DailyIQ
Last updated2 minutes ago

RS·Reliance, Inc.

$390.08
-10.48 (-2.62%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$388.11-1.97 (-0.51%)
High
$401.00
Open
$400.07
Market Cap
20.55B
52W High
$433.02
Low
$385.79
P. Close
$390.08
P/E
22.99
52W Low
$260.31
Fwd P/E
16.59
DailyIQ Est.
$410.09
Inst. Ownership
37.8%
Short Interest
2.00%
Days to Cover
2.7
Technical Score (1D)
59
BUY
News Sentiment
59
BULLISH
Reliance Industries (RS) received a short‑term earnings lift after the Indian government announced a cut in windfall taxes on diesel, petrol and aviation turbine fuel exports, which immediately improves its cash‑flow profile. The same day the company disclosed a Rs 12,500 crore five‑year domestic bond issuance, tightening its funding mix and lowering refinancing risk over the next few years. Together, the tax relief and the new debt issuance bring RS’s valuation closer to analyst fair‑value estimates, suggesting a modest upside for investors in the near term. The tax cut is a one‑off benefit that will expire once the windfall tax is reinstated, so the earnings boost is likely to be temporary. The bond issuance, however, provides a longer‑term cushion that could support RS’s ability to finance growth projects or weather market volatility. Over the next 1–10 trading days, traders should monitor the company’s earnings releases to see how much of the tax benefit is reflected in the quarterly results. Additionally, watch for any updates on the windfall tax policy, as a reversal could quickly erode the earnings lift. Finally, keep an eye on the bond market conditions; a tightening of rates could affect the cost of future refinancing for RS.
Earnings Summary
Reliance, Inc. (RS) is a North American metals solutions provider headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, distributing a broad range of metal products and offering processing services to sectors such as construction, aerospace, and energy. Operating within the Basic Materials sector and the steel industry, the company serves original equipment manufacturers through a direct sales model. In Q4 2024, RS reported revenue of $3.13 billion, slightly below the $3.25 billion estimate, while EPS of $2.22 fell short of the $2.73 estimate, indicating a modest revenue decline and an earnings miss. The following quarter, Q2 2026, saw a strong rebound with revenue of $4.63 billion versus a $4.37 billion estimate and EPS of $6.27 beating the $5.58 estimate, reflecting a 26.5 % YoY revenue growth and a 41.5 % EPS lift, largely driven by the U.S. border‑wall project. The company’s earnings trend shows a clear acceleration from a miss in Q4 2024 to a beat in Q2 2026, with revenue growth outpacing EPS growth in the latter period. Historically, RS has delivered consistent revenue increases, with recent quarters showing a pattern of revenue growth even when EPS misses or margins pressure are noted. Notably, the company’s Q2 2026 performance was highlighted by Jim Cramer’s endorsement, citing the strong earnings beat and the significant contribution from defense infrastructure spending. Investors should watch the next earnings cycle for guidance on cost‑control initiatives and potential shifts in the U.S. border‑wall program, as well as any changes in telecom revenue growth that could impact margins. Monitoring commodity price movements and broader infrastructure demand will also be key to assessing whether the recent earnings momentum can be sustained.}}

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.54$3.02$4.50$5.99$7.47Q4'24Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$6.79 - -
Q2'26$5.58$6.27+12.4%
Q4'24$2.73$2.22-18.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.9B$3.4B$4.0B$4.5B$5.0BQ4'24Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$4.8B - -
Q2'26$4.4B$4.6B+5.9%
Q4'24 - $3.1B -

Market Data

RS Stock Snapshot

HOLD59/100
$388.11$1.97 (0.5%)
Market cap
20.55B
P/E ratio
23.0
Day range
$385.79 – $401.00
News sentiment
59/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$408.88 (+5.4%)
Consensus
Hold · 19 analysts
52-week range+49.1% off low · -10.4% from high
$260.31$433.02
Price $388.11 DailyIQ Est. $410.09

RS is in a holding pattern - neither trend nor momentum has taken control. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into RS?

RICH

At today's price, Reliance, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 25.7% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.48% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 9.0% a year, so the market is asking for 16.7 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis RS looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
25.7%
Historical FCF CAGR
9.0%
Growth gap
+16.7 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
8.48%
Beta
0.77

Behaviour On Record

What RS's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
28.1% 65th pct
Below its peak
-9.8%
vs 200-day average
+11.0%
Up days (1y)
54%

Reliance, Inc. is currently running 28.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against RS's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 65th percentile a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 24.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

RS is trading -9.8% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -22.1%, and the deepest was -41.2% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +11.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 68th percentile a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year RS closed higher on 54% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, RS finished the month higher 4 of 13 times, with a median return of -2.8% and an average of -1.8%. Its strongest month historically has been February at +5.5% on average, its weakest September at -1.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: RS has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 147 of 3,268 sessions (4.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.6% and -9.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-19 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against RS's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of RS's sector?

Reliance, Inc. sits in the Materials sector, currently ranked 7th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#7 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
10

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for RS?

CallsPuts

For Reliance, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 27 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.34), with at-the-money implied volatility around 43.5%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±10.8% move by that expiry — a range of about $297.74–$369.76.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.34
ATM implied volatility
43.5%
Total open interest
106
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±10.8% ($297.74–$369.76)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on RS?

JP Morgan most recently reiterated its rating on Reliance, Inc. to Neutral on Sep 9, 2026 with a price target of $390 (from $398). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
JP MorganNeutral
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 9, 2026JP MorganMaintainedNeutral$398 → $390
Aug 24, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$398 → $391
Jul 27, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedMarket Perform$390 → $415
Jul 23, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$372 → $398
Jul 15, 2026JP MorganMaintainedNeutral$378 → $376
Jul 9, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$376 → $372
Jun 24, 2026KeybancMaintainedOverweight$378 → $418
Jun 10, 2026JP MorganMaintainedNeutral$345 → $378
Jun 4, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$343 → $376
Apr 28, 2026Seaport GlobalMaintainedBuy$340 → $390
Apr 27, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedMarket Perform$320 → $350
Apr 27, 2026KeybancMaintainedOverweight$341 → $378

RS Competitive Positioning

Reliance, Inc. (RS) is tracked alongside these names in Steel on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.