MCHP·Microchip Technology Incorporated
MCHP|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'27 | $0.93 | - | - |
| Q4'26 | $0.52 | $0.57 | +10.6% |
| Q3'25 | $0.33 | $0.35 | +4.9% |
| Q2'25 | $0.24 | $0.27 | +13.2% |
| Q1'25 | $0.10 | $0.11 | +5.3% |
| Q4'24 | $0.28 | $0.20 | -28.2% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'27 | $1.6B | - | - |
| Q4'26 | $1.3B | $1.3B | +1.7% |
| Q3'25 | - | $1.1B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $1.1B | - |
| Q1'25 | - | $971M | - |
| Q4'24 | - | $1.0B | - |
MCHP|Monthly Returns
Market Data
MCHP Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 39.79B
- P/E ratio
- 83.2
- Day range
- $70.64 – $73.58
- News sentiment
- 65/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $108.64 (+48.5%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 35 analysts
Microchip Technology Incorporated is trading in the lower half of its 52-week range with momentum still pointing lower. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into MCHP?
At today's price, Microchip Technology Incorporated needs to grow free cash flow about 46.5% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 12.34% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 10.4% a year, so the market is asking for 36.1 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis MCHP looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 46.5%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 10.4%
- Growth gap
- +36.1 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 12.34%
- Beta
- 1.74
Behaviour On Record
What MCHP's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 32.9% 54th pct
- Below its peak
- -30.1%
- vs 200-day average
- -6.7%
- Up days (1y)
- 46%
Microchip Technology Incorporated is currently running 32.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MCHP's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 54th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 31.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
MCHP is trading -30.1% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -24.7%, and the deepest was -47.9% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -6.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 20th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year MCHP closed higher on 46% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.
On September specifically: over 13 years of records, MCHP finished the month higher 5 of 13 times, with a median return of -1.1% and an average of -0.5%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +6.0% on average, its weakest March at -3.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: MCHP has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 194 of 3,268 sessions (5.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.4% and -7.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MCHP's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of MCHP's sector?
Microchip Technology Incorporated sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 1st of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading). Within its narrower Semiconductors industry group, MCHP ranks 2nd of 15 tracked industries, leading.
- Sector rank
- #1 of 11
- Sector state
- Leading
- Sector rotation score
- 90
- Industry rank
- #2 of 15
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on MCHP?
BMO Capital most recently initiated coverage on Microchip Technology Incorporated to Outperform on Aug 21, 2026 with a price target of $95. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- BMO Capital — Outperform
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
MCHP Competitive Positioning
- MCHPyou're hereMicrochip Technology Incorporated$39.8B-0.16%
- TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing$2.25T-0.26%
- AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.$836.6B-0.41%
- CBRSCerebras Systems, Inc.$43.7B+0.08%
- ONON Semiconductor Corporation$25.9B+0.93%
- SWKSSkyworks Solutions, Inc.$13.7B+0.12%