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ROIV·Roivant Sciences Ltd.

$39.03
-0.74 (-1.86%)
High
$39.92
Open
$39.02
Market Cap
28.73B
52W High
$46.09
Low
$38.72
P. Close
$39.03
P/E
-
52W Low
$14.50
Fwd P/E
-22.68
DailyIQ Est.
$49.81
Inst. Ownership
48.2%
Short Interest
4.57%
Days to Cover
3.8
Technical Score (1D)
77
BUY
News Sentiment
82
BULLISH
Roivant Sciences’ Phase 2 PHocus trial of mosliciguat just reported statistically significant reductions in pulmonary vascular resistance and marked improvements in six‑minute walk distance for patients with pulmonary hypertension and interstitial lung disease, a result presented at major scientific conferences. The data confirm that the drug can deliver clinically meaningful benefits in a niche respiratory indication, reinforcing the company’s narrative that its respiratory portfolio is a credible source of future regulatory filings and potential commercialization. Because the trial’s positive outcomes were achieved in a patient population with limited treatment options, investors may view the result as a catalyst for a higher valuation of the company’s respiratory pipeline. The success also suggests that mosliciguat could become a key asset in Roivant’s broader strategy to capture a share of the growing interstitial lung disease market, which is expected to expand as diagnostic capabilities improve. In the next 1–10 trading days, the market will likely monitor any official regulatory filing announcements or partnership discussions that could accelerate the drug’s development timeline. Watch for any statements from the company regarding the timing of a Phase 3 study or a potential submission to the FDA, as these milestones could materially influence investor sentiment. Additionally, keep an eye on competitor activity in the pulmonary hypertension space, as any new entrants or approvals could affect Roivant’s competitive positioning. Finally, be alert for any updates on the company’s broader respiratory pipeline, which could either reinforce or dilute the impact of the mosliciguat data on overall valuation expectations.
Earnings Summary
Roivant Sciences is a clinical‑stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing innovative medicines, with a pipeline that includes monoclonal antibodies, small‑molecule inhibitors, and inhaled activators such as mosliciguat for pulmonary hypertension. The company operates within the biotechnology sector, targeting autoimmune and respiratory diseases. In Q1 2025, Roivant reported an EPS of –$0.21829 versus an estimate of –$0.16333, while revenue reached $7.57 million; Q2 2025 EPS data are not yet available, and Q1 2026 guidance shows an estimated EPS of –$0.31481 with projected revenue of $4.23 million. The available data indicate a continued negative earnings trajectory, with revenue growth slowing from Q1 2025 to the guidance for Q1 2026, and EPS estimates becoming more negative, suggesting a deceleration in financial performance. Historically, the company has consistently posted negative earnings, with the most recent quarter’s EPS falling short of estimates, and revenue growth has been modest and variable, reflecting the typical volatility of a clinical‑stage biotech. Recent news highlights a statistically significant Phase 2 PHocus trial of mosliciguat, showing a 56.3 % reduction in pulmonary vascular resistance and improved six‑minute walk distance, which has driven the stock to a 52‑week high and attracted analyst upgrades; Stifel’s new coverage and a $51 price target further underscore institutional confidence in the pipeline. Investors should watch for the next data release from the PHocus Phase II study, any FDA review timelines, and potential partnership announcements that could accelerate development, as these milestones will be key to translating clinical gains into financial upside.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.49$-0.40$-0.31$-0.21$-0.12Q1'25Q2'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'25$-0.45 - -
Q1'25$-0.16$-0.22-33.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3M$4M$6M$7M$8MQ1'25Q2'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'25$4M - -
Q1'25 - $8M -

Market Data

ROIV Stock Snapshot

BUY77/100
$39.03$0.74 (1.9%)
Market cap
28.73B
Day range
$38.72 – $39.92
News sentiment
82/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$47.79 (+22.4%)
Consensus
Buy · 21 analysts
52-week range+169.2% off low · -15.3% from high
$14.50$46.09
Price $39.03 DailyIQ Est. $49.81

Roivant Sciences Ltd. screens well technically, with price sitting in the upper part of its 52-week range. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Behaviour On Record

What ROIV's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
63.5% 69th pct
Below its peak
-6.5%
vs 200-day average
+32.5%
Up days (1y)
53%

Roivant Sciences Ltd. is currently running 63.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against ROIV's own 6 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 69th percentile a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 45.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

ROIV is trading -6.5% below its running peak. Across 5 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -35.6%, and the deepest was -71.6% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +32.5% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 69th percentile a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year ROIV closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 6 years of records, ROIV finished the month higher 3 of 6 times, with a median return of +0.1% and an average of +3.6%. Its strongest month historically has been December at +10.0% on average, its weakest March at -8.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: ROIV has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 290 of 1,451 sessions (20.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +14.9% and -10.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 1,452 daily closes between 2020-12-08 and 2026-09-21, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against ROIV's own 6-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of ROIV's sector?

Roivant Sciences Ltd. sits in the Health Care sector, currently ranked 5th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#5 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
80

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for ROIV?

CallsPuts

For Roivant Sciences Ltd.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 25 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.50), with at-the-money implied volatility around 49.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±14.0% move by that expiry — a range of about $33.57–$44.49.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.50
ATM implied volatility
49.8%
Total open interest
924
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±14.0% ($33.57–$44.49)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on ROIV?

Stifel most recently initiated coverage on Roivant Sciences Ltd. to Buy on Sep 17, 2026 with a price target of $51. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
StifelBuy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 17, 2026StifelInitiatedBuy$51
Sep 9, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$50 → $55
Sep 9, 2026GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$42 → $46
Sep 8, 2026HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainedBuy$41 → $47
Sep 8, 2026JefferiesMaintainedBuy$42 → $52
Aug 28, 2026HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratedBuy$41
Aug 10, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$42 → $46
Aug 7, 2026GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$36 → $42
Aug 7, 2026HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainedBuy$34 → $41
May 26, 2026GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$30 → $36
May 21, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$35 → $42
May 21, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$38 → $41

ROIV Competitive Positioning

Roivant Sciences Ltd. (ROIV) is tracked alongside these names in Biotechnology on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.