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CASY·Caseys General Stores, Inc.

$685.59
-3.94 (-0.57%)
High
$691.83
Open
$680.27
Market Cap
25.52B
52W High
$930.14
Low
$673.89
P. Close
$685.59
P/E
33.02
52W Low
$519.46
Fwd P/E
29.35
DailyIQ Est.
$812.23
Inst. Own.
72.4%
Short Interest
5.03%
Days to Cover
3.8
Div. Yield
0.36%
Next Ex-Div
~Jan 29
Div. Growth
26+ yrs
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Sep 8, 2026Guidance reaffirmed · tone -6.3 vs prior release · 54 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
69
BULLISH
News Sentiment
50
MIXED
On Nov 5, Casey’s General Stores reported that same‑store sales fell short of expectations, a development that led to a 10 % decline in its share price since the earnings announcement. The company’s revenue and profit guidance remained unchanged, indicating that the underlying business challenges persist. Analysts noted that the weak sales figures reflect broader retail headwinds and may pressure future earnings. The market reaction underscored concerns that the company’s performance is not improving, reinforcing the view that the business faces ongoing difficulties.
LOW TARGET
$687 +0.2%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$789 +15.0%
11 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$933 +36.1%
16 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$687.00 - $933.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
8/13/6/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$812.23 (+18.5%)
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Specialty Retail
Exchange
NMS
Country
United States
Website
Symbol
CASY
Description
Casey's General Stores operates a network of convenience stores across the United States, primarily under the Casey's brand. The company's core business centers on providing a wide array of food and beverage options, including pizza, donuts, and various breakfast, lunch, and dinner items. Complementing its food offerings, Casey's stores also sell a selection of tobacco products, snacks, and beverages, along with essential household and automotive products. A key component of Casey's value proposition is the sale of motor fuels, offered on a self-service basis, alongside additional services like ATMs and lottery tickets. Founded in 1959 and headquartered in Ankeny, Iowa, Casey's strategically leverages its distribution centers to efficiently serve its extensive store network.
Bought (1Y)
256 shares
$199K
Sold (1Y)
90,951 shares
$76.8M
Donthi Sri-
Option Exercise326 shares2026-09-02
Donthi Sri-
Award/Grant220 shares2026-09-02
Donthi Sri-
Option Exercise326 shares2026-09-02
Wing Allison M.-
Option Exercise326 shares2026-09-02
Wing Allison M.-
Award/Grant220 shares2026-09-02
69/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
24.6%
Net Margin
4.1%
Revenue CAGR
8.1%
Current Ratio
1.01x
Debt / Equity
0.62x
Return on Equity
18.1%
Earnings Summary
In the most recent quarters, Casey’s reported Q4 2024 earnings of $2.33 per share, beating the $2.06 estimate, while revenue reached $3.90 billion, a modest increase from prior periods. The Q3 2026 quarter saw EPS of $5.53 versus an estimate of $5.20, with revenue of $3.92 billion falling short of the $4.08 billion estimate, indicating a slight revenue deceleration but continued earnings growth. Over the last four quarters, Casey’s has consistently surpassed analyst EPS estimates in three of four periods, with revenue growth remaining positive but slowing in the most recent cycle. Historically, the company has delivered year‑over‑year revenue growth of roughly 5–7% in recent years, while EPS has accelerated from $2.33 in Q4 2024 to $7.37 in Q1 2027, reflecting improved profitability margins. Notable patterns include revenue growth despite occasional EPS misses, and a steady upward trajectory in earnings per share. Recent news highlights the launch of a pan pizza at nearly 3,000 locations, supported by a loyalty‑program promotion, which analysts view as a modest catalyst for diversification.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.27$2.99$4.72$6.44$8.17Q4'24Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$6.02 - -
Q1'27$6.82$7.37+8.1%
Q4'26$3.32$4.37+31.6%
Q3'26$5.20$5.53+6.3%
Q4'24$2.06$2.33+13.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.6B$4.2B$4.8B$5.4B$6.0BQ4'24Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$5.6B - -
Q1'27$5.7B$5.7B-0.2%
Q4'26$4.4B$4.6B+4.2%
Q3'26$4.1B$3.9B-4.1%
Q4'24 - $3.9B -

Market Data

CASY Stock Snapshot

BULLISH69/100
$685.59−$3.94 (0.6%)
Market cap
25.52B
P/E ratio
33.0
Day range
$673.89 – $691.83
News sentiment
50/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$788.68 (+15.0%)
Consensus
Buy · 29 analysts
52-week range+32.0% off low · -26.3% from high
$519.46$930.14
Price $685.59 DailyIQ Est. $812.23

Price is in the lower half of its 52-week range, and the momentum read backs that positioning up. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into CASY?

RICH

At today's price, Caseys General Stores, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 12.7% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 6.85% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 6.9% a year, so the market is asking for 5.9 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis CASY looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
12.7%
Growth trend
6.9%
Growth gap
+5.9 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
6.85%
Beta
0.56

Behaviour On Record

What CASY's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
27.3% 73rd pct
Below its peak
-26.6%
vs 200-day average
-9.1%
Up days (1y)
49%

Caseys General Stores, Inc. is currently running 27.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against CASY's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 73rd percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 21.7%.

CASY is trading -26.6% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -15.8%, and the deepest was -36.5% in 2026. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -9.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 4th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year CASY closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On November specifically: over 13 years of records, CASY finished the month higher 12 of 13 times, with a median return of +5.4% and an average of +4.5%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.5% on average, its weakest December at -2.1%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: CASY has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 65 of 3,268 sessions (2.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +5.0% and -12.2%.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, CASY moved an average of 8.8% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -3.6% and a largest of +16.6%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against CASY's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of CASY's sector?

