DailyIQ
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TPG·TPG Inc.

$46.44
+0.24 (+0.52%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$46.79+0.35 (+0.75%)
High
$46.83
Open
$46.29
Market Cap
17.87B
52W High
$70.38
Low
$45.50
P. Close
$46.44
P/E
75.64
52W Low
$36.95
Fwd P/E
12.81
DailyIQ Est.
$62.53
Inst. Ownership
22.4%
Short Interest
2.82%
Days to Cover
4.5
Technical Score (1D)
32
SELL
News Sentiment
71
BULLISH
Crusoe has just closed a $3.9 billion Series F round that values the AI‑infrastructure firm at $30.9 billion, with TPG joining a slate of high‑profile investors such as Nvidia and GIC. The capital will be deployed to scale its AI programs and build vertically integrated factories, including modular Spark units and large campuses, signalling a push to capture more of the growing cloud‑AI market. This infusion confirms Crusoe’s expansion strategy and positions it to accelerate its Cloud growth, potentially increasing its contract pipeline and revenue mix. For the next 1–10 trading days, the market will likely react to how quickly the firm can translate the new funding into additional contracts and operational capacity. Investors should watch for early signs of increased order flow or new partnership announcements that could validate the scaling plan. Additionally, any updates on the timeline for the new factories or modular units will be key to assessing execution risk. Monitoring the firm’s quarterly guidance will reveal whether the capital has begun to materially lift top‑line growth. Finally, keep an eye on broader AI infrastructure demand trends, as they will influence Crusoe’s ability to monetize the expanded capacity.
Earnings Summary
TPG Inc. is a global alternative asset manager headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas, offering investment management across private equity, real estate, and credit funds while also providing advisory services for capital structuring and underwriting. Operating within the broader financial services sector, TPG’s competitive edge derives from its long-standing presence and expertise in active portfolio management. In Q1 2025, the firm reported revenue of $476.3 million, well above the $567.9 million estimate for Q1 2026, but its EPS of $0.0687 fell far short of the $0.4268 estimate, indicating a significant earnings miss. By Q2 2026, revenue rose to $628.2 million, surpassing the $586.1 million estimate, and EPS of $0.69 approached the $0.6983 estimate, showing a narrowing earnings gap. The pattern of revenue growth contrasts with earlier EPS misses, suggesting operational revenue expansion but ongoing profitability challenges. Historically, TPG has experienced mixed earnings performance; while revenue has trended upward year over year, EPS has frequently lagged analyst expectations, reflecting the volatility inherent in asset‑management fee structures. Recent news highlights a partnership with UnitedHealth’s Optum, wherein TPG acquired a stake in Florida WellMed clinics, and a leadership change appointing Todd Sisitsky as co‑CEO. These developments signal strategic diversification into healthcare operations and a focus on deal‑making continuity. Investors should watch for the integration progress of the WellMed clinics and the impact of the new leadership on deal flow, as these factors will likely influence the firm’s earnings trajectory in the next quarter. The key will be whether the partnership translates into measurable profitability gains and whether the co‑CEO structure sustains a robust investment pipeline, given the firm’s historical earnings volatility.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.03$0.18$0.38$0.59$0.79Q1'25Q2'26Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$0.65 - -
Q2'26$0.70$0.69-1.2%
Q1'25$0.43$0.07-83.9%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$453M$503M$552M$602M$651MQ1'25Q2'26Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$568M - -
Q2'26$586M$628M+7.2%
Q1'25 - $476M -

Market Data

TPG Stock Snapshot

SELL32/100
$46.79+$0.35 (0.8%)
Market cap
17.87B
P/E ratio
75.6
Day range
$45.50 – $46.83
News sentiment
71/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$60.44 (+29.2%)
Consensus
Buy · 22 analysts
52-week range+26.6% off low · -33.5% from high
$36.95$70.38
Price $46.79 DailyIQ Est. $62.53

The trend on TPG is bearish, and the indicator set is confirming it rather than diverging. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Behaviour On Record

What TPG's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
30.2% 29th pct
Below its peak
-34.8%
vs 200-day average
-4.9%
Up days (1y)
50%

TPG Inc. is currently running 30.2% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against TPG's own 5 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 29th percentile on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 37.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

TPG is trading -34.8% below its running peak. Across 4 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -30.8%, and the deepest was -43.6% in 2025. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -4.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 31st percentile close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year TPG closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 5 years of records, TPG finished the month higher 2 of 5 times, with a median return of -1.6% and an average of +1.5%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +11.6% on average, its weakest February at -8.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: TPG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 119 of 1,173 sessions (10.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.1% and -8.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 1,174 daily closes between 2022-01-13 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against TPG's own 5-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of TPG's sector?

TPG Inc. sits in the Financials sector, currently ranked 5th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#5 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
50

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for TPG?

CallsPuts

For TPG Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 26 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.14), with at-the-money implied volatility around 62.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±19.7% move by that expiry — a range of about $42.18–$62.82.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.14
ATM implied volatility
62.8%
Total open interest
1,043
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±19.7% ($42.18–$62.82)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on TPG?

UBS most recently reiterated its rating on TPG Inc. to Buy on Aug 5, 2026 with a price target of $65 (from $59). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
UBSBuy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 5, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$59 → $65
Aug 5, 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainedOutperform$53 → $57
Aug 5, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$60 → $65
Aug 5, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$47 → $50
Aug 5, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$58 → $64
Jul 21, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$60 → $54
Jul 13, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedOutperform$52 → $50
Jul 9, 2026CitizensMaintainedMarket Outperform$75 → $68
May 18, 2026TD CowenMaintainedHold$48 → $45
May 4, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$54 → $59
May 4, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$56 → $58
Apr 21, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$45 → $47

TPG Competitive Positioning

TPG Inc. (TPG) is tracked alongside these names in Asset Management on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.