AIT·Applied Industrial Technologies Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

19.4% 23rd pct

Below its peak

-4.5%

vs 200-day average

+13.9%

Up days (1y)

55%

Applied Industrial Technologies Inc. is currently running 19.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against AIT's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 23rd percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 24.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

AIT is trading -4.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -19.1%, and the deepest was -54.5% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +13.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 76th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year AIT closed higher on 55% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, AIT finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +6.2% and an average of +3.6%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.0% on average, its weakest December at -1.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: AIT has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 155 of 3,268 sessions (4.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.6% and -10.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against AIT's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.