Caseys General Stores, Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 5th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading). Within its narrower Retail industry group, CASY ranks 3rd of 15 tracked industries, leading.

Sector rank
#5 of 12
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
91
Industry rank
#3 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for CASY?

CallsPuts

For Caseys General Stores, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-11-20, 14 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 1.09), with at-the-money implied volatility around 42.6%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±8.3% move by that expiry — a range of about $630.84–$744.66.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-20)
1.09
ATM implied volatility
42.6%
Total open interest
6,049
Expected move by 2026-11-20
±8.3% ($630.84–$744.66)

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect CASY to earn?

Analysts expect Caseys General Stores, Inc. to earn $21.31 per share in the fiscal year ending Apr 2027 and $26.20 in the fiscal year ending Apr 2029, from 3 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Oct 2026$5.82$5.42 to $6.3617$5.52B17
Jan 2027$3.98$3.44 to $4.3017$4.86B17
Jul 2027$7.31$6.98 to $7.674~$6.46B-
Oct 2027$6.69$6.63 to $6.764~$5.91B-
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Apr 2027$21.31$20.48 to $21.8317$20.95B19
Apr 2028$23.37$22.46 to $25.2517$21.00B18
Apr 2029$26.20$26.16 to $26.283~$23.15B-

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on CASY?

RBC Capital most recently upgraded Caseys General Stores, Inc. to Outperform on Oct 15, 2026 with a price target of $825 (from $910). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 2 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
RBC Capital: Outperform
90-day upgrades
2
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+2
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 15, 2026RBC CapitalUpgradeSector Perform → Outperform$910 → $825
Sep 11, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedOutperform$880 → $775
Sep 10, 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeMarket Perform → Outperform$750
Sep 10, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$925 → $720
Sep 10, 2026KeybancMaintainedOverweight$970 → $780
Sep 9, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$960 → $750
Sep 9, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedSector Perform$913 → $910
Sep 9, 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratedOverweight$975
Sep 3, 2026JP MorganMaintainedNeutral$975 → $833
Aug 27, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$945 → $925
Jun 29, 2026BMO CapitalUpgradeMarket Perform → Outperform$950
Jun 25, 2026BNP ParibasMaintainedOutperform$1032 → $995

Earnings Release, Scored

What did Caseys General Stores, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?

Filed Sep 8, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Guidance reaffirmed
Tone72.6/ 100-6.3 vs prior release
Hedging words2.39per 100 words+0.44 vs prior release
Tone, last 2 releasesScale 50–84

Most important lines

  1. 1

    "We are off to a great start on our three-year strategic plan, highlighted by a nearly 28% increase in diluted EPS,” said Darren Rebelez, Chairman, President and CEO.

    New this quarter
  2. 2

    Operating expenses increased 8.0% during the first quarter.

    New this quarter
  3. 3

    Fuel same-store gallons sold were down 0.3% compared to prior year, and positive 1.4% on a two-year stack basis, with a fuel margin of 47.8 cents per gallon.

    Negative tone

Peers & ETF holders

CASY peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about CASY?

CASY rose 10.4% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 6 and 73 from Oct 7 to Oct 13, then jumped to 92 on Oct 14.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 6 to Nov 6
$650$700Oct 6Oct 7: tone 73Oct 8: tone 65Oct 9: tone 68Oct 12: tone 63Oct 13: tone 6Oct 14: tone 92Oct 15: tone 57Oct 16: tone 0Oct 19: tone 61Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22: tone 81Oct 23: tone 57Oct 26: tone 57Oct 27: tone 52Oct 28: tone 46Oct 29: tone 62Oct 30Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4: tone 73Nov 5: tone 13Nov 6Oct 6News toneNov 6123
  1. Oct 15 +3.1%
  2. Oct 28 -3.9%
  3. Nov 4 +3.2%
Latest stories naming Caseys General Stores

Technical analysis

How strong is CASY's momentum right now?

On the daily chart CASY ranks at the 69th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bullish reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling CASY?

108 of the 191 tracked managers added to CASY in their latest 13F and 81 trimmed. Together they own 72.4% of the company, worth $21.1B. BlackRock and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 15.8%.

108adding81trimming2unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of CASY
  1. $2.8B positionTrimmed 18.1% last quarter
  2. $1.9B positionAdded 45.2% last quarter
  3. $1.4B positionTrimmed 1.9% last quarter
  4. $1.4B positionAdded 27.6% last quarter
  5. $858.6M positionAdded 27.9% last quarter
  6. $663.2M positionAdded 86.6% last quarter
  7. $633.8M positionAdded 7.9% last quarter
  8. $614.9M positionTrimmed 18.6% last quarter
  9. $506.0M positionTrimmed 32.0% last quarter
  10. $503.3M positionAdded 31.5% last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading CASY?

3 members of Congress disclosed 5 CASY trades between Feb 13, 2015 and Apr 7, 2026: 3 buys and 2 sells, about $40.0K in estimated value.

BuysSells201620182020202220242026
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

What stands out

Click one to highlight its trades in the chart

Discover more

How has CASY done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 6, CASY returned −20.1%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, all did better, led by WSM at +37.3%.

Change since May 6, through Nov 6
−40%−20%0%+20%+40%+60%May 6JunJulAugSepOctNov 6WSM +37.3%CASY −20.1%