DailyIQ
Last updated4 minutes ago

FWONK·Liberty Media Corporation Series C Liberty Formula One

$95.54
+0.54 (+0.57%)
Overnight$95.54+0.00 (+0.00%)
High
$96.48
Open
$95.60
Market Cap
24.15B
52W High
$109.37
Low
$94.77
P. Close
$95.54
P/E
113.36
52W Low
$80.15
Fwd P/E
48.78
DailyIQ Est.
$123.92
Inst. Ownership
-
Short Interest
3.56%
Days to Cover
4.7
Technical Score (1D)
55
BULLISH
News Sentiment
50
MIXED
FWONK is setting up for a potential resolution: NEUTRAL at 55 with mixed momentum on the 1D chart. Sentiment at 50 is diverging from the bullish bias, so confirmation still matters. $99.28 is the line bulls need to clear; $91.64 defines the risk if the attempt stalls. The difference between a breakout and a breakout attempt is follow-through - a close above $99.28 that holds into the next session carries far more weight than an intraday poke through the level. Until that confirmation shows up, $91.64 defines the risk for anyone positioning ahead of the move rather than waiting for it.
LOW TARGET
$96 +0.5%
1 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$119 +24.9%
10 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$134 +40.3%
9 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$96.00 - $134.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
6/11/1/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$123.92 (+29.7%)
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
111,597 shares
$10.1M
Wilm Renee LChief Legal/Admin Officer
Sell11,597 shares2026-06-15
CAREY CHASE-
Option Exercise100,000 shares2026-05-27
CAREY CHASE-
Sell98,546 shares2026-05-27
CAREY CHASE-
Sell1,454 shares2026-05-27
CAREY CHASE-
Option Exercise100,000 shares2026-05-27
85/ 100
Strong bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
12.4%
Revenue CAGR
5.4%
Current Ratio
1.46x
Debt / Equity
0.66x
Return on Equity
7.2%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.25$0.32$0.40$0.47$0.55Q3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.51 - -
Q3'25$0.28$0.29+4.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.1B$1.1B$1.2B$1.2B$1.3BQ3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.3B - -
Q3'25 - $1.1B -

Market Data

FWONK Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL55/100
$95.54+$0.00 (0.0%)
Market cap
24.15B
P/E ratio
113.4
Day range
$94.77 – $96.48
News sentiment
50/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$119.29 (+24.9%)
Consensus
Buy · 20 analysts
52-week range+19.2% off low · -12.6% from high
$80.15$109.37
Price $95.54 DailyIQ Est. $123.92

The setup on Liberty Media Corporation Series C Liberty Formula One is patient: consolidation, not accumulation or distribution. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into FWONK?

FAIR

At today's price, Liberty Media Corporation Series C Liberty Formula One needs to grow free cash flow about 16.0% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.80% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 14.4% a year, so the market is asking for 1.6 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis FWONK looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
16.0%
Historical FCF CAGR
14.4%
Growth gap
+1.6 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
7.80%
Beta
0.68

Behaviour On Record

What FWONK's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
25.4% 42nd pct
Below its peak
-12.3%
vs 200-day average
+3.0%
Up days (1y)
49%

Liberty Media Corporation Series C Liberty Formula One is currently running 25.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FWONK's own 10 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 42nd percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 26.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

FWONK is trading -12.3% below its running peak. Across 9 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -23.0%, and the deepest was -57.7% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +3.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 39th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year FWONK closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 9 years of records, FWONK finished the month higher 4 of 9 times, with a median return of -2.8% and an average of -1.6%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +4.4% on average, its weakest September at -2.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: FWONK has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 98 of 2,435 sessions (4.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +11.7% and -13.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 2,436 daily closes between 2017-01-25 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FWONK's own 10-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of FWONK's sector?

Liberty Media Corporation Series C Liberty Formula One sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 5th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#5 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
55

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for FWONK?

CallsPuts

For Liberty Media Corporation Series C Liberty Formula One's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 9 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.00), with at-the-money implied volatility around 0.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±0.1% move by that expiry — a range of about $92.61–$92.83.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.00
ATM implied volatility
0.8%
Total open interest
8
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±0.1% ($92.61–$92.83)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on FWONK?

Wells Fargo most recently reiterated its rating on Liberty Media Corporation Series C Liberty Formula One to Equal-Weight on Sep 29, 2026 with a price target of $96 (from $105). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Wells Fargo — Equal-Weight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 29, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$105 → $96
Sep 9, 2026JefferiesInitiatedBuy$115
Aug 17, 2026GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$125 → $134
Aug 7, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$104 → $110
Aug 7, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$124 → $125
Aug 7, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$97 → $105
Jul 29, 2026GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$124 → $125
Jul 28, 2026BernsteinMaintainedOutperform$115 → $119
Jul 21, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$111 → $124
Jul 6, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$105 → $115
May 29, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$115 → $111
May 8, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$89 → $97

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

50/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MIXED

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

2 articles
What did this article say?
Analysts examined Formula One Group’s recent share price rise, questioning whether the current US$91.60 level aligns with projected cash generation. The company’s valuation hinges on recurring media, sponsorship, and race promotion contracts, whose durability could support or limit future free cash flow. Despite a 77.4% multi‑year price gain, the analysis suggests the stock’s valuation remains uncertain without clearer evidence of sustainable cash flows.
What did this article say?
Wells Fargo analyst Steven Cahill reduced the price target for Liberty Media (FWONK) from $105 to $96 while keeping the stock on an equal‑weight recommendation. The downgrade reflects concerns about the company’s valuation relative to peers and potential earnings pressure. The cut signals a modest negative outlook for the firm’s near‑term performance.
End of results

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

55
NEUTRAL
Technical indicators reflect the latest computed signal mix for this timeframe.
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Congressional Trading Activity
25 disclosed trades · ~$3.10M est. traded value · 13 buys, 11 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▼ Sell$100K - $250K2026-08-252026-09-09
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-08-242026-09-09
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$15K - $50K2026-08-072026-09-09
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$15K - $50K2026-08-032026-09-09
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$15K - $50K2026-07-312026-08-03
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$15K - $50K2026-07-282026-08-03
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-07-222026-08-03
August Lee PflugerHouseTX11↔ Exchange$1K - $15K2025-12-162026-01-20
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$15K - $50K2025-12-102026-01-06
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$15K - $50K2025-05-092025-05-26
John HickenlooperSenateCO▲ Buy$100K - $250K2025-05-092025-05-26
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$50K - $100K2025-03-182025-04-21
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$100K - $250K2024-06-032024-06-10
John HickenlooperSenateCO▲ Buy$100K - $250K2024-06-032024-06-10
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$250K - $500K2024-05-202024-06-10
John HickenlooperSenateCO▲ Buy$100K - $250K2024-05-202024-06-10
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$50K - $100K2023-03-202023-04-13
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$500K - $1.0M2023-03-082023-04-13
John HickenlooperSenateCO▲ Buy$250K - $500K2023-03-082023-04-13
John HickenlooperSenateCO▲ Buy$50K - $100K2022-12-142022-12-22
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$50K - $100K2022-08-112022-08-19
John HickenlooperSenateCO▲ Buy$15K - $50K2022-08-092022-08-19
John HickenlooperSenateCO▲ Buy$15K - $50K2022-05-132022-06-13
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$50K - $100K2022-05-132022-06-13
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$50K - $100K2022-03-162022-06-13