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GFS·GlobalFoundries Inc.

$47.81
+1.97 (+4.30%)
After Hours
High
$48.55
Open
$46.20
Market Cap
23.46B
52W High
$92.55
Low
$45.25
P. Close
$47.81
P/E
32.76
52W Low
$31.61
Fwd P/E
17.47
DailyIQ Est.
$81.02
Inst. Ownership
23.3%
Short Interest
1.32%
Days to Cover
1.8
Technical Score (1D)
32
SELL
News Sentiment
73
BULLISH
GlobalFoundries’ latest announcement of a multiyear silicon‑germanium capacity expansion at its Burlington, Vermont plant is the most immediate catalyst, as the company will now supply high‑speed optical networking chips to Marvell for AI data centers. The expansion directly addresses the surging demand for energy‑efficient, high‑bandwidth interconnects that underpin next‑generation AI workloads, positioning GFS to capture a growing niche in the AI infrastructure market. For the next 1–10 trading days, the market will likely focus on the timeline for ramp‑up and any cost implications that could affect the company’s margin profile. Traders should watch for GFS’s production milestones and any guidance updates that clarify when the new capacity will begin delivering revenue. Earlier reports of a potential Japan‑backed U.S. semiconductor plant, valued at $12.8–$19.3 billion, add a layer of strategic uncertainty; while the project aligns with U.S. policy to boost domestic chip production, no formal confirmation has been issued, and regulatory approvals could delay or derail the initiative. This potential expansion could significantly broaden GFS’s logic‑chip footprint and alter its competitive positioning, but the lack of concrete details means the impact remains speculative. In the medium term, the company’s ability to scale the Burlington expansion and secure the rumored U.S. plant will be key watch items, as both moves could reshape its revenue mix and cost structure.
Earnings Summary
GlobalFoundries (GFS) is a global semiconductor foundry that provides wafer fabrication services for a wide array of electronic devices, including microprocessors, mobile application processors, network processors, RF modems, and power management units. Operating in the highly competitive semiconductor manufacturing sector, GFS leverages advanced technologies to serve a diverse customer base worldwide. In the most recent quarter, Q2 2026, GFS reported revenue of $1.786 billion, slightly above the $1.782 billion estimate, and EPS of $0.46, beating the $0.447 estimate; this marks a continued trend of revenue growth and earnings beats in the last two quarters, following Q1 2026 where revenue dipped to $1.634 billion and EPS of $0.40 beat the $0.340 estimate. The company’s EPS trajectory has accelerated from $0.46 in Q4 2024 to $0.55 in Q4 2025, then moderated to $0.40 in Q1 2026 before rising again to $0.46 in Q2 2026, indicating a pattern of earnings resilience amid revenue volatility. Historically, GFS has posted YoY revenue growth in each quarter of the past year, with EPS consistently beating analyst expectations in three of the last four quarters, underscoring a strong earnings beat pattern even as revenue fluctuates. Recent news highlights a long‑term manufacturing pact with Monolithic Power Systems that will expand GFS’s capacity for high‑growth power‑management chips by early 2027, a development that could reinforce the company’s revenue trajectory and justify tighter guidance in the next earnings cycle. Investors should watch for updates on the integration of MPWR’s process at the Singapore plant, any new government contract wins, and the progress of the $375 million CHIPS R&D award for quantum semiconductor initiatives, as these factors will likely influence capacity utilization and margin dynamics in the upcoming quarter.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.31$0.38$0.45$0.51$0.58Q4'24Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.51 - -
Q2'26$0.45$0.46+3.0%
Q1'26$0.34$0.40+17.6%
Q4'25$0.35$0.55+56.2%
Q4'24$0.45$0.46+1.8%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.6B$1.7B$1.8B$1.9B$1.9BQ4'24Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.9B - -
Q2'26$1.8B$1.8B+0.2%
Q1'26$1.6B$1.6B-0.6%
Q4'25$1.6B$1.8B+13.1%
Q4'24 - $1.8B -

Market Data

GFS Stock Snapshot

SELL32/100
$48.26+$0.45 (0.9%)
Market cap
23.46B
P/E ratio
32.8
Day range
$45.25 – $48.55
News sentiment
73/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$76.00 (+57.5%)
Consensus
Buy · 27 analysts
52-week range+52.7% off low · -47.9% from high
$31.61$92.55
Price $48.26 DailyIQ Est. $81.02

GFS's technical picture is under pressure, with momentum working against price. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Behaviour On Record

What GFS's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
46.2% 52nd pct
Below its peak
-52.2%
vs 200-day average
-19.8%
Up days (1y)
50%

GlobalFoundries Inc. is currently running 46.2% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against GFS's own 5 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 52nd percentile close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 45.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

GFS is trading -52.2% below its running peak. Across 4 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -37.2%, and the deepest was -51.2% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -19.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 4th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year GFS closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 5 years of records, GFS finished the month higher 2 of 5 times, with a median return of -2.3% and an average of -2.3%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +13.0% on average, its weakest August at -5.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: GFS has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 112 of 1,224 sessions (9.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.4% and -9.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, GFS moved an average of 2.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +0.5% and a largest of -3.8%.

All figures computed from 1,225 daily closes between 2021-10-28 and 2026-09-16, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against GFS's own 5-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of GFS's sector?

GlobalFoundries Inc. sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 1st of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading). Within its narrower Semiconductors industry group, GFS ranks 2nd of 15 tracked industries, leading.

Sector rank
#1 of 11
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
90
Industry rank
#2 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for GFS?

CallsPuts

For GlobalFoundries Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 0 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.71), with at-the-money implied volatility around 77.3%.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.71
ATM implied volatility
77.3%
Total open interest
14,360

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on GFS?

Stifel most recently initiated coverage on GlobalFoundries Inc. to Buy on Sep 2, 2026 with a price target of $60. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
StifelBuy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 2, 2026StifelInitiatedBuy$60
Aug 6, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$85 → $75
Aug 6, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$61 → $55
May 19, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedOutperform$58 → $85
May 11, 2026SusquehannaMaintainedPositive$100 → $125
May 6, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$65 → $77
May 6, 2026JP MorganMaintainedNeutral$45 → $70
May 6, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$49 → $70
May 6, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$58 → $65
May 6, 2026SusquehannaUpgradeNeutral → Positive$50 → $100
May 5, 2026NeedhamMaintainedBuy$55 → $80
May 4, 2026Cantor FitzgeraldUpgradeNeutral → Overweight$50 → $80

GFS Competitive Positioning

GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) is tracked alongside these names in Semiconductors on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.

Held by These ETFs

GFS is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.