CASY|Analyst Targets
CASY|Company Info
CASY|Insider Trading
CASY|Fundamentals
CASY|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'27 | $6.02 | - | - |
| Q1'27 | $6.82 | $7.37 | +8.1% |
| Q4'26 | $3.32 | $4.37 | +31.6% |
| Q3'26 | $5.20 | $5.53 | +6.3% |
| Q4'24 | $2.06 | $2.33 | +13.0% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'27 | $5.6B | - | - |
| Q1'27 | $5.7B | $5.7B | -0.2% |
| Q4'26 | $4.4B | $4.6B | +4.2% |
| Q3'26 | $4.1B | $3.9B | -4.1% |
| Q4'24 | - | $3.9B | - |
CASY|Monthly Returns
Market Data
CASY Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 25.52B
- P/E ratio
- 33.0
- Day range
- $673.89 – $691.83
- News sentiment
- 50/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $788.68 (+15.0%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 29 analysts
Price is in the lower half of its 52-week range, and the momentum read backs that positioning up. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into CASY?
At today's price, Caseys General Stores, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 12.7% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 6.85% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 6.9% a year, so the market is asking for 5.9 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis CASY looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 12.7%
- Growth trend
- 6.9%
- Growth gap
- +5.9 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 6.85%
- Beta
- 0.56
Behaviour On Record
What CASY's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 27.3% 73rd pct
- Below its peak
- -26.6%
- vs 200-day average
- -9.1%
- Up days (1y)
- 49%
Caseys General Stores, Inc. is currently running 27.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against CASY's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 73rd percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 21.7%.
CASY is trading -26.6% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -15.8%, and the deepest was -36.5% in 2026. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -9.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 4th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year CASY closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, CASY finished the month higher 12 of 13 times, with a median return of +5.4% and an average of +4.5%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.5% on average, its weakest December at -2.1%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: CASY has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 65 of 3,268 sessions (2.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +5.0% and -12.2%.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, CASY moved an average of 8.8% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -3.6% and a largest of +16.6%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against CASY's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of CASY's sector?
Caseys General Stores, Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 5th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading). Within its narrower Retail industry group, CASY ranks 3rd of 15 tracked industries, leading.
- Sector rank
- #5 of 12
- Sector state
- Leading
- Sector rotation score
- 91
- Industry rank
- #3 of 15
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect CASY to earn?
Analysts expect Caseys General Stores, Inc. to earn $21.31 per share in the fiscal year ending Apr 2027 and $26.20 in the fiscal year ending Apr 2029, from 3 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on CASY?
RBC Capital most recently upgraded Caseys General Stores, Inc. to Outperform on Oct 15, 2026 with a price target of $825 (from $910). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 2 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.
- Latest action
- RBC Capital: Outperform
- 90-day upgrades
- 2
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- +2
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Caseys General Stores, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
"We are off to a great start on our three-year strategic plan, highlighted by a nearly 28% increase in diluted EPS,” said Darren Rebelez, Chairman, President and CEO.
New this quarter - 2
Operating expenses increased 8.0% during the first quarter.
New this quarter - 3
Fuel same-store gallons sold were down 0.3% compared to prior year, and positive 1.4% on a two-year stack basis, with a fuel margin of 47.8 cents per gallon.
Negative tone
Peers & ETF holders
CASY peers & ETF holders
Specialty RetailMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about CASY?
CASY rose 10.4% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 6 and 73 from Oct 7 to Oct 13, then jumped to 92 on Oct 14.
- Oct 15 +3.1%
- Oct 28 -3.9%
- Nov 4 +3.2%
Technical analysis
How strong is CASY's momentum right now?
On the daily chart CASY ranks at the 69th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bullish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling CASY?
108 of the 191 tracked managers added to CASY in their latest 13F and 81 trimmed. Together they own 72.4% of the company, worth $21.1B. BlackRock and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 15.8%.
- 1BlackRock, Inc.9.34%$2.8B positionTrimmed 18.1% last quarter
- $1.9B positionAdded 45.2% last quarter
- $1.4B positionTrimmed 1.9% last quarter
- 4State Street Corp4.73%$1.4B positionAdded 27.6% last quarter
- $858.6M positionAdded 27.9% last quarter
- 6DZ Bank AG2.24%$663.2M positionAdded 86.6% last quarter
- 7JPMorgan Chase & Co2.18%$633.8M positionAdded 7.9% last quarter
- $614.9M positionTrimmed 18.6% last quarter
- 9Morgan Stanley1.71%$506.0M positionTrimmed 32.0% last quarter
- 10Goldman Sachs Group Inc1.70%$503.3M positionAdded 31.5% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading CASY?
3 members of Congress disclosed 5 CASY trades between Feb 13, 2015 and Apr 7, 2026: 3 buys and 2 sells, about $40.0K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has CASY done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, CASY returned −20.1%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, all did better, led by WSM at +37.3%.
- 1WSMWilliams-Sonoma, Inc.up 37.3%+57.4 pts
- 2ULTAUlta Beauty, Inc.up 20.7%+40.8 pts
- 3EBAYeBay Inc.up 13.2%+33.3 pts
- 4XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETFup 6.6%+26.7 pts
- 5HDThe Home Depot, Inc.up 6.2%+26.4 pts
- 6DHID.R. Horton, Inc.up 2.7%+22.8 pts
- 7ROSTRoss Stores, Inc.up 1.4%+21.5 pts
- 8XLYConsumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Funddown 1.5%+18.6 pts
- 16CASYThis stockdown 20.1%