DailyIQ
Last updated 2 minutes ago

CCL·Carnival Corporation & plc

$.
+. (+.%)
After Hours
High
$27.09
Open
$26.82
Market Cap
36.97B
52W High
$34.03
Low
$26.04
P. Close
$26.71
P/E
11.94
52W Low
$21.62
Fwd P/E
10.27
Mean Target
$34.01
Technical Score (1D)
50
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
64
BULLISH
Carnival (CCL) shares saw gains, moving with other travel companies as easing oil prices and optimism around potential peace talks involving Iran provided a sector tailwind. This broader market sentiment, particularly within travel, suggests a favorable environment for cruise line operators. Investors will be monitoring sustained energy price trends and geopolitical developments for continued impact.
Earnings Summary
Carnival Corporation is a global leader in the leisure travel industry, primarily operating within the cruise sector across various international markets. The company offers vacation experiences through a portfolio of well-known cruise line brands, encompassing a wide range of itineraries and onboard amenities. As a significant player in the competitive travel services industry, Carnival's business model involves comprehensive vacation packages and is supported by extensive distribution channels, including travel agents and online platforms. In its recent earnings performance, Carnival Corporation demonstrated a mixed trend. For Q4 2025, the company reported an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.34, exceeding the estimate of $0.2478, while revenue came in at $6.33 billion, slightly below the estimate of $6.43 billion. This followed a strong Q3 2025 where EPS was $1.43 against an estimate of $1.31754 and revenue was $8.15 billion. Earlier in 2025, Q2 saw EPS of $0.35 against an estimate of $0.24087 and Q1 EPS of $0.13 versus an estimate of $0.02222. The company has shown a pattern of beating EPS estimates in the last four reported quarters, indicating a consistent ability to outperform profit expectations. Looking at the historical trajectory, Carnival has generally shown positive year-over-year growth in revenue, although specific EPS figures can fluctuate. The company has a track record of exceeding analyst expectations for earnings per share in recent quarters, suggesting operational efficiency or effective cost management. While revenue estimates were not consistently provided for all periods, the actual revenue figures in the most recent quarters indicate substantial top-line performance, even if occasionally falling slightly short of projections. Recent news highlights several key developments for Carnival Corporation. The company completed its dual-listed company unification, reinstated a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share, and authorized a $2.50 billion share repurchase program, signaling a strategic shift in capital allocation. These actions aim to simplify the corporate structure and enhance financial flexibility. However, these positive internal developments are occurring amidst broader market pressures, including persistent inflation and concerns about slowing consumer demand, which have impacted consumer discretionary stocks. Despite these headwinds, one brand, Holland America Line, has opened bookings for its 2028 Grand Voyages, suggesting long-term confidence. Moving forward, investors will be closely watching for the impact of the company's capital return initiatives and the evolving consumer spending environment on future earnings. Key will be how Carnival navigates inflationary pressures and potential shifts in demand for discretionary travel. The company's ability to maintain its EPS beat streak and manage operational costs, particularly in light of fluctuating energy prices, will be crucial indicators for the upcoming quarters.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.19$0.27$0.73$1.18$1.64Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$0.34 - -
Q4'25$0.25$0.34+37.2%
Q3'25$1.32$1.43+8.5%
Q2'25$0.24$0.35+45.3%
Q1'25$0.02$0.13+485.1%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$5.5B$6.2B$7.0B$7.7B$8.5BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$6.8B - -
Q4'25$6.4B$6.3B-1.6%
Q3'25 - $8.2B -
Q2'25 - $6.3B -
Q1'25 - $5.8B -

Market Data

CCL Stock Snapshot

CCL is currently trading at $26.70, giving Carnival Corporation & plc a market cap of 36.97B and a P/E ratio of 11.9. Today's range spans $26.04–$27.09, with shares opening at $26.82 and moving down $0.01 (0.0%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 50/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 64/100.

Over the past year CCL has traded between $21.62 and $34.03 - the current price is +23.5% off the 52-week low and -21.5% from the high. 34 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $34.01 (range $28.70–$45.00), implying upside of +27.4%.

CCL sits at $26.70 (in the lower half of its 52-week range) with a HOLD technical read (50/100) and bullish sentiment (64/100). The 36.97B market cap in Consumer Cyclical (P/E: 11.9) makes this a name that institutional coverage maintains even through neutral phases - which means any catalyst shift will be quickly priced in. Annual range: $21.62–$34.03.

Portfolio construction in Consumer Cyclical often uses large-cap names like CCL as tactical swing positions during neutral phases: cheap enough to overweight, liquid enough to exit quickly, and large enough to provide meaningful sector beta. The current 50/100 (HOLD) at $26.70 (in the lower half of its 52-week range) and bullish sentiment (64/100) frame the position as a catalyst play within the $21.62–$34.03 annual range rather than a directional bet.