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Last updated1 minute ago

TPG·TPG Inc.

$52.67
-0.56 (-1.05%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$52.65-0.02 (-0.04%)
High
$53.37
Open
$52.51
Market Cap
20.47B
52W High
$70.38
Low
$51.96
P. Close
$52.67
P/E
86.64
52W Low
$36.95
Fwd P/E
14.62
DailyIQ Est.
$62.53
Inst. Ownership
22.0%
Short Interest
2.63%
Days to Cover
2.5
Technical Score (1D)
82
BUY
News Sentiment
64
BULLISH
TPG’s confidential filing to list its $8 billion Malaysian hospital portfolio is the most immediate catalyst, as the move could unlock significant capital and broaden its healthcare exposure, potentially tightening liquidity for the firm over the next week. The filing signals a strategic pivot toward higher‑margin assets, which may lift the company’s fee‑earning base and support the 43 % year‑over‑year rise in fee‑related earnings reported in Q2. A regulatory green light would also validate TPG’s international expansion thesis, prompting traders to monitor the SEC and Malaysian authorities for approval updates. In parallel, TPG’s $4 billion commitment to an OpenAI‑backed AI deployment platform expands its footprint beyond model development into infrastructure and services, positioning the firm to capture new revenue streams as AI adoption accelerates across enterprise clients. This investment dovetails with the $5 billion Databricks round that saw TPG join a cohort of investors, underscoring confidence in AI‑centric growth and potentially reinforcing TPG’s valuation narrative. The Q2 earnings release, which showed revenue of $628 million and EPS of $0.69—both beating estimates—confirms the company’s ability to generate robust cash flow and supports the 25 % AUM growth to $327 billion. The strong results, coupled with the AI expansion, may justify the recent rating upgrades and target‑price lifts from multiple analysts, suggesting a near‑term upside if guidance remains favorable. Going forward, traders should watch for the Malaysian regulatory decision, any updates on the Kakao Mobility ADR filing, and TPG’s next‑quarter guidance for signs of sustained margin expansion. A positive regulatory outcome or a favorable earnings outlook could reinforce the current bullish sentiment, while any delays or weaker guidance might temper the upside.
Earnings Summary
TPG Inc. is a global alternative asset manager headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas, offering investment management across private equity, real estate, and credit funds, and providing advisory services for capital structuring and underwriting. Operating within the broader financial services sector, TPG’s competitive edge stems from its long-standing presence and expertise in managing diversified investment portfolios for institutional and limited‑partner clients. In Q1 2025, the firm reported revenue of $476.3 million and an EPS of $0.0687, far below the $0.42681 estimate, reflecting a significant miss. By Q2 2026, revenue surged to $628.2 million and EPS rose to $0.69, both beating the $0.64509 and $586.1 million estimates respectively, indicating a sharp turnaround and a 43 % year‑over‑year increase in fee‑related earnings. The two most recent quarters show accelerated revenue growth and a return to earnings beats, contrasting with the earlier miss and suggesting a positive momentum shift. Historically, TPG has experienced YoY revenue growth, with the latest quarter marking a 25 % AUM increase to $327 billion; however, EPS has fluctuated, with the Q1 2025 miss followed by a Q2 2026 beat, illustrating a pattern of revenue expansion amid earnings volatility. Recent news highlights TPG’s confidential filing to list its $8 billion Malaysian hospital portfolio, a move that could unlock capital and broaden its healthcare exposure, potentially tightening liquidity but also adding higher‑margin assets to its fee base. The firm’s $4 billion commitment to an OpenAI‑backed AI deployment platform and participation in a $5 billion Databricks round signal a strategic pivot toward AI infrastructure, aligning with enterprise adoption trends. Investors should watch for the Malaysian regulatory decision, updates on the Kakao Mobility ADR filing, and TPG’s next‑quarter guidance on margin trends and capital allocation, as these factors will shape the firm’s near‑term valuation and potential upside.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.03$0.18$0.38$0.59$0.79Q1'25Q2'26Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$0.65 - -
Q2'26$0.70$0.69-1.2%
Q1'25$0.43$0.07-83.9%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$453M$503M$552M$602M$651MQ1'25Q2'26Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$568M - -
Q2'26$586M$628M+7.2%
Q1'25 - $476M -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

TPG Stock Snapshot

BUY82/100
$52.65−$0.02 (0.0%)
Market cap
20.47B
P/E ratio
86.6
Day range
$51.96 – $53.37
News sentiment
64/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$60.44 (+14.8%)
Consensus
Buy · 22 analysts
52-week range+42.5% off low · -25.2% from high
$36.95$70.38
Price $52.65 DailyIQ Est. $62.53

The signal on TPG is bullish: price action is confirming the underlying trend, not fighting it. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Behaviour On Record

What TPG's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
36.7% 48th pct
Below its peak
-25.3%
vs 200-day average
+8.1%
Up days (1y)
51%

TPG Inc. is currently running 36.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against TPG's own 5 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 48th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 37.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

TPG is trading -25.3% below its running peak. Across 4 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -30.8%, and the deepest was -43.6% in 2025. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +8.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 57th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year TPG closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

Overnight risk is measurable too: TPG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 118 of 1,163 sessions (10.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.1% and -8.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 1,164 daily closes between 2022-01-13 and 2026-09-03, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against TPG's own 5-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of TPG's sector?

TPG Inc. sits in the Financials sector, currently ranked 6th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#6 of 11
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
70

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for TPG?

CallsPuts

For TPG Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 13 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.54), with at-the-money implied volatility around 50.5%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±9.4% move by that expiry — a range of about $47.56–$57.44.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.54
ATM implied volatility
50.5%
Total open interest
10,519
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±9.4% ($47.56–$57.44)

TPG Competitive Positioning

TPG Inc. (TPG) is tracked alongside these names in Asset Management on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.

Held by These ETFs

TPG is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.