DailyIQ
Last updated2 minutes ago

FWONK·Liberty Media Corporation Series C Liberty Formula One

$93.01
-0.80 (-0.85%)
Overnight$93.02+0.01 (+0.01%)
High
$95.09
Open
$94.12
Market Cap
23.28B
52W High
$107.31
Low
$92.20
P. Close
$93.01
P/E
109.32
52W Low
$80.15
Fwd P/E
47.50
DailyIQ Est.
$123.92
Inst. Ownership
39.7%
Short Interest
3.77%
Days to Cover
3.8
Technical Score (1D)
23
BEARISH
News Sentiment
54
MIXED
On the 1D view, FWONK is trending bearish with a score of 23 and declining momentum. The SELL signal is technically clear, and price is persistently weak. The nuance is sentiment: at 54, it's diverging from the price action, suggesting news flow hasn't caught up to the selling yet. That gap between technicals and sentiment doesn't invalidate the chart-based read, but it does add a wildcard. If sentiment eventually turns to confirm the weakness, the move likely has further to run. If sentiment holds and draws in buyers near $87.42, a base could form before a recovery toward $96.72. Position sizing should reflect the unresolved nature of this split. One tell worth tracking here is whether volume expands on tests of $87.42 or dries up instead - expansion suggests the technical read is starting to attract confirming sellers, while a fade suggests sentiment's steadier tone is the more accurate signal. Until that resolves, $96.72 remains the level that would invalidate the bearish case outright.
LOW TARGET
$96 +3.2%
1 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$119 +28.2%
10 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$134 +44.1%
9 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$96.00 - $134.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
6/11/1/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$123.92 (+33.2%)
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
111,597 shares
$10.1M
Wilm Renee LChief Legal/Admin Officer
Sell11,597 shares2026-06-15
CAREY CHASE-
Option Exercise100,000 shares2026-05-27
CAREY CHASE-
Sell98,546 shares2026-05-27
CAREY CHASE-
Sell1,454 shares2026-05-27
CAREY CHASE-
Option Exercise100,000 shares2026-05-27
86/ 100
Strong bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
12.4%
Revenue CAGR
5.4%
Current Ratio
1.46x
Debt / Equity
0.66x
Return on Equity
7.2%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.25$0.32$0.40$0.47$0.55Q3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.51 - -
Q3'25$0.28$0.29+4.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.1B$1.1B$1.2B$1.2B$1.3BQ3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.3B - -
Q3'25 - $1.1B -

Market Data

FWONK Stock Snapshot

BEARISH23/100
$93.02+$0.01 (0.0%)
Market cap
23.28B
P/E ratio
109.3
Day range
$92.20 – $95.09
News sentiment
54/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$119.29 (+28.2%)
Consensus
Buy · 20 analysts
52-week range+16.1% off low · -13.3% from high
$80.15$107.31
Price $93.02 DailyIQ Est. $123.92

The chart on FWONK has not stabilised: price is in the middle of its 52-week range and the trend is still down. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into FWONK?

FAIR

At today's price, Liberty Media Corporation Series C Liberty Formula One needs to grow free cash flow about 16.3% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.75% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 14.4% a year, so the market is asking for 1.9 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis FWONK looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
16.3%
Historical FCF CAGR
14.4%
Growth gap
+1.9 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
7.75%
Beta
0.67

Behaviour On Record

What FWONK's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
23.0% 30th pct
Below its peak
-13.2%
vs 200-day average
+2.0%
Up days (1y)
48%

Liberty Media Corporation Series C Liberty Formula One is currently running 23.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FWONK's own 10 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 30th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 26.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

FWONK is trading -13.2% below its running peak. Across 9 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -23.0%, and the deepest was -57.7% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +2.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 37th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year FWONK closed higher on 48% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 9 years of records, FWONK finished the month higher 4 of 9 times, with a median return of -2.8% and an average of -1.6%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +4.4% on average, its weakest September at -2.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: FWONK has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 98 of 2,439 sessions (4.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +11.7% and -13.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 2,440 daily closes between 2017-01-25 and 2026-10-09, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FWONK's own 10-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of FWONK's sector?

Liberty Media Corporation Series C Liberty Formula One sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#8 of 12
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
0

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for FWONK?

CallsPuts

For Liberty Media Corporation Series C Liberty Formula One's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 2 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.50), with at-the-money implied volatility around 6.3%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±0.5% move by that expiry — a range of about $92.29–$93.15.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
1.50
ATM implied volatility
6.3%
Total open interest
20
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±0.5% ($92.29–$93.15)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on FWONK?

Wells Fargo most recently reiterated its rating on Liberty Media Corporation Series C Liberty Formula One to Equal-Weight on Sep 29, 2026 with a price target of $96 (from $105). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Wells Fargo — Equal-Weight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 29, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$105 → $96
Sep 9, 2026JefferiesInitiatedBuy$115
Aug 17, 2026GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$125 → $134
Aug 7, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$104 → $110
Aug 7, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$124 → $125
Aug 7, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$97 → $105
Jul 29, 2026GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$124 → $125
Jul 28, 2026BernsteinMaintainedOutperform$115 → $119
Jul 21, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$111 → $124
Jul 6, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$105 → $115
May 29, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$115 → $111
May 8, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$89 → $97

