MGA·Magna International Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

35.5% 71st pct

Below its peak

-37.0%

vs 200-day average

+5.2%

Up days (1y)

52%

Magna International Inc. is currently running 35.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MGA's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 71st percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 29.5%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

MGA is trading -37.0% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -29.2%, and the deepest was -56.4% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +5.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 64th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year MGA closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, MGA finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +2.2% and an average of +1.5%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +4.2% on average, its weakest March at -4.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: MGA has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 224 of 3,267 sessions (6.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.9% and -10.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MGA's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.