MCHP·Microchip Technology Incorporated

Realized volatility (21d)

37.4% 65th pct

Below its peak

-29.4%

vs 200-day average

-4.5%

Up days (1y)

47%

Microchip Technology Incorporated is currently running 37.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MCHP's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 65th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 31.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

MCHP is trading -29.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -24.7%, and the deepest was -47.9% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -4.5% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 23rd percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year MCHP closed higher on 47% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, MCHP finished the month higher 5 of 13 times, with a median return of -1.1% and an average of -0.4%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +6.0% on average, its weakest March at -3.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: MCHP has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 191 of 3,269 sessions (5.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.4% and -7.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,270 daily closes between 2013-09-05 and 2026-09-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MCHP's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.