Morningstar Timothy PierceEVP, Chief Growth Officer
Sell4,856 shares2026-10-01
Luce GrahamEVP, Secretary
Award/Grant6,521 shares2026-09-30
Werner William C.EVP, Strategy & Development
Award/Grant5,434 shares2026-09-30
Werner William C.EVP, Strategy & Development
Tax Withholding10,007 shares2026-09-27
View full insider trading history →
62/ 100
Neutral / mixed
Overall: Neutral
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
18.6%
Net Margin
2.7%
Revenue CAGR
6.3%
Current Ratio
0.75x
Debt / Equity
0.24x
Return on Equity
26.3%
View full financials →

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.05$1.14$1.23$1.31$1.40Q2'25Q2'27Q3'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'27$1.24 - -
Q2'27$1.24$1.36+9.7%
Q2'25$1.09$1.14+4.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$5.3B$5.5B$5.8B$6.0B$6.2BQ2'25Q2'27Q3'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'27$6.1B - -
Q2'27$6.1B$6.1B-0.5%
Q2'25 - $5.4B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

BJ Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL55/100
$95.90−$0.01 (0.0%)
Market cap
11.92B
P/E ratio
20.1
Day range
$95.60 – $97.59
News sentiment
42/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$105.80 (+10.3%)
Consensus
Hold · 33 analysts
52-week range+15.3% off low · -9.3% from high
$83.21$105.78
Price $95.90 DailyIQ Est. $107.96

The technical read on BJ is balanced, which usually means the market is waiting on a catalyst. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into BJ?

RICH

At today's price, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 15.7% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.05% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 11.1% a year, so the market is asking for 4.5 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis BJ looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
15.7%
Historical FCF CAGR
11.1%
Growth gap
+4.5 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
7.05%
Beta
0.37

Behaviour On Record

What BJ's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
33.3% 54th pct
Below its peak
-21.8%
vs 200-day average
+0.2%
Up days (1y)
48%

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. is currently running 33.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against BJ's own 8 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 54th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 32.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

BJ is trading -21.8% below its running peak. Across 7 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -24.1%, and the deepest was -26.8% in 2019. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +0.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 33rd percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year BJ closed higher on 48% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 8 years of records, BJ finished the month higher 4 of 8 times, with a median return of -1.4% and an average of -1.7%. Its strongest month historically has been March at +8.7% on average, its weakest December at -2.9%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: BJ has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 163 of 2,077 sessions (7.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.5% and -8.3%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 2,078 daily closes between 2018-06-28 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against BJ's own 8-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of BJ's sector?

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 6th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving). Within its narrower Retail industry group, BJ ranks 5th of 15 tracked industries, improving.

Sector rank
#6 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
55
Industry rank
#5 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for BJ?

CallsPuts

For BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 8 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.29), with at-the-money implied volatility around 50.7%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±5.9% move by that expiry — a range of about $88.71–$99.91.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.29
ATM implied volatility
50.7%
Total open interest
1,727
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±5.9% ($88.71–$99.91)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on BJ?

Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. to Buy on Aug 24, 2026 with a price target of $111 (from $100). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Citigroup — Buy
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 24, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$100 → $111
Aug 24, 2026Roth CapitalReiteratedNeutral$97
Aug 24, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$109 → $115
Aug 24, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedBuy$105 → $108
Aug 4, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$95 → $100
Jul 29, 2026Gordon HaskettUpgradeHold → Buy$115
May 26, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$118 → $100
May 26, 2026JP MorganMaintainedNeutral$90 → $98
May 15, 2026JP MorganMaintainedNeutral$100 → $90
Apr 14, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$100 → $95
Mar 6, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedBuy$110 → $114
Feb 27, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$105 → $110