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

54/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MIXED

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

4 articles
What did this article say?
Liberty Media (NASDAQ:FWONK) released its second‑quarter 2026 financial results and held an earnings call on Thursday. The company provided a full transcript of the discussion, which was made available to investors. The call covered the company’s performance, guidance, and strategic initiatives for the upcoming period. No material changes to guidance or significant events were disclosed in the transcript.
What did this article say?
Liberty Media Corporation upgraded its Series C shares (FWONK) to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) on October 8, citing an improving earnings outlook. The rating change reflects a consensus lift in EPS estimates from sell‑side analysts, signaling stronger near‑term profitability. The upgrade is expected to support the stock’s price trajectory, though it does not represent a transformative catalyst. The move aligns with broader market optimism about Liberty Media’s performance prospects.
What did this article say?
Analysts examined Formula One Group’s recent share price rise, questioning whether the current US$91.60 level aligns with projected cash generation. The company’s valuation hinges on recurring media, sponsorship, and race promotion contracts, whose durability could support or limit future free cash flow. Despite a 77.4% multi‑year price gain, the analysis suggests the stock’s valuation remains uncertain without clearer evidence of sustainable cash flows.
What did this article say?
Wells Fargo analyst Steven Cahill reduced the price target for Liberty Media (FWONK) from $105 to $96 while keeping the stock on an equal‑weight recommendation. The downgrade reflects concerns about the company’s valuation relative to peers and potential earnings pressure. The cut signals a modest negative outlook for the firm’s near‑term performance.
End of results

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

23
BEARISH
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $9.25B combined position · 14 adding, 11 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Vanguard Group Inc▲ Buy21,133,2958.44%$2.08B2026-01-29
BlackRock, Inc.▼ Sell13,900,4455.55%$1.32B2026-08-07
Janus Henderson Group plc▲ Buy10,883,2124.35%$925.30M2026-05-18
Morgan Stanley▼ Sell7,665,6933.06%$729.31M2026-08-13
Bank of America Corp▲ Buy6,216,7402.48%$591.46M2026-08-14
Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb L.P.▼ Sell5,223,4532.09%$496.96M2026-08-14
Geode Capital Management, LLC▼ Sell3,989,4321.59%$378.48M2026-08-12
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.▲ Buy3,790,9371.51%$360.67M2026-08-14
Millennium Management LLC▲ Buy2,326,4710.93%$221.34M2026-08-14
Wellington Management Group LLP▼ Sell2,278,9410.91%$216.82M2026-08-14
Tiger Global Management LLC▼ Sell2,278,5550.91%$216.78M2026-08-14
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.▲ Buy2,163,6880.86%$205.85M2026-08-14
Artisan Partners Limited Partnership▲ Buy2,156,7510.86%$205.19M2026-08-13
Citadel Advisors LLC▲ Buy1,877,7900.75%$178.65M2026-09-02
Norges Bank▼ Sell1,846,3710.74%$175.66M2026-08-12
Eminence Capital, LP▲ Buy1,982,6730.79%$168.57M2026-05-15
Junto Capital Management LP▲ Buy1,707,2810.68%$162.43M2026-08-14
Northern Trust Corp▼ Sell1,403,2420.56%$133.50M2026-08-13
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▼ Sell1,206,4240.48%$114.78M2026-08-13
Marshall Wace, LLP▼ Sell1,147,3170.46%$109.16M2026-08-13
Wells Fargo & Company▲ Buy824,5070.33%$78.44M2026-08-14
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▲ Buy645,6630.26%$61.43M2026-08-14
JPMorgan Chase & Co▲ Buy458,4880.18%$42.86M2026-08-12
Renaissance Technologies LLC▼ Sell405,4790.16%$38.58M2026-08-13
Corvex Management LP▲ New400,9000.16%$38.14M2026-08-14
Q2 2026 flow:5.89M sh bought ($560.20M)3.86M sh sold ($367.00M)net +2.03M sh (+$193.20M)
Congressional Trading Activity
25 disclosed trades · ~$3.10M est. traded value · 13 buys, 11 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▼ Sell$100K - $250K2026-08-252026-09-09
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-08-242026-09-09
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$15K - $50K2026-08-072026-09-09
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$15K - $50K2026-08-032026-09-09
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$15K - $50K2026-07-312026-08-03
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$15K - $50K2026-07-282026-08-03
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-07-222026-08-03
August Lee PflugerHouseTX11↔ Exchange$1K - $15K2025-12-162026-01-20
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$15K - $50K2025-12-102026-01-06
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$15K - $50K2025-05-092025-05-26
John HickenlooperSenateCO▲ Buy$100K - $250K2025-05-092025-05-26
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$50K - $100K2025-03-182025-04-21
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$100K - $250K2024-06-032024-06-10
John HickenlooperSenateCO▲ Buy$100K - $250K2024-06-032024-06-10
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$250K - $500K2024-05-202024-06-10
John HickenlooperSenateCO▲ Buy$100K - $250K2024-05-202024-06-10
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$50K - $100K2023-03-202023-04-13
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$500K - $1.0M2023-03-082023-04-13
John HickenlooperSenateCO▲ Buy$250K - $500K2023-03-082023-04-13
John HickenlooperSenateCO▲ Buy$50K - $100K2022-12-142022-12-22
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$50K - $100K2022-08-112022-08-19
John HickenlooperSenateCO▲ Buy$15K - $50K2022-08-092022-08-19
John HickenlooperSenateCO▲ Buy$15K - $50K2022-05-132022-06-13
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$50K - $100K2022-05-132022-06-13
John HickenlooperSenateCO▼ Sell$50K - $100K2022-03-162022-06-13