Held by These ETFs

BJ is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

42/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
BEARISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
On September 30, 2026, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings executive William C. Werner sold 3,000 shares, worth $285,000, through a Form 4 filing. The sale left Werner in control of 50,160 shares, all held directly. The transaction reflects routine insider activity without indicating a change in company outlook.
What did this article say?
On October 1, 2026, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings executive Timothy Pierce Morningstar sold 4,856 shares, valued at $456,901, as reported in a Form 4 filing. After the sale, Morningstar continued to hold 33,924 shares directly. The transaction is typical insider activity and does not signal a change in company direction.
What did this article say?
BJ’s Wholesale Club opened its Foley, Alabama location on September 29, featuring a one‑day $2‑per‑gallon gas promotion and a focus on value across groceries, household goods, and fuel. The new club partners with Feeding the Gulf Coast, integrating regular food donations into its operations and strengthening community ties. The expansion signals BJ’s commitment to delivering member value while expanding its footprint, potentially supporting future growth and investor sentiment.
What did this article say?
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings opened a new warehouse club in Foley, Alabama, on September 25, featuring a one‑day heavily discounted gas promotion to attract shoppers. The launch added a new revenue stream and reinforced BJ's expansion strategy, contributing to a 7.53% return over the past 90 days and a 3.52% return over the past 30 days. The company’s 3‑year total shareholder return of 32.02% and 5‑year return of 72.85% underscore its long‑term growth trajectory. The expansion aligns with BJ's focus on strong balance sheets and resilient fundamentals, positioning the retailer for continued market penetration.
What did this article say?
Moody’s Ratings shifted BJ’s Wholesale Club Holdings Inc from a stable to a positive outlook, citing the retailer’s disciplined debt management and steady earnings growth. The agency maintained the corporate family rating at Ba1 and upgraded the liquidity rating to SGL‑1, highlighting a $1.2 billion revolving credit facility as a robust financial buffer. The rating change reflects BJ’s strong membership fee model and essential grocery sales, suggesting the company could soon achieve investment‑grade status. This upgrade is a material positive catalyst for BJ’s credit profile and investor perception.
What did this article say?
BJ’s Wholesale Club announced the opening of its second Alabama location in Foley on September 25, 2026. The new club will feature a one‑day gas promotion and limited‑time membership offers to attract early adopters. While the expansion adds a new revenue stream, it is a routine store opening that is unlikely to materially shift the company’s financial outlook.
What did this article say?
BJ’s Wholesale Club is celebrating its 42nd anniversary with a 42% discount on a wide range of products, from groceries to apparel. The promotion is aimed at enhancing member value and driving foot traffic during the holiday season. While the offer may lift short‑term sales, it is a routine marketing tactic and unlikely to materially alter long‑term financials.
What did this article say?
BJ’s Wholesale Club has formalized an investment‑grade financial policy, reinforcing its BBB rating from Fitch and signaling strong balance‑sheet discipline. The move is intended to give BJ a competitive edge in the wholesale sector by enabling a transition to an unsecured capital structure. Management highlighted robust cash generation and a disciplined capital allocation strategy as key enablers of this policy. The announcement is expected to boost lender and investor confidence, potentially lowering borrowing costs and supporting future growth initiatives.
What did this article say?
BJ's CEO Robert W. Eddy sold 8,000 shares worth $761,752, reducing his direct holdings to 266,330 shares. The transaction was disclosed via a Form 4 filing on September 15, 2026. While the sale is modest relative to the company’s total shares, it may signal a short‑term liquidity need or a personal portfolio rebalancing. The move does not alter the company’s long‑term strategy or financial outlook.
What did this article say?
BJ Wholesale Club Holdings has formally adopted an investment‑grade financial policy, targeting leverage below 1.0x and moving toward an unsecured capital structure. The change confirms management’s confidence in the company’s cash‑generating model and signals a commitment to long‑term balance sheet strength. This shift is likely to improve BJ’s credit profile, reduce financing costs, and enhance flexibility for future growth initiatives.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

55
NEUTRAL
Technical indicators reflect the latest computed signal mix for this timeframe.
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Congressional Trading Activity
8 disclosed trades · ~$64.0K est. traded value · 5 buys, 3 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-03-052026-04-06
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-02-182026-03-10
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-02-052026-03-10
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-10-152025-11-04
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-06-112025-08-13
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-04-092025-05-02
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-04-042025-05-02
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-03-142025-04-02
View full congressional trading history →

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